Are the Chicago Cubs back on the winning track? They’ve won three straight series to get over .500 at 39-38; that still leaves the Cubs 11.62 betting units in the red for 2017, but it also puts Chicago within 1.5 games of first in the National League Central. They’ll try to close that gap this week at the expense of the Washington Nationals (46-31, +2.34 units), who are miles ahead of the pack in the NL East. Game 3 of their four-game series in DC goes Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET on the MLB Network.
Oddsmakers opened the Nationals as a -170 moneyline favorite and set the total at 8.5. The line now shows the Nationals as -174 moneyline favorites and the total has held steady at 8.5.
John Lackey (5.54 FIP) is one of the big reasons the defending World Series champions are still playing catch-up. The Cubs are 7-8 in Lackey’s 15 starts for a loss of 5.10 units; however, the veteran righty has performed better of late, allowing just one earned run over six innings in each of his last two games.
Lackey will be matched against Stephen Strasburg (3.19 FIP), one of the top pitchers in the majors. Washington is 11-4 behind Strasburg this year for 4.21 units in profit, but he’s struggled in back-to-back home games pitching in hot weather, which remains in the forecast for Wednesday.
Recent Form
Team
record
money
vs LHP
vs RHP
Fave
Dog
O/U
Diff
Chi Cubs
39-38
-$1,162.00
13-6
26-32
36-32
3-6
36-38-3
0.26
Washington
46-31
$234.00
7-5
39-26
40-24
6-7
39-35-3
1.2
Pitchers Last 3 Starts
J Lackey (5-8) ERA: 4.74
event date
Opponent
Result
score
OU Result
ip
money
Jun 23, 2017
MIA
L
0-2
U
6
-$100.00
Jun 18, 2017
PIT
W
7-1
U
6
$100.00
Jun 12, 2017
NYM
L
1-6
U
5
-$100.00
S Strasburg (8-2) ERA: 3.57
event date
Opponent
Result
score
OU Result
ip
money
Jun 23, 2017
CIN
W
6-5
O
5
$42.00
Jun 17, 2017
NYM
W
7-4
O
5.1
$58.00
Jun 12, 2017
ATL
L
10-11
O
5
-$100.00
Bullpen
Chi Cubs’s relievers have pitched 10 innings in the last 3 games.
Washington’s relievers have pitched 9 innings in the last 3 games.
Pitcher Recent Starts Vs Opponent
Chicago Cubs – J Lackey
Date
score
Winner
ip
hits
Runs
Earned Runs
walks
strikeouts
Decision
Jun 14, 2016
4-3
CHC
6
4
2
2
2
7
No Decision
May 6, 2016
8-6
CHC
7
6
2
2
1
11
Win
Aug 31, 2015
8-5
STL
6
4
2
1
4
8
No Decision
Apr 22, 2015
7-5
STL
5.2
8
5
5
1
4
No Decision
Jun 23, 2008
3-2
LAA
8
6
2
1
2
6
Win
Washington Nationals – S Strasburg
Date
score
Winner
ip
hits
Runs
Earned Runs
walks
strikeouts
Decision
Jun 15, 2016
5-4
WSH
7
6
1
1
1
8
No Decision
Aug 22, 2013
5-4
WSH
8.2
7
4
4
2
8
No Decision
May 11, 2013
8-2
CHC
5
5
4
0
2
7
Loss
Apr 5, 2012
2-1
WSH
7
5
1
1
1
5
No Decision
Supergrid
Title
Stat
Rank
Stat
Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense
4.62
18
4.44
9
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense
4.49
17
4.27
8
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense
5.64
1
4.36
8
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense
5.59
5
4.36
11
Head To Head Detail
Date
Away
away score
Home
home score
line
O/U
Away Pitcher
Home Pitcher
Away Hits
Home Hits
Away Walks
Home Walks
Away Strikeouts
Home Strikeouts
Jun 27, 2017
CHC
1
WSH
6
-168
7.5
U
Jake Arrieta (R)
Max Scherzer (R)
2
9
1
7
7
6
Jun 26, 2017
CHC
5
WSH
4
-148
10
U
Eddie Butler (R)
Gio Gonzalez (L)
9
12
6
1
11
8
Jun 15, 2016
CHC
4
WSH
5
-147
7.5
O
Jason Hammel (R)
Stephen Strasburg (R)
11
9
3
4
11
10
Jun 14, 2016
CHC
4
WSH
3
115
8
U
John Lackey (R)
Gio Gonzalez (L)
7
5
5
3
12
10
Jun 13, 2016
CHC
1
WSH
4
-128
7.5
U
Kyle Hendricks (R)
Max Scherzer (R)
2
10
0
5
16
5
May 8, 2016
WSH
3
CHC
4
-223
8
U
Tanner Roark (R)
Jake Arrieta (R)
11
14
10
3
9
10
May 7, 2016
WSH
5
CHC
8
-144
7.5
O
Gio Gonzalez (L)
Jason Hammel (R)
6
11
6
7
8
6
May 6, 2016
WSH
6
CHC
8
100
8.5
O
Max Scherzer (R)
John Lackey (R)
9
9
2
5
15
8
May 5, 2016
WSH
2
CHC
5
-138
7.5
U
Joe Ross (R)
Kyle Hendricks (R)
3
8
4
2
6
11
Jun 7, 2015
CHC
6
WSH
3
-139
7.5
O
Kyle Hendricks (R)
Jordan Zimmermann (R)
14
8
5
0
5
7
MLB Betting Trends
Chicago Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Chi Cubs is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington’s last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington’s last 6 games
Washington is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Washington is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Dirty has been an employee or owner of some of the top online sports gambling forums since 1998. He worked at EOG.com from it's inception until 2008 when he left and opened GamblingIQ and then in 2012 opened Handicappers Hidaway. He has written hundreds af articles over the years and always has his "Dirty Dozen" College Football poll up starting the first week of October.
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