Strasburg Looks to Stifle Cubs
Are the Chicago Cubs back on the winning track? They’ve won three straight series to get over .500 at 39-38; that still leaves the Cubs 11.62 betting units in the red for 2017, but it also puts Chicago within 1.5 games of first in the National League Central. They’ll try to close that gap this week at the expense of the Washington Nationals (46-31, +2.34 units), who are miles ahead of the pack in the NL East. Game 3 of their four-game series in DC goes Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET on the MLB Network.
Oddsmakers opened the Nationals as a -170 moneyline favorite and set the total at 8.5. The line now shows the Nationals as -174 moneyline favorites and the total has held steady at 8.5.
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John Lackey (5.54 FIP) is one of the big reasons the defending World Series champions are still playing catch-up. The Cubs are 7-8 in Lackey’s 15 starts for a loss of 5.10 units; however, the veteran righty has performed better of late, allowing just one earned run over six innings in each of his last two games.
Lackey will be matched against Stephen Strasburg (3.19 FIP), one of the top pitchers in the majors. Washington is 11-4 behind Strasburg this year for 4.21 units in profit, but he’s struggled in back-to-back home games pitching in hot weather, which remains in the forecast for Wednesday.
| event date |
Opponent |
Result |
score |
OU Result |
ip |
money |
| Jun 23, 2017 |
MIA |
L |
0-2 |
U |
6 |
-$100.00 |
| Jun 18, 2017 |
PIT |
W |
7-1 |
U |
6 |
$100.00 |
| Jun 12, 2017 |
NYM |
L |
1-6 |
U |
5 |
-$100.00 |
| event date |
Opponent |
Result |
score |
OU Result |
ip |
money |
| Jun 23, 2017 |
CIN |
W |
6-5 |
O |
5 |
$42.00 |
| Jun 17, 2017 |
NYM |
W |
7-4 |
O |
5.1 |
$58.00 |
| Jun 12, 2017 |
ATL |
L |
10-11 |
O |
5 |
-$100.00 |
| Chi Cubs’s relievers have pitched 10 innings in the last 3 games. |
| Washington’s relievers have pitched 9 innings in the last 3 games. |
| Date |
score |
Winner |
ip |
hits |
Runs |
Earned Runs |
walks |
strikeouts |
Decision |
| Jun 14, 2016 |
4-3 |
CHC |
6 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
7 |
No Decision |
| May 6, 2016 |
8-6 |
CHC |
7 |
6 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
11 |
Win |
| Aug 31, 2015 |
8-5 |
STL |
6 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
No Decision |
| Apr 22, 2015 |
7-5 |
STL |
5.2 |
8 |
5 |
5 |
1 |
4 |
No Decision |
| Jun 23, 2008 |
3-2 |
LAA |
8 |
6 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
Win |
| Date |
score |
Winner |
ip |
hits |
Runs |
Earned Runs |
walks |
strikeouts |
Decision |
| Jun 15, 2016 |
5-4 |
WSH |
7 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
No Decision |
| Aug 22, 2013 |
5-4 |
WSH |
8.2 |
7 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
8 |
No Decision |
| May 11, 2013 |
8-2 |
CHC |
5 |
5 |
4 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
Loss |
| Apr 5, 2012 |
2-1 |
WSH |
7 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
No Decision |
| Title |
Stat |
Rank |
Stat |
Rank |
| Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense |
4.62 |
18 |
4.44 |
9 |
| Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense |
4.49 |
17 |
4.27 |
8 |
| Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense |
5.64 |
1 |
4.36 |
8 |
| Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense |
5.59 |
5 |
4.36 |
11 |
| Date |
Away |
away score |
Home |
home score |
line |
O/U |
Away Pitcher |
Home Pitcher |
Away Hits |
Home Hits |
Away Walks |
Home Walks |
Away Strikeouts |
Home Strikeouts |
| Jun 27, 2017 |
CHC |
1 |
WSH |
6 |
-168 |
7.5 |
U |
Jake Arrieta (R) |
Max Scherzer (R) |
2 |
9 |
1 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
| Jun 26, 2017 |
CHC |
5 |
WSH |
4 |
-148 |
10 |
U |
Eddie Butler (R) |
Gio Gonzalez (L) |
9 |
12 |
6 |
1 |
11 |
8 |
| Jun 15, 2016 |
CHC |
4 |
WSH |
5 |
-147 |
7.5 |
