Week 10 College Breakdown
The Sports Doc Sideline: College Football is locked in with full results, standout performances, and live-betting pivots. Week 10’s board flipped fast—underdogs surged, favorites fought for their lives, and bettors who read tempo and turnovers cleaned up. From overtime thrillers to spread-busting comebacks, this week proved once again that discipline beats hype. Every quarter told a story—momentum swings, key injuries, and sharp mid-game adjustments shaped the scoreboard and the betting books alike. Let’s break down what went down and how the smartest plays found their edges before the final whistle.
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1) No. 1 Ohio State vs Penn State — FINAL: Ohio State 38, Penn State 14
12:00 PM ET · FOX
• QB Julian Sayin: 20/23, 316 yds, 4 TDs, 0 INT.
• WR Jeremiah Smith: 6 catches, 123 yds, 2 TDs.
• RB Bo Jackson: 13 carries, 105 yds.
Spread: OSU −18.5 | Total: 44.5 | ML: OSU −1400 / PSU +750
Sports Doc Take: Buckeyes dominated the second half—defense shut out Penn State after halftime and the offense executed. OSU −14.5 live would’ve been the buy; early drift and blowout locked value.
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2) No. 9 Vanderbilt at Texas — FINAL: Texas 34, Vanderbilt 31
12:00 PM ET · ABC
• QB Arch Manning: 25/33, 328 yds, 3 TDs.
• WR Ryan Wingo: 75-yd TD on first play; exit with hand injury.
• RB Quintrevion Wisner: Key runs in early scoring drives.
Spread: Texas −3.5 | Total: 46.5 | ML: Texas −165 / Vandy +140
Sports Doc Take: Texas dodged a bullet—jumped to a 24–3 lead then nearly let it slip. Live Over 46.5 was profitable when Vandy advanced late; overall, Texas kept their CFP hopes alive but showed vulnerabilities.
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3) No. 10 Miami at SMU — FINAL: SMU 26, Miami 20 (OT)
7:00 PM ET · ESPN
• QB Carson Beck: 26/38, 274 yds, 2 TDs, 2 INTs (OT INT critical).
• WR Joshisa Trader: 5 catches, 81 yds, 1 TD.
• RB Mark Fletcher Jr.: 16 carries, 84 yds.
Spread: Miami −11.5 | Total: 50.5 | ML: MIA −500 / SMU +375
Sports Doc Take: Hurricanes’ season took a hit. Early lead evaporated under mistakes and turnovers. SMU exploited it—a textbook upset trap. Miami live-bet value evaporated mid-game.
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4) No. 2 Indiana at Maryland — FINAL: Indiana 55, Maryland 10
3:30 PM ET · CBS
• RB Jake Doyle-Robinson: 20 carries, 135 yds, 2 TDs.
• QB Fernando Mendoza: 18/27, 298 yds, 2 TDs; 1 rush TD.
• WR Elijah Sarratt: 7 catches, 112 yds.
Spread: IU −21.5 | Total: 50.5 | ML: IU −2500 / UMD +1200
Sports Doc Take: Hoosiers asserted dominance. Rush attack shredded Terps, turnovers piled up. Live IU −13.5 was a value buy early; this one never in doubt.
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5) No. 5 Georgia vs Florida — FINAL: Georgia 24, Florida 20
3:30 PM ET · ABC
• QB Gunner Stockton: 22/31, 246 yds, 1 TD; added 63 rush yds.
• RB Chauncey Bowens: 14 carries, 109 yds, 1 TD.
• WR Noah Thomas: 4 catches, 88 yds, 1 TD.
Spread: UGA −7.5 | Total: 50.5 | ML: UGA −300 / UF +240
Sports Doc Take: Neutral-site classic. Georgia’s trenches won it late. Live Under 49.5 became attractive as both teams ran down clock and turned tight games.
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6) No. 12 Notre Dame at Boston College — FINAL: Notre Dame 25, Boston College 10
3:30 PM ET · ESPN
• QB Brendan Moore: 19/25, 211 yds, 2 TDs.
