NFL Props — What should we make of the Tua-Burrow duel?

Cincinnati Bengals Nfl Football

Looks to be some Intersting NFL Props in the Bengals vs Dolphins TNF Game

By Charles Jay

NFL Prop Bets, or NFL Props, are becoming more and more popular. The Thursday night game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins is, in some ways, a battle of quarterbacks. That’s because the respective rushing attacks of each team do not work all that well yet.

So BetOnline customers might see an emphasis on the pass as these teams meet at 8:15 PM ET at Paycor Stadium.

When you sign up, you’ll find that you can wager on many props through the mechanism of Prop Builder. You can literally go on and on and on.

Of course, our quarterbacks are Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa. Burrow, a Heisman Trophy winner and #1 overall draft pick, led the Bengals to the Super Bowl last season. Tua was at one point a favorite to win the Heisman and be the #1 pick. But injuries sidetracked him on the way to that.

Read our Review of BetOnline and See Why You Should Have Them in Your Arsenal

Bol Football Banners 300X50 Gif

Here are the NFL Props numbers on Burrow:

Joe Burrow — Pass Attempts

Over 36.5 Attempts -114
Under 36.5 Attempts -114

When you have a running back like Joe Mixon, you have a right to expect that you’ll get a little something out of the ground game. But the results for the Bengals in that regard have been disappointing. They are 30th in the NFL with a 3.3-yard average per rush. And in advanced metrics that they supply over at the analytics site Football Outsiders, they are 29th in the league in both Adjusted Line Yards and “Stuffed” Rate. That means, in effect, that they haven’t been able to run the ball with any effectiveness.

Over the course of his career, though, Burrow has exceeded this total of attempts only 40% of the time. And the Bengals have thrown the ball a little less than 62% of the time. So maybe the question revolves around how many plays they can run. The Dolphins desperately don’t want to be on the field for 90 plays like they were against Buffalo.

The Bengals would have to run about 60 plays for Burrow to exceed this number, based on the current rate. Last year they were less than 60%. Would Zac Taylor want to balance things a little more to try and stave off an all-out pass rush? Might it be a tactic to wear down the Miami defense, tired from last Sunday’s effort?

Either way, we’ll lean toward the UNDER on this one.

Related Articles
Nfl Props Betting

Tua Tagovailoa NFL Props — Pass Attempts

Over 34.5 Attempts -114
Under 34.5 Attempts -114

The best thing you can say about the Miami run game is that it is a work in progress. Mike McDaniel loves to run the ball, and did so very successfully in San Francisco. But the Dolphins have gotten off to a slow start there, averaging 3.3 yards per carry and ranking right below Cincinnati in that statistical category.

Nonetheless, it might be worth McDaniel’s while to make play calls that try to establish a ground game, even it is just to keep his defense off the field a little longer. When you are out there for 90 plays against an efficient offense like Buffalo’s and then have to turn around a few days later, a break is what you need.

On top of that, Tua has exceeded this total in only one-third of his career starts. So although he may gather some considerable yardage due to the big-play capability of his receivers, we see more value in the UNDER on this one.

You can bet a lot of props at BetOnline, and it comes through Prop Builder. Lots and lots of angles to enjoy the game with……. And one of the best things about it is that you can use so many ways to open up an account, not only your credit card but every conceivable cvryptocurrency you can imagine!

Read our Review of BetOnline and See Why You Should Have Them in Your Arsenal

Bol Football Banners 300X50 Gif


Dirty has been an employee or owner of some of the top online sports gambling forums since 1998. He worked at EOG.com from it's inception until 2008 when he left and opened GamblingIQ and then in 2012 opened Handicappers Hidaway. He has written hundreds af articles over the years and always has his "Dirty Dozen" College Football poll up starting the first week of October.
Notify of

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

Related Articles

Back to top button
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x