Rams Have to Slow Down Chiefs Offense
The Kansas City Chiefs (12-4 SU, 9-6-1 ATS) haven’t claimed the Super Bowl in almost 50 years. They can end that streak with three more wins, starting this Saturday when they host the Indianapolis Colts (11-6 SU, 9-7-1 ATS).
While the Chiefs have been competitive since hiring Andy Reid as their head coach in 2013, they’re a whole new team this year with Patrick Mahomes II at quarterback. Mahomes led the NFL during the regular season with 50 touchdown passes and an 82.0 QBR, piloting the best offense Kansas City has ever seen – but can their defense hold its end of the bargain?
Andrew Luck will put them to the test on Saturday. After missing the entire 2017 campaign with shoulder issues, Luck found his groove in late October, quarterbacking the Colts to nine wins in their last 10 regular-season games (6-3-1 ATS) and a 21-7 victory over the Houston Texans (–1.5 at home) in the Wild Card round. Unfortunately, safety Mike Mitchell appears doubtful to face the Chiefs after straining his calf in Houston
This That, and a Dart Throw
History does not favor the Chiefs entering Saturday’s AFC divisional round matchup versus the sixth-seeded Colts. That does not concern the overwhelming favorite for league MVP honors. Second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes leads the NFL‘s most prolific offense as the top-seeded Chiefs look to secure only their second win in 12 playoff appearances since 1994.
Mahomes is the driving force behind an offense that ranked No. 1 in total offense with 425.6 ypg and points per game at 35.3. Indianapolis quarterback Andrew Luck finished second to Mahomes with 39 scoring passes after missing the entire 2017 season.
- The 89 TD passes by Mahomes and Luck are the most by any quarterbacks in an NFL playoff game.
- Mahomes threw for at least 300 yards 10 times. He had at least four scoring passes in seven games.
- Indianapolis allowed the fewest sacks in the league with 18.
PREDICTION: Chiefs 31, Colts 23
NFL Divisional Playoffs Betting Odds & Trends
|The Colts are 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games|
|The Colts are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games|
|The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis’s last 8 games|
|The Colts are 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road|
|Indianapolis is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road|
|The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indianapolis’s last 13 games on the road|
|The Colts are 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Kansas City|
|Indianapolis is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Kansas City|
|The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis’s last 8 games when playing Kansas City|
|The Colts are 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City|
|Indianapolis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City|
|Kansas City Chiefs|
|The Chiefs are 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games|
|Kansas City is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games|
|The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 6 games|
|The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home|
|Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home|
|The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City’s last 13 games at home|
|The Chiefs are 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Indianapolis|
|Kansas City is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing Indianapolis|
|The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 8 games when playing Indianapolis|
|The Chiefs are 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Indianapolis|
|Kansas City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Indianapolis|
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