The Toronto Blue Jays (61-70, –13.10 betting units) need to start winning right now if they want to stay in the American League Wild Card race. The Boston Red Sox (74-57, -0.97 units), meanwhile, come out of the weekend after three straight losses. It’s as good a time as any to host the AL East leaders; Game 2 of their three-game series goes Tuesday at 7:07 p.m. Eastern on Sportsnet and NESN.
Oddsmakers have the Red Sox as a -250-moneyline favorite. The total is sitting at 8.
Unfortunately for the Jays, they’ll be facing Chris Sale (2.07 FIP) on Tuesday. He’s a top Cy Young candidate for the Red Sox, but again, Sale was one of the pitchers who got lit up for Boston last week, giving up six earned runs over three innings in Thursday’s 13-6 loss to Cleveland (+149 at home). Despite the loss, the Sox are still 18-8 behind Sale this year for 3.05 units in earnings, with the UNDER at 16-10.
Tom Koehler (6.59 FIP) will be making his second start for Toronto after being acquired from the Miami Marlins earlier this month. The 31-year-old righty from The Bronx pitched five strong innings last Thursday against the Tampa Bay Rays, but the Jays lost 2-0 as +143 road dogs.
Recent Form
Team
record
money
vs LHP
vs RHP
Fave
Dog
O/U
Diff
Boston
74-57
-$97.00
14-15
60-42
62-45
12-12
57-67-7
0.64
Toronto
61-70
-$1,310.00
11-20
50-50
41-40
20-30
62-63-6
-0.71
Pitchers Last 3 Starts
C Sale (14-6) ERA: 2.88
event date
Opponent
Result
score
OU Result
ip
money
Aug 24, 2017
CLE
L
6-13
O
3
-$100.00
Aug 19, 2017
NYY
L
3-4
U
7
-$100.00
Aug 13, 2017
NYY
W
3-2
U
7
$64.00
Br Anderson (2-2) ERA: 8.18
event date
Opponent
Result
score
OU Result
ip
money
May 6, 2017
NYY
L
6-11
O
0.1
-$100.00
May 1, 2017
PHI
L
2-10
O
1.1
-$100.00
Apr 24, 2017
PIT
W
14-3
O
6
$72.00
Bullpen
Boston’s relievers have pitched 7.1 innings in the last 3 games.
Toronto’s relievers have pitched 11.1 innings in the last 3 games.
Pitcher Recent Starts Vs Opponent
Boston Red Sox – C Sale
Date
score
Winner
ip
hits
Runs
Earned Runs
walks
strikeouts
Decision
Jul 1, 2017
7-1
BOS
7
4
0
0
1
11
Win
Apr 20, 2017
4-1
BOS
8
4
0
0
1
13
No Decision
Jun 26, 2016
5-2
CHW
8
5
2
2
2
7
Win
Apr 26, 2016
10-1
CHW
8
4
1
1
2
6
Win
Jul 6, 2015
4-2
CHW
9
6
2
2
0
6
Win
Toronto Blue Jays – Br Anderson
Date
score
Winner
ip
hits
Runs
Earned Runs
walks
strikeouts
Decision
Apr 24, 2013
6-5
BOS
4
8
6
6
2
5
Loss
Sep 2, 2012
6-2
OAK
6
5
1
1
1
4
Win
Jun 5, 2011
6-3
BOS
5
9
5
5
2
2
Loss
Apr 19, 2011
5-0
OAK
8
4
0
0
1
8
Win
Sep 11, 2010
4-3
OAK
7
8
2
2
3
5
Win
Supergrid
Title
Stat
Rank
Stat
Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense
4.81
11
4.98
20
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense
4.94
7
4.91
22
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense
4.27
26
4.17
4
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense
4.15
26
4.11
4
Head To Head Detail
Date
Away
away score
Home
home score
line
O/U
Away Pitcher
Home Pitcher
Away Hits
Home Hits
Away Walks
Home Walks
Away Strikeouts
Home Strikeouts
Aug 28, 2017
BOS
6
TOR
5
-105
8.5
O
Drew Pomeranz (L)
Marcus Stroman (R)
12
8
4
7
6
5
Jul 20, 2017
TOR
8
BOS
6
-111
10.5
O
Francisco Liriano (L)
Doug Fister (R)
10
8
7
6
10
10
Jul 19, 2017
TOR
1
BOS
5
-133
9.5
U
Aaron Sanchez (R)
Drew Pomeranz (L)
5
7
5
5
6
7
Jul 18, 2017
TOR
4
BOS
5
126
10
U
J.A. Happ (L)
Brian Johnson (L)
15
13
5
2
10
15
Jul 17, 2017
TOR
4
BOS
3
-102
9
U
Marcus Stroman (R)
Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
8
6
5
3
13
7
Jul 2, 2017
BOS
15
TOR
1
-116
9
O
Drew Pomeranz (L)
Joe Biagini (R)
21
5
4
3
9
6
Jul 1, 2017
BOS
7
TOR
1
149
8.5
U
Chris Sale (L)
Francisco Liriano (L)
12
6
4
1
8
13
Jun 30, 2017
BOS
7
TOR
4
-120
9
O
Doug Fister (R)
Marco Estrada (R)
12
6
14
6
8
10
Apr 20, 2017
BOS
4
TOR
1
167
7.5
U
Chris Sale (L)
Marco Estrada (R)
7
5
4
1
10
18
Apr 19, 2017
BOS
0
TOR
3
102
8.5
U
Rick Porcello (R)
Francisco Liriano (L)
6
6
2
1
9
7
MLB Betting Trends
Boston Red Sox
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston’s last 9 games on the road
Boston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto’s last 12 games at home
Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Dirty has been an employee or owner of some of the top online sports gambling forums since 1998. He worked at EOG.com from it's inception until 2008 when he left and opened GamblingIQ and then in 2012 opened Handicappers Hidaway. He has written hundreds af articles over the years and always has his "Dirty Dozen" College Football poll up starting the first week of October.
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