New England Patriots Host Atlanta After Epic Super Bowl Comeback
The fans at Gillette Stadium will see the Atlanta Falcons and the New England Patriots when they take their seats on Sunday. This is a rematch of Super Bowl LI and one fans of both squads have been waiting for. Gametime is set for 8:30 pm EST. NBC will televise the game nationally.
Oddsmakers opened the Patriots as -3.5-point favorites versus the Falcons, while the game’s total opened at 53.5. The line now has the Patriots as 3-point favorites. The total has climbed to 57.
ATL 28,NE 3
That was the score in the third quarter of last season’s Super Bowl LI. The New England Patriots pulled off the greatest comeback in the history of the game. That comeback left the Atlanta Falcons and their fans stunned with a 34-28 loss. The win produced the fifth championship of the Bill Belichick/Tom Brady era.
Both teams have had their problems leading up to the rematch.
The Patriots had to rally from 14 points down to beat the New York Jets last week. Matt Ryan and the Falcons were dropping their second straight to fall to 3-2. Both losses at home and both against the AFC East teams.
New England Patriots Look to Protect Brady
New England won its last outing, a 24-17 result against the New York Jets on October 15. The Patriots failed to cover in that game as a -9-point favorite, while the 41 combined points took the game UNDER the total.
The Patriots struggled to keep Brady upright, until last week. The Jets didn’t get to the quarterback. The Falcons come into this game tied for 21st in the league with 12 sacks.
What works for the Patriots is Brady having Gronkowski at his disposal. New England went 12-0 without the star tight end last season, BUT. The Patriots are a better team with Gronkowski on the field. After losing key receiver Julian Edelman for the season with a knee injury a healthy Gronk is a must.
Gronkowski caught six passes for 83 yards and two touchdowns against the Jets.
Falcons Look to Stop 2nd Half Collapses
Last time out for Atlanta, they were a 20-17 loser as they battled the Miami Dolphins at home. The Falcons failed to cover in the match as a -14-point favorite, while 37 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.
Atlanta was outscored a combined 36-7 in the second half by the Buffalo Bills and the Dolphins the last two weeks. They were outscored 20-0 by Miami last week.
The Falcons changed offensive coordinators since last season, but the early results under Steve Sarkisian haven’t been great.
Name |
Offense |
Defense |
Differential |
ATL |
15.65 |
14.33 |
1.32 |
NE |
14.37 |
16.63 |
-2.26 |
Name |
Offense |
Defense |
Differential |
ATL |
11.51 |
9.15 |
2.36 |
NE |
12.15 |
12.49 |
-0.34 |
Name |
Offense |
Defense |
Differential |
ATL |
4.80 |
4.25 |
0.55 |
NE |
4.01 |
4.66 |
-0.65 |
Name |
Record |
Home |
Away |
ATS |
ATS Home |
ATS Away |
Offense |
Defense |
Diff |
Overall |
3-2 |
1-2 |
2-0 |
2-3 |
1-2 |
1-1 |
24.20 |
21.80 |
2.40 |
vs Conf |
3-0 |
1-0 |
2-0 |
2-1 |
1-0 |
1-1 |
29.00 |
22.00 |
7.00 |
vs Div |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Last 3 |
1-2 |
0-2 |
1-0 |
1-2 |
0-2 |
1-0 |
21.33 |
23.00 |
-1.67 |
Name |
Record |
Home |
Away |
ATS |
ATS Home |
ATS Away |
Offense |
Defense |
Diff |
Overall |
4-2 |
1-2 |
3-0 |
2-4 |
0-3 |
2-1 |
28.67 |
26.50 |
2.17 |
vs Conf |
2-1 |
1-1 |
1-0 |
0-3 |
0-2 |
0-1 |
29.00 |
30.67 |
-1.67 |
vs Div |
1-0 |
0-0 |
1-0 |
0-1 |
0-0 |
0-1 |
24.00 |
17.00 |
7.00 |
Last 3 |
2-1 |
0-1 |
2-0 |
1-2 |
0-1 |
1-1 |
24.33 |
21.33 |
3.00 |
Title |
Stat |
Rank |
Stat |
Rank |
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense |
24.20 |
12 |
26.50 |
30 |
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense |
292.50 |
3 |
316.00 |
30 |
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense |
107.50 |
15 |
150.00 |
28 |
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense |
28.67 |
5 |
21.80 |
15 |
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense |
292.33 |
3 |
214.50 |
11 |
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense |
