Kansas City Chiefs Not the Same Crew as They Play Host to Giants
By Charles Jay
The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off one of their most humiliating losses in years. This is a proud team; the representative for the AFC in the last two Super Bowls. And they were reduced to almost nothing against the Tennessee Titans.
So what should BetAnySports customers expect when they line up for a Monday Night Football encounter with the New York Giants?
We’ll explore that, as we await the 8:15 p.m. Eastern time kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium.
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Monday Night Football — Here are the numbers…
In the odds that have been posted on this game by the folks at BetAnySports, the Chiefs are double-digit favorites:
Kansas City Chiefs – 10.5
New York Giants + 10.5
Over 52 points -110
Under 52 points -110
The Chiefs come into this game with a record of 3 – 4, and they have some catching up to do in the AFC West, where Las Vegas, minus coach Jon Gruden, leads the pack at 5 – 2. The Giants are not likely to catch the Dallas Cowboys in the NFC East with their 2 – 5 record, but there may be some outside chances through the wild-card route.
Monday Night Football — What happened to the Kansas City offense?
Well, they are still producing, but in a rather different way. In the drive stats supplied at the analytics site Football Outsiders, Kansas City is still tops in the NFL in yards gained on a per-drive basis. However, the big plays have not necessarily been there in profusion.
Tyreek Hill has averaged a rather pedestrian – for him – 12.3 yards per reception. Travis Kelce is perfectly reliable, with 45 receptions, but his average is only 11.8 yards. Patrick Mahomes has had to get rid of the football quicker, because his offensive line is not top -shelf. They had a lot of rebuilding to do since the last post-season with a banged-up unit that caused Mahomes all kinds of headaches.
Mahomes has already thrown nine interceptions, and BetAnySports patrons may be surprised to know that’s tied for the most in the National Football League. He averages 7.6 yards per attempt, which is only slightly more than his counterpart, Daniel Jones, and this team is still searching for a ground game in the absence of the injured Clyde Edwards-Helaire.
Monday Night Football – What can we expect from the Giants offense?
Well, Jones is still developing, and he’s been up and down, but when you look at numbers like five touchdown passes and 7.2 yards an attempt, it’s not anything that’s going to blow anyone’s doors off.
The argument can be made that New York has just not had all of its playmakers healthy at the same time. And that argument is somewhat valid, in the respect that Saquon Barkley is still out with an injury, and the likes of Sterling Shepard, Darius Slayton, EvanEngram and Kadarius Toney have been in sort of a revolving door in and out of the trainer’s room.
The update for this game is that Shepherd and Slayton will play, while Barkley and wide receiver Kenny Golladay are out.
Question marks still surround Toney, the rookie who has the potential to do a lot of damage. He had 267 yards through the air in two games against New Orleans and Dallas, and he got injured against the Rams after just five minutes of play, during which he had 36 yards. He’s come back to practice, and theoretically he’s a game-time decision, but can the Giants really afford to sit him out?
This team has dealt with a lot of defensive line injuries, as three starters from the beginning of the season are out, including left tackle Andrew Thomas. But you know, Matt Peart, a third-round draft choice out of UConn last year, has played pretty well on the left side, surrendering only two sacks.
Like the Chiefs, however, there is no running game to speak about, except those scampers that Jones makes. He actually leads the team with 229 yards.
Monday Night Football — The Kansas City “defense,” perhaps the difference-maker
And what we mean by that is the difference maker in terms of covering the spread. The Giants only have the capacity to overwhelm on offense if Toney really gets into a groove, but frankly, Kansas City hasn’t demonstrated the ability to stop anybody. They are 30th in the NFL in scoring defense, and 26th in pass defense. In six of their seven games they’ve given up at least 27 points. And they are dead last in the NFL in both yards and points allowed per drive. So there is nothing impressive here, and you’ve got to believe that defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo, who held the same job with the Giants at one time, has to be worried about his future.
Monday Night Football – Our conclusion
We are thinking that the Giants can score enough to cover the number, especially as we are not looking at the same Kansas City team that we’ve seen the past couple of seasons. And since we don’t see New York putting up a fortress defensively, unless it is to put those safeties deep enough to keep guys like Hill from going crazy, we can also see an “over” in the total. After all, it might take KC longer to score, but they won’t be doing it with the “ground and pound,” considering they’ve thrown it 71% of the time in the last three games.
Trends that might interest you — the Giants have covered eleven of their last 13 as a road underdog, and Kansas City is 4 – 14 ATS in their last 18 ballgames.
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