NFL Week 14 starts with the Patriots vs Steelers match at the Acrisure Stadium. Here are our picks and predictions you can use alongside NFL live betting strategies. Also, the Steelers are a 5.5-point favorite in most bookie PPH platforms with a total over/under of 30.
Even with such a low total of 30, a team can still score six points. Bettors have covered 60% of the time over the past 20 years when they back teams that had been shut out in their prior game, such as the Patriots.
Patriots vs Steelers Betting Picks and Analysis
Even if the Patriots haven’t been perfect, the Steelers’ offense hasn’t been much better. Mitch Trubisky will get the nod for Pittsburgh after three consecutive games in which they failed to score 17 points. Although it’s primarily a Kenny Pickett lateral, Trubisky is unpredictable, so the Patriots’ defense may force a game-changing turnover at any moment.
You should anticipate significant running play from both sides in this low-scoring matchup. On defense, the Patriots are miles ahead of the competition.
Regarding yards per carry allowed to running backs, New England is first in the league with 3.38, while Pittsburgh ranks 19th. If any quarterback will wind up in a manageable third-down scenario, it’s Bailey Zappe. You can’t afford the superior defense with so many points.
The lowest total since December 2005 is featured in this game, although I think this is an overreaction to several variables. The most crucial component here is chance. The tournament is in the Luck Over category with a Luck Total of +5.4. Luck Overs has a six-season record of 33-18-1 (64.4 percent), with a 3-0 record this season and a 2-0 primetime record.
Only 39 points have been scored in the Patriots’ past three games. The public seems to have accepted this as the new standard for Patriots games. But the total is spot on, with an Expected Score of 30.1 points per game for these matchups on average.
NFL Week 14 Betting Picks
Game Time: December 7, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET
Bet on Over 30 at -105
Following the side’s lead, we will bet on the over for the 30-point total.
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