This has been a rough year for the Toronto Blue Jays (49-57, –$1,187), but they won five of seven games last week, and they can keep up the momentum with a strong showing in their three-game series against the tanking Chicago White Sox (41-62, –$680). Game 2 from New Comiskey goes Tuesday night at 8:10 PM ET on both Sportsnet and WGN.
Oddsmakers have the Blue Jays as -230-moneyline favorites. The total is at 9.5.
Toronto should have the edge in pitching with Marcus Stroman (3.85 FIP) on the hill. The Jays are 13-8 behind their ace for 1.18 units in profit; Stroman has allowed a total of seven earned runs in his last six starts. However, shortstop Troy Tulowitzki (.678 OPS) suffered ligament damage in his right ankle Friday night and could miss the rest of the regular season.
Veteran northpaw Mike Pelfrey (5.50 FIP) is penciled in to take the mound for Chicago. Despite a low .269 BABIP, Pelfrey is 2.97 units in the red on a team record of 6-11, tasting defeat in each of his last five appearances. Current Jays have a combined .786 lifetime OPS versus Pelfrey, including a 1.132 OPS from recently acquired catcher Miguel Montero, who’s 7-for-16 with four doubles.
Recent Form
Team
record
money
vs LHP
vs RHP
Fave
Dog
O/U
Diff
Toronto
49-57
-$1,187.00
9-17
40-40
34-34
15-23
51-49-6
-0.81
Chi White Sox
41-62
-$680.00
13-16
28-46
7-6
34-56
51-48-4
-0.65
Pitchers Last 3 Starts
M Stroman (9-5) ERA: 3.08
event date
Opponent
Result
score
OU Result
ip
money
Jul 27, 2017
OAK
W
8-4
O
4.2
$55.00
Jul 22, 2017
CLE
L
1-2
U
7.2
-$100.00
Jul 17, 2017
BOS
W
4-3
U
6.2
$93.00
M Pelfrey (3-8) ERA: 4.73
event date
Opponent
Result
score
OU Result
ip
money
Jul 27, 2017
CHC
L
3-6
U
5
-$100.00
Jul 22, 2017
KC
L
2-7
U
5
-$100.00
Jul 15, 2017
SEA
L
3-4
U
4.2
-$100.00
Bullpen
Toronto’s relievers have pitched 11.2 innings in the last 3 games.
Chi White Sox’s relievers have pitched 8.1 innings in the last 3 games.
Pitcher Recent Starts Vs Opponent
Toronto Blue Jays – M Stroman
Date
score
Winner
ip
hits
Runs
Earned Runs
walks
strikeouts
Decision
Jun 17, 2017
5-2
CHW
7
6
3
3
1
5
Loss
Jun 26, 2016
5-2
CHW
5
7
4
4
4
4
Loss
Apr 25, 2016
7-5
CHW
6.2
6
4
4
2
4
No Decision
Aug 15, 2014
11-5
CHW
0.2
5
5
5
0
1
Loss
Jun 28, 2014
4-3
CHW
6.2
2
2
2
2
6
No Decision
Chicago White Sox – M Pelfrey
Date
score
Winner
ip
hits
Runs
Earned Runs
walks
strikeouts
Decision
Jun 17, 2017
5-2
CHW
6
4
1
1
0
5
Win
Jul 8, 2016
6-0
TOR
6
6
1
1
3
2
Loss
Apr 17, 2014
9-5
MIN
4.1
4
5
4
5
1
No Decision
Sep 6, 2013
6-5
TOR
6
6
6
5
2
7
Loss
Jul 6, 2013
6-0
MIN
6
3
0
0
3
2
Win
Supergrid
Title
Stat
Rank
Stat
Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense
4.19
26
5.01
21
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense
4.28
22
4.96
24
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense
4.36
23
5.00
20
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense
4.48
19
4.92
18
Head To Head Detail
Date
Away
away score
Home
home score
line
O/U
Away Pitcher
Home Pitcher
Away Hits
Home Hits
Away Walks
Home Walks
Away Strikeouts
Home Strikeouts
Jul 31, 2017
TOR
6
CHW
7
169
10.5
O
Marco Estrada (R)
James Shields (R)
9
10
3
2
7
6
Jun 18, 2017
CHW
3
TOR
7
-210
9.5
O
James Shields (R)
J.A. Happ (L)
8
13
1
3
13
3
Jun 17, 2017
CHW
5
TOR
2
-222
9
U
Mike Pelfrey (R)
Marcus Stroman (R)
8
6
2
1
6
9
Jun 16, 2017
CHW
11
TOR
4
-200
9
O
Jose Quintana (L)
Joe Biagini (R)
14
8
3
3
10
6
Jun 26, 2016
TOR
2
CHW
5
-117
9
U
Marcus Stroman (R)
Chris Sale (L)
5
8
2
4
7
9
Jun 25, 2016
TOR
10
CHW
8
101
9
O
R.A. Dickey (R)
Miguel Gonzalez (R)
13
12
5
1
5
11
Jun 24, 2016
TOR
2
CHW
3
147
8.5
U
Aaron Sanchez (R)
Carlos Rodon (L)
8
11
4
1
12
5
Apr 27, 2016
CHW
4
TOR
0
-138
8
U
Jose Quintana (L)
Marco Estrada (R)
7
4
6
3
5
13
Apr 26, 2016
CHW
10
TOR
1
106
8
O
Chris Sale (L)
R.A. Dickey (R)
15
4
3
2
5
9
Apr 25, 2016
CHW
7
TOR
5
-180
8.5
O
Miguel Gonzalez (R)
Marcus Stroman (R)
11
14
5
3
9
9
MLB Betting Trends
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto’s last 5 games
Toronto is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto’s last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Toronto is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto’s last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox’s last 6 games
Chi White Sox is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox’s last 7 games at home
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Chi White Sox is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox’s last 6 games when playing Toronto
Chi White Sox is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Dirty has been an employee or owner of some of the top online sports gambling forums since 1998. He worked at EOG.com from it's inception until 2008 when he left and opened GamblingIQ and then in 2012 opened Handicappers Hidaway. He has written hundreds af articles over the years and always has his "Dirty Dozen" College Football poll up starting the first week of October.
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