Game 3 of the NBA Finals see the Mavericks Host the Celtics
The NBA Finals take a dramatic turn as the series shifts to Dallas for a pivotal Game 3. The Celtics, fueled by two dominant victories in Boston, have stolen home-court advantage and put immense pressure on the Mavericks to avoid falling into a daunting 0-3 hole. This extended preview dives into the key story-lines, potential adjustments, and intriguing betting angles that will shape this critical matchup.
The Mavericks need to have a great game from Kyrie Irving and at least one one role player to keep the Celtics from putting them in a hole they may not be able to get out of.
The Porzingis Uncertainty for the NBA Finals
A significant cloud hangs over Game 3: the health status of Kristaps Porzingis. The Mavericks’ star big man suffered a knee injury in Game 2, and his absence would be a devastating blow. Porzingis’ presence provides much-needed size and spacing alongside Luka Doncic, and his ability to stretch the floor and punish smaller defenders was sorely missed in the first two games. Following official updates on his availability will be crucial for bettors, as a healthy Porzingis significantly alters the dynamic of the matchup.
Dallas in Desperation Mode
Facing going down 0-3 at home in the NBA Finals, expect the Mavericks to play with a desperation edge that was absent in Boston. Coach Jason Kidd knows it is imperative to get a quality game out of Irving and needs a little more from Dereck Lively II. They will also have to set some offensive screens to keep Boston from pounding on Luka the entire game and wearing him down.
We could see aggressive offensive schemes designed to try to get people open against the Celtics smothering defense. Any schemes will have an emphasis on creating driving lanes for Doncic. Another key is getting open looks for role players who have struggled thus far. The home crowd at American Airlines Center will undoubtedly be electric, hoping to inject a much-needed spark into the team’s performance and potentially disrupt the Celtics’ composure.
Celtics’ Road Warriors Mentality
The Celtics have thrived on the road throughout the playoffs, boasting a perfect 6-0 record. However, facing a desperate Mavericks team at home presents a different challenge. Maintaining their defensive intensity and composure in a hostile environment will be crucial for Boston to extend their series lead. Head Coach Joe Mazzulla will likely emphasize staying focused on their game plan, limiting turnovers, and capitalizing on any openings created by the potentially over-aggressive Mavericks defense.
NBA Finals Betting Landscape
Despite the Celtics’ convincing victories, the odds for Game 3 are surprisingly close. This suggests that oddsmakers anticipate a tighter contest, potentially decided by a few key plays. Some sportsbooks have the Mavericks as slight favorites by 2.5 or 3-points. The moneyline reflects a similar sentiment, with Boston priced at around +124 and Dallas -149 at Juicebet.
The total points (Over/Under) sits at around 213.5 or 214, as it has been going back and forth all day. If the Mavericks come out aggressive and push the tempo, we could see a higher-scoring affair that pushes the total over. However, if the Celtics prioritize a slower, more methodical pace to limit Doncic’s effectiveness and exploit mismatches in the post, the total could go under.
NBA Finals — Key Figures to Watch
- Luka Doncic (Mavericks): Doncic needs a historic performance to keep the Mavericks’ hopes alive. He’ll need to find ways to score efficiently against Boston’s physical defense, utilize screens effectively, and elevate his teammates with his play-making ability. Ball movement and finding open looks for role players like Jalen Brunson and Dorian Finney-Smith will also be critical for Dallas’ offensive success.
- Jayson Tatum (Celtics): Tatum has been Boston’s offensive engine, averaging over 30 points in the series. Continued dominance from him will make it incredibly difficult for Dallas to climb back into the series. However, if the Mavericks manage to double-team Tatum more aggressively, his ability to create scoring opportunities for his teammates like Jaylen Brown and Marcus Smart will be crucial in maintaining offensive flow.
- Jalen Brunson (Mavericks): With Porzingis potentially out, Brunson will need to step up as Doncic’s primary offensive partner. His ability to create his own shot, attack the basket, and knock down open threes will be crucial for Dallas’ scoring output. If Brunson can have a breakout performance, it could significantly boost the Mavericks’ chances.
NBA Finals Prediction with a Twist
While the Celtics are undeniably the better team, a desperate Mavericks team playing at home shouldn’t be underestimated. If Porzingis sits out, it significantly increases Boston’s chances of taking a commanding 3-0 lead. However, if he suits up, even at a limited capacity, it injects a major X-factor into the matchup. His ability to stretch the floor, rebound, and protect the rim will be a major factor for Boston that the Mavs will have to defend on top of the already talented Celtics lineup.
Pick: This is a close call, with the potential for a nail-biting finish. The Celtics getting 3-points here is a gift.
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