The Yankees host the Red Sox as the MLB regular season nears conclusion. Every game goes toward clarifying the playoff picture. It’s a foregone conclusion that Boston will take the AL East title. The Red Sox will have the opportunity to rub it in the Yankees face.
They can officially celebrate clinching by winning two of three from the Yankees this week. Beginning on Tuesday, New York will welcome the Red Sox to Yankees Stadium for the first of a three-game set.
TV: 1:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, Facebook Watch, NESN (Boston), WPIX (New York)
PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox RH Nathan Eovaldi (5-7, 4.22 ERA) vs. Yankees LH J.A. Happ (16-6, 3.75)
Odds: Yankees are -165-moneyline favorites. Total is 9 Under -115.
Should be a Good Pitching Matchup
JA Happ will take the mound for New York to open the series. The veteran lefty has arguably been the Yankees’ best starter since his acquisition from the Toronto Blue Jays in July.
He’s a perfect 6-0 with a 2.70 ERA over his brief stint with the Bronx Bombers. Happ will look to further improve upon his already impressive 16-6 season record with an important game against the AL East rivals.
Boston will tap starter Nathan Eovaldi to counter against Happ. Eovaldi hasn’t won a game since August 4 when he faced these same Yankees at home. Since then, he’s 0-3 over seven starts. He has failed to get out of the fifth innings in five of those appearances.
While Eovaldi is a depth starter for Boston, they’ll be expecting him to improve upon his recent performances. Especially in a playoff-like atmosphere in New York.
PREDICTION: Yankees 7, Red Sox 3
Recent Form
Team
record
money
vs LHP
vs RHP
Fave
Dog
O/U
Diff
Boston
103-47
$2,096.00
21-14
82-33
92-37
11-10
68-72-10
1.48
NY Yankees
91-58
-$457.00
28-14
63-44
87-51
4-7
66-74-9
1.05
Pitchers Last 3 Starts
N Eovaldi (5-7) ERA: 4.22
event date
Opponent
Result
score
OU Result
ip
money
Sep 3, 2018
ATL
W
8-2
O
3.1
$80.00
Aug 31, 2018
CHW
L
1-6
U
2
-$100.00
Aug 26, 2018
TB
L
1-9
O
4
-$100.00
J Happ (16-6) ERA: 3.75
event date
Opponent
Result
score
OU Result
ip
money
Sep 10, 2018
MIN
W
7-2
O
6
$58.00
Sep 4, 2018
OAK
W
5-1
U
6
$81.00
Aug 30, 2018
DET
L
7-8
O
4.1
-$100.00
Bullpen
Boston’s relievers have pitched 17 innings in the last 3 games.
NY Yankees’s relievers have pitched 13.2 innings in the last 3 games.
Pitcher Recent Starts Vs Opponent
Boston Red Sox – N Eovaldi
Date
score
Winner
ip
hits
Runs
Earned Runs
walks
strikeouts
Decision
Aug 4, 2018
4-1
BOS
8
3
0
0
1
4
Win
Jun 15, 2018
5-0
NYY
7.1
8
5
5
1
5
Loss
New York Yankees – J Happ
Date
score
Winner
ip
hits
Runs
Earned Runs
walks
strikeouts
Decision
Jul 12, 2018
6-4
BOS
3.2
5
5
0
1
6
Loss
Apr 24, 2018
4-3
TOR
7
4
1
1
0
10
No Decision
Sep 26, 2017
9-4
TR
7
4
1
1
0
9
Win
Sep 4, 2017
10-4
TOR
5.2
6
3
1
3
3
Win
Aug 30, 2017
7-1
BOS
6
4
1
1
4
2
No Decision
Supergrid
Title
Stat
Rank
Stat
Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense
5.33
1
4.07
9
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense
5.07
4
4.29
15
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense
5.12
2
3.85
3
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense
5.57
2
3.89
7
Head To Head Detail
Date
Away
away score
Home
home score
line
O/U
Away Pitcher
Home Pitcher
Away Hits
Home Hits
Away Walks
Home Walks
Away Strikeouts
Home Strikeouts
Aug 5, 2018
NYY
4
BOS
5
102
9
P
Masahiro Tanaka (R)
David Price (L)
6
10
6
6
8
17
Ag 4, 2018
NYY
1
BOS
4
-162
9.5
U
Chance Adams (R)
Nathan Eovaldi (R)
5
6
3
2
6
8
Aug 3, 2018
NYY
1
BOS
4
114
9
U
Luis Severino (R)
Rick Porcello (R)
1
7
0
4
9
3
Ag 2, 2018
NYY
7
BOS
15
-106
10
O
CC Sabathia (L)
Brian Johnson (L)
8
19
3
6
13
4
Jul 1, 2018
BOS
1
NYY
11
-182
8.5
O
David Price (L)
Luis Severino (R)
4
16
3
3
9
3
Jun 30, 2018
BOS
11
NYY
0
140
8.5
O
Chris Sale (L)
Sonny Gray (R)
17
2
3
2
9
12
Jun 29, 2018
BOS
1
NYY
8
-120
9.5
U
Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
CC Sabathia (L)
6
11
1
2
8
2
May 10, 2018
BOS
5
NYY
4
-127
9.5
U
Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
CC Sabathia (L)
10
5
1
7
11
11
My 9, 2018
BOS
6
NYY
9
-138
8.5
O
Rick Porcello (R)
Masahiro Tanaka (R)
12
12
5
4
10
6
May 8, 2018
BOS
2
NYY
3
-224
8.5
U
Drew Pomeranz (L)
Luis Severino (R)
8
6
0
5
14
8
MLB Betting Odds & Trends
Boston Red Sox
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Red Sox are 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 6 games on the road
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games
NY Yankees is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 7 games at home
NY Yankees is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Yankees is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
Dirty has been an employee or owner of some of the top online sports gambling forums since 1998. He worked at EOG.com from it's inception until 2008 when he left and opened GamblingIQ and then in 2012 opened Handicappers Hidaway. He has written hundreds af articles over the years and always has his "Dirty Dozen" College Football poll up starting the first week of October.
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