Patriots are Huge Favorites over the Bills on Monday Night Football
The AFC East rival New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills meet on Monday Night Football to wrap up week 8 on the NFL Season. The Patriots are in the familiar position atop the division. The Bills are in must win mode if they want to make the playoffs.
TV: 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Patriots -13.5. O/U: 44
Letdown, anyone? That could be the biggest obstacle for the resurgent New England Patriots. The Patriots have dominated the rivalry against the Bills. Buffalo has scored the fewest points in football, are down to their third quarterback and could be without their best offensive player.
The Patriots have rebounded from a slow start. They have ripped off four consecutive victories after winning slug-fests over Kansas City and Chicago the past two weeks.
The Bills must find a way to solve future Hall of Famer Tom Brady. Brady owns a staggering 28-3 mark against the Bills. That is the most by any quarterback against another opponent.
Buffalo has been limited to 13 points or fewer in five of its seven games. They could be without starting running back LeSean McCoy, who remained in the league’s concussion protocol on Friday.
Patriots and Bills Heading in Different Directions
Tom Brady has the Patriots at 5-2 at the midpoint of the NFL season. Brady rebounded from a 133-yard effort in a loss at Detroit in Week 3 to guide New England to four wins in a row. He posted a passer rating of 102-plus in each of the past three victories.
Brady likely will be without rookie running back Sony Michel. He rushed for 316 yards and four touchdowns in a three-game span before suffering a knee injury in last week’s 38-31 victory at Chicago.
The return of Julian Edelman from suspension and the addition of Josh Gordon has bolstered the passing game. They hope to have tight end Rob Gronkowski back after he sat out a week ago. New England ranks 25th overall in total defense (389.9 yards) and against the pass (275.9).
The Bills are 2-5 on the season and really need to pull off a win tonight. Rookie quarterback Josh Allen is injured and Nathan Peterman has been benched. Derek Anderson will hope for improvement against New England after a shaky season debut. He threw for 175 yards and was intercepted three times.
Not only is McCoy’s status up in the air, but backup running back Chris Ivory was limited in practice Thursday and Friday after hurting his hamstring on Wednesday. Buffalo’s defense has excelled against the pass, allowing 210.1 yards per game.
Brady has 16 touchdowns and two interceptions in his last six games at Buffalo.
Rob Gronkowski has 12 touchdowns in 13 games versus the Bills.
McCoy has at least 100 yards from scrimmage in five straight games against New England.
PREDICTION: Patriots 27, Bills 13
NFL Betting Odds & Trends
| New England Patriots | ||
|---|---|---|
| New England is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games | ||
| New England is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games | ||
| The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 6 games | ||
| New England is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games on the road | ||
| New England is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games on the road | ||
| The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England’s last 7 games on the road | ||
| New England is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo | ||
| New England is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing Buffalo | ||
| New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo | ||
| New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo | ||
| The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo | ||
Buffalo Bills |
||
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games | ||
| The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 5 games | ||
| Buffalo is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home | ||
| The total has gone OVER in 14 of Buffalo’s last 18 games at home | ||
| Buffalo is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England | ||
| Buffalo is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games when playing New England | ||
| Buffalo is 2-11-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against New England | ||
| Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New England | ||
| The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 7 games when playing at home against New England | ||
Next up:
New England home to Green Bay Sunday, November 4
Buffalo home to Chicago Sunday, November 4
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