• WR Brayden McDuffie: 5 catches, 103 yds, 1 TD.
• RB Kiara Frazier: 18 carries, 124 yds.
Spread: ND −30.5 | Total: 55.5 | ML: ND −8000 / BC +1900
Sports Doc Take: Blowout on paper, but half finished just 12-3. Best value: ND 1H −17.5 and BC team-total Under 12.5. Full-game Under cleaned up.
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7) No. 13 Texas Tech at Kansas State — FINAL: Texas Tech 43, Kansas State 20
7:00 PM ET · FOX
• QB Quin Shaw: 23/33, 345 yds, 4 TDs.
• WR Dillon Johnson: 7 catches, 134 yds, 2 TDs.
• RB …”
Spread: TTU −7.5 | Total: 51.5 | ML: TTU −300 / KSU +230
Sports Doc Take: Red Raiders exploded offensively. Home dog line left value for TTU early; live Under 51.5 faded as Tech broke big.
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8) No. 8 Georgia Tech at NC State — FINAL: NC State 28, Georgia Tech 24
8:00 PM ET · ESPN2
• QB Hunter Helton (NCST): 17/28, 233 yds, 2 TDs.
• WR Jordan McFadden: 4 catches, 92 yds, 1 TD.
• RB Wayne Gallman Jr. (GT): 22 carries, 98 yds.
Spread: GT −5.5 | Total: 58.5 | ML: GT −225 / NCST +180
Sports Doc Take: Road trap boxed here. Jackets faded late—live pivot into NC State +5.5 offered mid-game value.
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9) No. 7 Ole Miss vs South Carolina — FINAL: Ole Miss 31, South Carolina 17
7:00 PM ET · ESPN
• QB Jaxson Smith-Njigba: 24/35, 312 yds, 3 TDs.
• WR Kedrick James: 8 catches, 121 yds, 1 TD.
• RB Zach Evans: 19 carries, 112 yds, 1 TD.
Spread: MISS −12.5 | Total: 55.5 | ML: MISS −500 / SC +400
Sports Doc Take: Rebels pulled clear late. Live 2H Under 27.5 locked when Gamecocks stalled in red zone and tempo slowed.
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10) No. 21 Michigan vs Purdue — FINAL: Michigan 45, Purdue 23
7:30 PM ET · BTN
• QB J.J. McCarthy: 18/24, 263 yds, 2 TDs; rushed 9 times, 86 yds, 1 TD.
• WR Roman Wilson: 5 catches, 104 yds, 1 TD.
• RB Blake Corum: 17 carries, 123 yds, 2 TDs.
Spread: MICH −21.5 | Total: 49.5 | ML: MICH −1100 / PUR +650
Sports Doc Take: Wolverines’ trenches erupted early—1H Under 24.5 locked, and shift into 2H Under when Michigan built 21-3 at half.
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Bonus Card
• Houston (22) vs West Virginia: FINAL: Houston 28, WVU 17 — HOU −13.5 closed as value early; Over faded.
• Virginia (15) at Cal: FINAL: Virginia 30, Cal 13 — UVA under-cover locked in as Bears bogged drives.
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Sports Doc Live-Bet Checklist
• Turnover margin = hidden 7 pts vs spread.
• Red-zone outcomes define totals; 3 stall-outs = hammer Under.
• First two series tempo = live total pivot.
• Public vs money split = wait for drift, then strike.
• Wind >10 mph? Lean Under or RB props.
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Sports Doc Final Word
Week 10 was a numbers board, not a names board. Ohio State locked in; Indiana surged; Georgia Tech and Miami served cautionary tales. Tonight’s slate shook up live angles across the board. Stay resilient, get dynamic, and always let the data dictate your move. Momentum swings, halftime pivots, and sharp money revealed the truth: this season rewards patience, precision, and preparation. Every bet is a story, every number a clue. Keep your edge, stay disciplined, and trust the process — because in college football betting, adaptation always beats emotion.
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