By: The Frisco Kid
NFL Week 3 has Some Interesting Lines to Watch
There have been some significant early line movements for NFL Week 3. Finding out the reason could net solid profits. Nothing is a given in sports betting, but early movement is usually a sign of big money.
Here are three games to keep an eye on leading up to kickoff this week.
New York Giants at Houston Texans | Open: HOU -3 | Current: HOU -6.5
This one opened Sunday evening at -3, -3.5 at a couple books. It was quickly bet up to -6 on Monday morning. That accounts for the biggest line move this week to this point. It can be found offshore at 6.5.
Such a move is most likely due to the one-dimensional offense that had trouble moving the ball. Add in an offense line that could not keep the Cowboys off Eli, you have trouble.
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It didn’t seem to matter to some bettors that the Texans lost to the Titans earlier on Sunday. This is the same Titan team that lost to the Dolphins in Week 1. I am going to keep an eye on this.
Remember that a ton of betting capital comes out of NYC. Angry fans could have thrown the bank against the Giants in a fit of rage. Let’s see how the public plays this one closer to kickoff.
Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks | Open: SEA -3 | Current: SEA -1.5
Around 7 PM on Sunday, the Seahawks opened as a 3-point home favorite. It stayed that way until some big money moved in on the Cowboys around 10 AM on Tuesday. The money shifted it to -1, but has settled at 1.5. It can be found in Vegas at PK if you look hard enough.
Reason for this move is two-fold. The reciprocal of the Giants as one. The Cowboys nearly dominating the Giants o-line is major. The Seahawks trending down after suffering a 24-17 loss to the Bears on Monday night.
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The Seahawks are hurting right now. They are playing without some key players. One of the league’s best defensive players in LB Bobby Wagner, their best receiver Doug Baldwin as well as two guards, 2 safeties and another linebacker. It is hard to produce with those key losses.
Russell Wilson is one of the best, but even he can’t will this team in its current state.
Who are the Cowboys is my biggest question right now. We have a good idea who the Seahawks are. Dallas lost Week 1 in Carolina 16-8. Then Dak Prescott threw for only 160 yards and 6.4 yards per completion this past Sunday against the Giants.
The Boys did muster 138 yards rushing on 25 attempts, only 17 of which from Zeke Elliott. Was an NFL low.
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Watch for reports out of Seattle later in the week to see if Wagner and company are practicing. It will affect their availability for Sunday’s matchup.
Seattle is a proud team that have a QB that knows how to win games.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Open: PIT -2.5 | Current: PIT -1
Fitzmagic mania has moved itself into the sports betting world it would seem. OR is this line movement due more to Antonio Brown’s antics to start the week?
The script is flipped on these two teams. The Steelers are 0-2, losing both games as the heavy favorite. The Bucs are 2-0, winning both as the heavy dog.
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Not having Le’Veon Bell has to be hurting the Steelers offense. James Conner has filled in admirably, but it is not the same. Perhaps the biggest problem facing Pittsburgh is their defense.
It’s normally a given that the Steelers will have a strong defense, but this year is looking like the contrary.
After allowing 21 points to the Browns and 42 last week to KC, including 6 Pat Mahomes passing TDs,you have to wonder.
AB was seen sulking on the sidelines during the game, then didn’t show up to team facilities on Monday, sparking trade talk. The Steelers will never trade Brown, but he’s a diva and the team needs to keep him happy and quiet.
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If the Buccaneers can keep spinning the magic and send the Steelers to 0-3 it will make some waves. The Bucs go to 3-0 that will be another surprise. You never know what can happen next week, so stay tuned.
We all watch the NFL for Sunday games and its continuous drama.
There you have the three biggest early line movements for Week 3 of the 2018 NFL season. Stay tuned as we get closer to game time with all the news, notes and information you need to beat the bookie.