O |
Jason Hammel (R) |
Stephen Strasburg (R) |
11 |
9 |
3 |
4 |
11 |
10 |
| Jun 14, 2016 |
CHC |
4 |
WSH |
3 |
115 |
8 |
U |
John Lackey (R) |
Gio Gonzalez (L) |
7 |
5 |
5 |
3 |
12 |
10 |
| Jun 13, 2016 |
CHC |
1 |
WSH |
4 |
-128 |
7.5 |
U |
Kyle Hendricks (R) |
Max Scherzer (R) |
2 |
10 |
0 |
5 |
16 |
5 |
| May 8, 2016 |
WSH |
3 |
CHC |
4 |
-223 |
8 |
U |
Tanner Roark (R) |
Jake Arrieta (R) |
11 |
14 |
10 |
3 |
9 |
10 |
| May 7, 2016 |
WSH |
5 |
CHC |
8 |
-144 |
7.5 |
O |
Gio Gonzalez (L) |
Jason Hammel (R) |
6 |
11 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
6 |
| May 6, 2016 |
WSH |
6 |
CHC |
8 |
100 |
8.5 |
O |
Max Scherzer (R) |
John Lackey (R) |
9 |
9 |
2 |
5 |
15 |
8 |
| May 5, 2016 |
WSH |
2 |
CHC |
5 |
-138 |
7.5 |
U |
Joe Ross (R) |
Kyle Hendricks (R) |
3 |
8 |
4 |
2 |
6 |
11 |
| Jun 7, 2015 |
CHC |
6 |
WSH |
3 |
-139 |
7.5 |
O |
Kyle Hendricks (R) |
Jordan Zimmermann (R) |
14 |
8 |
5 |
0 |
5 |
7 |
| The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games |
| Chi Cubs is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games on the road |
| Chi Cubs is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road |
| The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games on the road |
| Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington |
| Chi Cubs is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington |
| The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 6 games when playing Washington |
| The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington |
| Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games |
| The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington’s last 15 games |
| The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington’s last 6 games |
| Washington is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home |
| Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs |
| Washington is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chi Cubs |
| The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs |
| The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs |
|
record |
Home |
Away |
Fave |
Dog |
O/U |
vs LHP |
vs RHP |
| Overall |
39-38 |
22-16 |
17-22 |
36-30 |
3-8 |
36-38-3 |
13-6 |
26-32 |
| Last 10 |
6-4 |
2-1 |
4-3 |
4-3 |
2-1 |
1-9 |
4-0 |
2-4 |
| vs Div |
20-12 |
9-5 |
11-7 |
18-11 |
2-1 |
20-11-1 |
4-0 |
16-12 |
| vs AL |
1-5 |
0-3 |
1-2 |
1-3 |
0-2 |
3-2-1 |
0-3 |
1-2 |
| vs NL |
38-33 |
22-13 |
16-20 |
35-27 |
3-6 |
33-36-2 |
13-3 |
25-30 |
|
record |
Home |
Away |
Fave |
Dog |
O/U |
vs LHP |
vs RHP |
| Overall |
46-31 |
21-16 |
25-15 |
40-23 |
7-8 |
39-35-3 |
7-5 |
39-26 |
| Last 10 |
5-5 |
3-2 |
2-3 |
5-3 |
0-2 |
5-5 |
0-1 |
5-4 |
| vs Div |
22-15 |
8-7 |
14-8 |
19-12 |
4-3 |
20-15-2 |
2-1 |
20-14 |
| vs AL |
6-7 |
4-4 |
2-3 |
6-5 |
0-2 |
7-6 |
1-2 |
5-5 |
| vs NL |
40-24 |
17-12 |
23-12 |
34-18 |
7-6 |
32-29-3 |
6-3 |
34-21 |
| Date |
Opponent |
score |
Result |
line |
Total |
starter |
ip |
opposing starter |
Location |
| Jun 27, 2017 |
WSH |
1-6 |
L |
158 |
7.5 |
J Arrieta |
4 |
M Scherzer |
A |
| Jun 26, 2017 |
WSH |
5-4 |
W |
138 |
10 |
E Butler |
5 |
G Gonzalez |
A |
| Jun 25, 2017 |
MIA |
2-4 |
L |
-141 |
9 |
Mike Montgomery |
6 |
E Volquez |
A |
| Jun 24, 2017 |
MIA |
5-3 |
W |
-155 |
9 |
J Lester |
7 |
Justin Nicolino |
A |
| Jun 23, 2017 |
MIA |
0-2 |
L |
-113 |
9.5 |
J Lackey |
6 |
J Urena |
A |
| Date |
Opponent |
score |
Result |
line |
Total |
starter |
ip |
opposing starter |
Location |
| Jun 27, 2017 |
CHC |
6-1 |
W |
-168 |
7.5 |
M Scherzer |
6 |
J Arrieta |
H |
| Jun 26, 2017 |
CHC |
4-5 |
L |
-148 |
10 |
G Gonzalez |
6 |
E Butler |
H |
| Jun 25, 2017 |
CIN |
2-6 |
L |
-152 |
10 |
T Roark |
6 |
S Feldman |
H |
| Jun 24, 2017 |
CIN |
18-3 |
W |
-146 |
10 |
Joe Ross |
7 |
H Bailey |
H |
| Jun 23, 2017 |
CIN |
6-5 |
W |
-240 |
9 |
S Strasburg |
5 |
Luis Castillo |
H |
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