87.67 |
22 |
98.00 |
11 |
Name |
Record |
ATS |
OU |
Score |
Rush |
YPR |
PA |
CP |
PY |
TY |
TO +/- |
Atlanta |
2-5 |
2-5 |
5-2 |
24.29 |
97.14 |
4.33 |
33.00 |
59.74 |
251.86 |
349.00 |
1.14 |
New England |
5-2 |
5-2 |
5-2 |
24.57 |
115.14 |
4.05 |
40.43 |
62.54 |
291.71 |
406.86 |
1.86 |
Date |
Away |
Home |
Score |
Line |
Total |
OU Result |
ARY |
APY |
ATY |
ATT |
HRY |
HPY |
HTY |
HTT |
Away Team Attempts |
Home Team Attempts |
Away Team Completions |
Home Team Completions |
Feb 5, 2017 |
NE |
ATL |
34-28 |
104 |
442 |
546 |
2 |
104 |
240 |
344 |
1 |
Sep 29, 2013 |
NE |
ATL |
30-23 |
132 |
316 |
448 |
0 |
58 |
399 |
457 |
1 |
Sep 27, 2009 |
ATL |
NE |
10-26 |
58 |
199 |
257 |
1 |
168 |
277 |
445 |
0 |
Oct 9, 2005 |
NE |
ATL |
31-28 |
141 |
342 |
483 |
1 |
116 |
284 |
400 |
0 |
Nov 4, 2001 |
NE |
ATL |
24-10 |
135 |
236 |
371 |
2 |
140 |
104 |
244 |
1 |
Nov 8, 1998 |
ATL |
NE |
41-10 |
117 |
249 |
366 |
2 |
18 |
205 |
223 |
5 |
Oct 1, 1995 |
NE |
ATL |
17-30 |
108 |
224 |
332 |
3 |
87 |
288 |
375 |
2 |
Nov 29, 1992 |
NE |
ATL |
0-34 |
|
|
|
0 |
|
|
|
0 |
Oct 15, 1989 |
NE |
ATL |
15-16 |
|
|
|
0 |
|
|
|
0 |
Nov 2, 1986 |
ATL |
NE |
17-25 |
|
|
|
0 |
|
|
|
0 |
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games |
Atlanta is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games |
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Atlanta’s last 24 games |
Atlanta is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road |
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road |
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 games on the road |
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England |
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England |
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 games when playing New England |
New England is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games |
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games |
New England is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games |
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England’s last 10 games |
New England is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games at home |
New England is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home |
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta |
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta |
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England’s last 7 games when playing Atlanta |
Date |
Opponent |
score |
Result |
line |
ATS Result |
offensive rush yards |
offensive passing yards |
offensive total yards |
defensive rush yards |
defensive passing yards |
defensive total yards |
turnovers |
Location |
Oct 15, 2017 |
MIA |
17-20 |
L |
-14/45.5 |
L/U |
100 |
239 |
339 |
138 |
151 |
289 |
0 |
H |
Oct 1, 2017 |
BUF |
17-23 |
L |
-8/47.5 |
L/U |
149 |
242 |
391 |
117 |
164 |
281 |
3 |
H |
Sep 24, 2017 |
DET |
30-26 |
W |
-3/50.5 |
W/O |
151 |
277 |
428 |
71 |
253 |
324 |
3 |
A |
Sep 17, 2017 |
GB |
34-23 |
W |
-3/55 |
W/O |
141 |
223 |
364 |
59 |
308 |
367 |
-2 |
H |
Sep 10, 2017 |
CHI |
23-17 |
W |
-6.5/48.5 |
L/U |
64 |
308 |
372 |
125 |
176 |
301 |
0 |
A |
Date |
Opponent |
score |
Result |
line |
ATS Result |
offensive rush yards |
offensive passing yards |
offensive total yards |
defensive rush yards |
defensive passing yards |
defensive total yards |
turnovers |
Location |
Oct 15, 2017 |
NYJ |
24-17 |
W |
-9/48.5 |
L/U |
118 |
257 |
375 |
74 |
334 |
408 |
-1 |
A |
Oct 5, 2017 |
TB |
19-14 |
W |
-3.5/54.5 |
W/U |
113 |
289 |
402 |
90 |
319 |
409 |
2 |
A |
Oct 1, 2017 |
CAR |
30-33 |
L |
-9/47.5 |
L/O |
80 |
293 |
373 |
140 |
304 |
444 |
-2 |
H |
Sep 24, 2017 |
HOU |
36-33 |
W |
-13.5/44 |
L/O |
59 |
337 |
396 |
125 |
292 |
417 |
-1 |
H |
Sep 17, 2017 |
NO |
36-20 |
W |
-6/55.5 |
W/O |
119 |
436 |
555 |
81 |
348 |
429 |
0 |
A |
Next up:
Atlanta at New York Sunday, October 29
New England home to Los Angeles Sunday, October 29
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