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NFL Betting Odds — Broncos make change at QB for meeting with Jets

Denver Broncos  Nfl Football

Injury Has Forced Russell Wilson to Bench as the Broncos Host the Jets in NFL Week 7 Action

By Charles Jay

Who would have thunk these teams would be in this situation coming into NFL Week 7 Action. Some people might have some disparaging comments about how the New York Jets brought themselves to a 4-2 record in the AFC East. But it doesn’t matter; they’ve got that record, and it’s all that counts.

Now they have to venture into hostile territory on Sunday, as they take on the Denver Broncos in a game that begins at 4:05 p.m. Eastern time at Empower Field at Mile High. BetAnySports customers can see this game on CBS on a regional basis.

Last year’s meeting was catastrophic for the Jets, who lost 26-0 to the Broncos and had an anemic offense that day, with only 162 total yards.

New York’s Zach Wilson has come back from an injury to assume his role at quarterback, although it’s hardly been a big celebration. The Jets have won his last three starts, but he’s thrown only one touchdown pass. And he had only 99 yards through the air against Green Bay last week.

But the fact of the matter is, the Jets won that 27-10 as an underdog at Lambeau Field. So there is no escaping the fact that there are some very positive things going on for “Gang Green.”

Now here’s the big wild card – Denver QB Russell Wilson, who has a hamstring injury, has been ruled out for this game. Brett Rypien will start in his place, and the irony is that Josh Johnson, who started one game for the Jets last season and threw for over 300 yards, will be Denver’s backup. Yes, the guy is very well-traveled.

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NFL Betting Odds — Here are the numbers…..

In the NFL betting odds that have been posted on this game by the folks at BetAnySports, the Jets have been pronounced the road favorite:

New York Jets – 1.5
Denver Broncos + 1.5

Over 37 points -110
Under 37 points – 110

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NFL Betting Odds — What the quarterback change for the Broncos means

Even with Russell Wilson in the lineup, the Broncos were sputtering on offense. Most notably, they were converting less than 10% of their third-and-long opportunities, and they are dead last in the NFL in red-zone touchdown percentage at 20%.

If you are a Wilson critic, and think that his presence has contributed to the pathetic showing, then maybe you will welcome Rypien into the lineup.

Rypien, out of Boise State, has made one previous start, and that was in 2020 against the Jets, when he threw for 242 yards but got intercepted three times. He came in relief late last season and was picked off four times. Do you see a red flag there?

NFL Betting Odds — Has the Jets’ defense proven itself?

Under Robert Saleh, the Jets like to think they are experiencing a defensive renaissance. Frankly, the jury is still out on everything. Yes, they took advantage of some Packer mistakes and put the game away like a good team should. But in the previous two games, they had encountered Pittsburgh and Miami squads who were employing a quarterback who had never thrown an NFL pass before.

One thing you have to acknowledge about the Jets is that they have been getting some impact from this year’s draft choices. Garrett Wilson, taken in the first round out of Ohio State, leads the team in receptions. Sauce Gardner has been a pain in the neck in the defensive backfield against opposing receivers. And Breece Hall leads the team with 391 yards rushing, making for a rather potent duo with Michael Carter.

NFL Betting Odds — Our verdict

When you take a look at the defensive numbers, they are not necessarily bad on either side. Denver is second in the league in yards allowed per drive, while the Jets are sixth. Denver is operating at something of a handicap on the offensive line, as starting left tackle Garett Bolles, a Pro Bowl participant, is out with a broken leg. This doesn’t help Rypien any.

And you know, if you thought Russell Wilson was hamstrung by the new system coach Nathaniel Hackett has put in place, the same holds true for Rypien.

We would have to give the Jets an edge when it comes to the ground game, in a matchup where one team will invariably try to control the clock. But our preferred play here is on the total; Denver has played 17 of its last 23 games UNDER the total, and that sounds just about right to us.

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Dirty has been an employee or owner of some of the top online sports gambling forums since 1998. He worked at EOG.com from it's inception until 2008 when he left and opened GamblingIQ and then in 2012 opened Handicappers Hidaway. He has written hundreds af articles over the years and always has his "Dirty Dozen" College Football poll up starting the first week of October.
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