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The Finals Free Pick – Warriors at Raptors Game 5

The Finals 2019 Raptors vs Warriors

Warriors in a Must Win Situation on Road

The best-of-seven series, The Finals, moves to Game 5 this Monday night with the Golden State Warriors on the road and on the ropes against the Toronto Raptors with a 3-1 series deficit. BetAnySports has opened the Raptors as 1.5-point home favorites to close this series out in five games. The total line for Monday’s 9 p.m. tip on ABC is 214.5 points. This NBA playoffs series has been shocking to most outside of Toronto.

The Warriors lost both games of this series at home to fall into the 3-1 hole. Ahead of Friday night’s 105-92 loss as five-point favorites, they were beaten 123-92 in Game three as three-point favorites at home. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in three of the first four games. Golden State also lost the series opener in Toronto 118-109 as a slight 1.5-point road underdog and it is also 1-3 against the closing spread through four games.

There is still no word on Kevin Durant’s availability for Monday’s Game 5 although he has been upgraded to questionable after missing his last nine games due to a calf injury. In his absence, Seth Curry has led the team in scoring with 28.4 points per game. Durant averaged 34.2 points in the 11 games he did play in the postseason. Golden State has averaged 114.8 PPG in 20 playoff games, but it has not scored more than 109 points in any of the first four games in this series.

Leonard Sets the Tone for the Raptors

Toronto is appearing in its first NBA Finals series in franchise history after years of frustration in the playoffs. Through 22 postseason games, the Raptors are 15-7 straight-up with 13-9 record ATS. They have covered BetAnySports’ closing number in seven of their last eight games. They are 9-3 SU at home with an 8-4 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH is seven of those 12 games.

Behind the stellar play of Kawhi Leonard, Toronto is just one more win away from winning its first NBA title. He has averaged a team-high 31.1 points and 9.1 rebounds in those first 22 playoff games. Pascal Siakam is second on the team in scoring with 19.0 PPG and Kyle Lowry has led the way in assists with 6.4 a game. The Raptors are averaging 106.3 points a game while shooting 44.3 percent from the floor.

It is hard to see Golden State bowing out in five games, but Toronto has had the Warriors’ number in this series since Game 1.You have to ride the hot team in this one both SU and ATS.

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The Finals Betting Odds & Trends

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Golden State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State’s last 8 games on the road
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Golden State is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing Toronto
Golden State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State’s last 12 games when playing Toronto
Golden State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Toronto is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto’s last 12 games when playing Golden State
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto’s last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State

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