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The Late Games in Week 8 Have Some Intriguing NFL Odds

By Charles Jay

Week 8 NFL Odds are pretty intriguing this week. One of the more interesting parts of this week’s NFL slate is the insertion of new quarterbacks who might be able to bring an extra dimension to their offenses. It promises to be a wide-open race in the AFC South, and these guys may be able to have an impact on the proceedings.

Here are some games we’re looking at, with odds coming from the good folks at BetOnline:

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Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans, 4:05 PM ET

NFL Odds: Pick’em, Total: 39

Malik Willis will replace the injured Ryan Tannehill at quarterback. This brings with it some disadvantages. Willis was sacked more times than any other college QB last year, so it goes without saying that he has a problem with decision-making as he is still something of a “project.” And we are wondering how successful the Titans will be around the red zone; after all, they lead the league with 80% touchdowns.

Houston allows 5.2 yards per carry and more rushing yards per game than anyone. That makes them especially vulnerable to what Derrick Henry can do. And then, of course, you have Willis, who will no doubt be executing some designed runs that the Texans will not have prepped for. It’s ground and pound, and can Houston trade points with Davis Mills? His most dangerous receiver, Nico Collins, is pretty banged up here.

The Play:  TITANS pick

New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks, 4:25 PM ET

BetOnline NFL Odds: Seahawks -3 (-120), Total: 44.5

Lots of praise has come Wink Martindale’s way, but what worries us a bit about the Giants’ defense is the 5.7 yards per carry it has given up. That would seem to play into the hands of Seattle’s ground game, which lost a real producer in Rashaad Penny and just kept chugging along after he was injured. Kenneth Walker III rolled for 168 yards last week, and is up over six yards a carry.

Originally we were getting on board with the “under” in this game, because the Giants are certainly trending in that direction (28 of last 38). And they both like to run the ball (don’t forget that the Giants have Saquon Barkley).

But Seattle’s defense has been disappointing; near the bottom in most categories. And they have done much better than expected on the offensive side as Geno Smith leads the league in completion percentage (73.5%). And DK Metcalf is suiting up after all. So this one may get wild.

The Play: OVER 44.5 points

Washington Commanders at Indianapolis Colts, 4:25 PM ET

Football Betting Odds:  Colts -3 (-104), Total: 39.5

Matt Ryan has been dropped from his starting spot and Sam Ehlinger will take over with virtually no experience except in a glittering preseason. At least Taylor Heinicke is an experienced backup (forced into action in Washington).

The Colts have been listless on offense (just 16.1 ppg). But nobody has prepared for THIS iteration of it. Ehlinger has a lot of mobility, while Ryan (who got sacked more than anyone) did not. Indy only ran it 40% of the time. That will increase. Frank Reich is most certainly making an effort to take the team back to what it does best, which is to rely on Jonathan Taylor, who led the NFL in rushing last year. They’ll show some new life, at least for the short term.

The Play: COLTS -3 (-104)

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Dirty has been an employee or owner of some of the top online sports gambling forums since 1998. He worked at EOG.com from it's inception until 2008 when he left and opened GamblingIQ and then in 2012 opened Handicappers Hidaway. He has written hundreds af articles over the years and always has his "Dirty Dozen" College Football poll up starting the first week of October.
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