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DFS College Football: Tap In To Mac’s Daily Fantasy CFB Player Picks for Oct. 3
We’re now in the fifth week of the college football season and FantasyAces is going strong, offering another $20,000 FACFC Live Final Qualifier, in addition to some other great tournaments at various price points. If you aren’t playing college football on FantasyAces this year, you’re missing out!
Hurricane Joaquin is the big story this weekend for the East Coast games. How much wind and rain will we see, and what games will be affected the most? Make sure you monitor Twitter and leave some time to research the weather if you plan on using guys in East Coast games on Saturday.
TOP GAME TOTALS
Last week was a great example of the benefit of looking to Vegas for totals when preparing your roster. The TCU-Texas Tech game had a total over 80, and if you were able to squeeze in some guys from that game, chances are it was a good Saturday. This week, we have a game with a Vegas total approaching 90 points. 90 points! Here are some of the key totals to keep an eye on when doing your research:
Texas Tech-Baylor (Baylor -17, O/U 88)
Houston-Tulsa (Houston -7, O/U 81)
Washington State-Cal (Nebraska -18, O/U 72)
BOTTOM GAME TOTALS
South Carolina-Missouri (Missouri -4, O/U 43)
Florida State-Wake Forest (Florida St. -19, O/U 46)
Iowa-Wisconsin (Wisconsin -6, 46)
QUARTERBACK TOP PLAYS
Greg Ward, Jr., Houston (Fantasy Aces $6,600)
This is definitely a week to pay up for quarterback. Five of the top six quarterbacks in terms of pricing are playing in games with Vegas totals over 70 points. Nailing a big game from both QB spots is imperative this week. While Ward doesn’t quite have the name recognition of the rest of the group, his numbers this season are amazing, and the Tulsa defense is often times non-existent. Ward has accounted for 12 touchdowns this season, with eight on the ground and four through the air. He is one of the top dual threats in all of college football and is poised to have a huge game this week.
Jared Goff, Cal (Fantasy Aces $6,200)
Goff will not give you the rushing totals of Ward, but he is one of the top pocket QB in the NCAA, and his opponent this week is Washington State. Last year against the Cougars, Goff threw for 527 yards and five touchdowns as Cal earned a 60-59 win. While the projected game total is 72, I still expect the ball to be in the air most of the afternoon. Cal has been running the ball a bit more this season, but I’m looking for Goff to air it out close to 50 times in this one, and return a huge number for his DFS owners.
QUARTERBACK VALUE PLAY
Drew Lock, Missouri (Fantasy Aces $3,750)
Lock is in a similar situation as last week’s value play David Blough. He is replacing suspended starter Matty Mauk under center this week, and should exceed value with four full quarters of playing time. While the total for this game isn’t one of the highest of the week, if Lock can find the end zone twice against South Carolina, he will pay off his price tag.
RUNNING BACK TOP PLAYS
Dalvin Cook, Florida State (Fantasy Aces $6,050)
If we are paying up for two stud QBs this week, we need to go down the list at running back to squeeze out a lineup. Cook is a great option at his price point. He was held in check by Boston College last Thursday night, but this week’s matchup with Wake Forest is much more fantasy friendly. Remember, Cook averaged over 200 yards on the ground in his first two games this season. Wake has allowed 150 yards per game on the ground this year, and they have not played anybody the caliber of the Seminoles. I think Cook has the recipe for success this week.
Terrell Newby, Nebraska (Fantasy Aces $5,200)
Newby burned me last week, picking up just 8.5 points as one of my top running back plays, but I am going back to the well once again this week with the Cornhuskers’ back. Newby is definitely the top back for Nebraska, and he is a nice spot this week going against Illinois. I’m looking for Newby to be near 150 total yards and two scores this week.
RUNNING BACK VALUE PLAY
Jeff Carr, Oklahoma State (Fantasy Aces $3,500)
Much like last week’s Value RB selection Vic Enwere, this week’s value runner also relies on injury news closer to game time. Both of the backs ahead of Carr on the depth chart are battling injuries this week.
Monitor the news on Chris Carson (FantasyAces $5,500) and Rennie Childs (FantasyAces $4,850), and if both are out, Carr is a plug and play. He won’t have it easy against Kansas State’s tough run defense, but Oklahoma State has shown a renewed commitment to the run this season and with significant touches, Carr can pay off his price point.
