Can Browns Pick Up Important Road Win vs Tennessee Titans?
NFL PREDICTION: CLEVELAND BROWNS @ TENNESSEE TITANS
Are Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns for real? Today against the Tennessee Titans will go a long way in finding out how legit these Browns are as a contender. If you are like most of the sports gambling community, you just don’t have trust in Cleveland to keep up their current level of play.
After losing mysteriously to Las Vegas before their bye, the Cleveland Browns have won three in a row to sit at 8-3. That puts them in second place in the AFC North and currently in possession of one of the wild card playoff positions in the conference.
Those three wins have come against unimpressive teams to say the least. They have beaten Houston and Philadelphia at home and then needed to stave off a comeback to beat Jacksonville on the road last weekend.
Now comes a real test in the Tennessee Titans. Tennessee is also 8-3 and winners of two in a row . The real shocker was a loss to Cincinnati on November 1st, but they rebounded a bit. They have beaten Chicago and Baltimore and split a pair of games with the Colts.
Those two games against Indianapolis have shown both sides of Tennessee. The games have demonstrated the inconsistencies that remain a maddening part of the team.
Who will win this showdown? Don’t miss our preview.
Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans (Sunday, December 6)
When: Sunday, December 6, 2020, 1:00 pm ET
Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville
TV: CBS
Radio: ESPN 850 AM Cleveland / ESPN 680 AM Nashville
JAZZ Sports Odds: Titans -4 / Total 54*
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Why the Browns Will Win
Cleveland has won three of their last four on the road. The return of ex-UGA superstar, Nick Chubb to the lineup. has established the Browns firmly as a run-first offense. Baker Mayfield has a decent 17:7 TD:INT ratio but he does best when he can pass out of a play-action set.
He needs Chubb and Kareem Hunt to set the tone with a pounding running game to give him the best chance to produce. Chubb has 719 yards and six touchdowns. He has done this despite missing four games with injury.
Jarvis Landry has picked up the slack at wide receiver with Odell Beckham Jr done for the year. Rashard Higgins has come on too, with 19 catches so far.
The Browns defense allows 26 points per game. Myles Garrett has 9 ½ sacks to lead the defensive front. Ryan Tannehill will need to get rid of the ball quickly to stay off his back. The Browns down the field coverage gives up too many big pass plays, so the pass rush is essential.
The Browns are underdogs here, but the Titans have only covered twice in their last seven games as a favorite. They tend to do better with their backs against the wall. Today it will be interesting to see if beating the Colts leads them to slide back into their less intense ways.
Why the Titans Will Win
Ryan Tannehill has excelled in ball security this year. The journeyman signal caller has a 23:4 TD:INT ratio. His top targets have been A.J. Brown and Corey Davis,. The real story of the Titan offense is Derrick Henry. The beast has run for 1,257 yards and a dozen touchdowns in 11 games.
On defense the Titans permit 25.9 points per game. Amani Hooker leads the team with three picks and Harold Landry III has 4 ½ sacks.
Tennessee has covered just once in their last five home games against the Browns. They have covered just three times in their last ten games on a grass field. However, Derrick Henry is back on a tear. I’m not sure if the Browns are the team to stop him.
The Final Word
It’s fun watching both of these teams slug it out with old-school, smash-mouth football. They just try to run the ball down the opponent’s throat. Cleveland has had an impressive season, but are they for real? The Titans seem to be a level higher right now. I have the Titans winning on a bruising afternoon.
The Dart Throw: Titans 24, Browns 18
*Odds are subject to change.
Next up:
Cleveland home to Baltimore Monday, December 14
Tennessee at Jacksonville Sunday, December 13
Cleveland Browns vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Odds & Trends
Tennessee Titans |
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Tennessee is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games |
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 5 games |
Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home |
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tennessee’s last 12 games at home |
Tennessee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland |
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland |
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee’s last 6 games when playing Cleveland |
Tennessee is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland |
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland |
Cleveland Browns |
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Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games |
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games |
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 6 games |
Cleveland is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games on the road |
Cleveland is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road |
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 7 games on the road |
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee |
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 games when playing Tennessee |
Cleveland is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee |
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee |
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