Can the Miami Dolphins Pull off the Upset?
The Kansas City Chiefs head to South Beach to take on the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. The Chiefs roll in on a seven-game winning streak and mostly against quality competition. Their victims during that streak include Buffalo, Denver (twice), the Jets, Carolina, Las Vegas and Tampa Bay.
The last four wins in that streak have come by a combined 15 points and some cracks may be showing in the facade of the reigning Super Bowl Champs. The wins include a six-point win over Denver at home in which the Chiefs only managed 22 points. They needed late heroics to escape with a win. Could they be ripe for the upset?
Miami has gotten solid play out of rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and sit at 8-4 and atop the AFC East. The Fins’ are winners of six of their last seven, including a 19-7 win over the Bengals on Sunday. With a grinding defense, Miami wears the spirit out of their opponents.
What can they do to the Chiefs?
Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins (Sunday, December 13)
When: Sunday, December 13, 2020, 1:00 pm ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
TV: CBS
Radio: WDAF 106.5 FM Kansas City / WQAM 560 AM Miami
JAZZ Sports Odds: Chiefs -7 / Total 49*
Please Read our Review and See Why we Recommend JazzSports!!
Why the Chiefs Will Win
Patrick Mahomes threw for a solid 318 yards and a score for the Chiefs in their win over Denver. What could be a dangerous sign of things to come is that their leading rusher, Le’Veon Bell, only gained 40 yards on 11 carries.
If the Chiefs can’t run the ball on Miami they will have a hard time sustaining drives. Tight end Travis Kelce caught eight passes for 136 yards and a touchdown. He became the first tight end in NFL history to have five 1,000-yard seasons. The Chiefs’ struggles with sustaining drives will come back to bite them if they can’t find a way to eat up the clock.
The Chiefs have covered in five of their last seven games in December. Furthermore, they have covered in nine of their last 12 games against a team with a winning record. In their last four games as a favorite they have not covered the spread one single time. They have had to fight back from deficits and overcome a slow offense to pick up wins.
Why the Dolphins Will Win
Tua Tagovailoa has clearly recovered from his thumb injury. He threw for 296 yards and a score against Cincinnati. Dolphins’ tight end, Mike Gesicki, caught that touchdown pass and had nine receptions for 88 yards. Myles Gaskin picked up 90 yards on the ground on 21 attempts. The Dolphins established some balance against a Cincinnati team that does not have much of a defense right now.
Miami has covered in six of their last seven games against AFC opponents. What could be key is they have covered in four of their last five against a team with a record above .500. Kansas City has not won lately by more than six points. The Dolphins’ offense has struggled as well, but they should be able to find enough room to operate against the Chiefs to score at least two touchdowns.
The Final Word
I’m excited by the Tua experiment in South Beach, and Kansas City has seemed like a team limping toward a bad trap game. Give me the Dolphins in a grinder.
*Odds are subject to change.
Next up:
Kansas City at New Orleans Sunday, December 20
Miami home to New England Sunday, December 20
The Dart Throw: Dolphins 27, Chiefs 23
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Odds & Trends
| Miami Dolphins |
|---|
| Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games |
| Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games |
| The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 7 games |
| Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home |
| Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home |
| The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games at home |
| Miami is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Kansas City |
| Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas City |
| Kansas City Chiefs |
|---|
| Kansas City is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games |
| Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games |
| Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games |
| Kansas City is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road |
| Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road |
| The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City’s last 9 games on the road |
| Kansas City is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Miami |
| Kansas City is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Miami |
| Kansas City is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami |
| Kansas City is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami |
Please Read our Review and See Why we Recommend JazzSports!!