WIDE RECEIVER TOP PLAYS
Corey Coleman, Baylor (Fantasy Aces $6,850)
Last week I urged you to spend up on the highest-priced wide receiver on the board in Josh Doctson, and if you were able to fit him under your cap, you reaped the rewards. This week, I’m going to do the same, just with Baylor’s Corey Coleman. The Baylor-Texas Tech game has one of the highest expected totals in recent memory, with the Bears projected total at 52 points. Even though Baylor is loaded with talent at wide receiver, Coleman is their primary target and is a big play machine. Coleman has eight touchdowns in the Bears’ first three games and has exceeded 25 fantasy points each week. Despite just 17 catches on the year, he has racked up 460 yards receiving. We all saw what Doctson did to the Red Raiders defense last week, and there is no reason Coleman can’t do the same this week.
DeMarcus Ayers, Houston (Fantasy Aces $5,650)
Ayers is the guy I am using to connect with Ward this weekend. While Ward does a lot of damage on the ground, when the Cougars go to the air, Ayers is their main target. He also gets a few carries each week and has put up some nice rushing numbers. In a game with an anticipated fast pace, Ayers is a great mid-range option—he has had at least eight catches in each of Houston’s first three games, has over 300 yards receiving and has scored three times. The Cougars are going to need to score some points to keep up with Tulsa, and Ayers is a great choice that will outscore a lot of higher-priced wide receivers this week.
WIDE RECEIVER VALUE PLAY
Joshua Atkinson, Tulsa (Fantasy Aces $4,950)
If you follow CFB DFS, you surely know about Keevan Lucas (FantasyAces $6,750) and Keyarris Garrett (FantasyAces $5,550). Both are in good spots to put up nice numbers against Houston this week in a game with a Vegas total over 80. However, Atkinson has started to make a name for himself as well this season, with 13 catches for 223 yards and two scores in just two games. More importantly, Atkinson was targeted 15 times against Oklahoma in Tulsa’s last contest. At under $5,000, if he sees double digit targets again, he will more than pay off his price point.
TIGHT END TOP PLAY
Mark Andrews, Oklahoma (Fantasy Aces $4,200)
Andrews has been a nice surprise for the Sooners’ offense early in 2015. He has the ability to get down the field for big plays, and he compliments the rest of Oklahoma’s offensive attack nicely. He found the end zone twice against Tulsa two weeks back and always sees some targets over the course of the game. If you have a little extra cash to spend at the tight end position, he is a nice option this week against West Virginia.
TIGHT END VALUE PLAY
Jerell Adams, South Carolina (Fantasy Aces $3,700)
Adams had a nice game last week against Central Florida, hauling in three passes for 47 yards. I think he will be a low-owned option in GPP this week for a number of reasons. The game doesn’t have the highest total on the board, the Gamecocks’ passing offense has been sub-par, and there is a chance this game could be affected by the weather. So why use him? With South Carolina struggling to get the ball downfield through the air, I look for them to utilize the short passing game against Missouri, and Adams should be a key part of that attack. If he can find his way into the end zone once, you will have more than you need from his price point.
TAP IN TO MAC’S MONEY PLAYER OF THE WEEK
Corey Coleman, Baylor (Fantasy Aces $6,800)
The Baylor-Texas Tech game has one of the highest expected totals in recent memory, with the Bears projected total at 52 points. Even though Baylor is loaded with talent at wide receiver, Coleman is their primary target and is a big play machine.
Coleman has eight touchdowns in the Bears’ first three games and has exceeded 25 fantasy points each week. Despite just 17 catches on the year, he has racked up 460 yards receiving.
We all saw what Doctson did to the Red Raiders defense last week, and there is no reason Coleman can’t do the same this week and have you in the MONEY!
If I failed to mention your favorite CFB daily fantasy player, or if you have a question related to DFS college football, follow me on Twitter (@tapintomacdfs) and don’t hesitate to ask.
Tomac has been playing DFS for nearly five years, after 20 years of playing season-long fantasy across all sports. Primarily a cash game player, he has numerous high cashes in college football GPP on a variety of sites over the past few seasons.