Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals – Thursday, Nov. 6
Current BAS’ Line: Bengals -6 1/2 and the total is 45.
The NFL kicks-off Week 10 of the regular season with a huge showdown in the crowded AFC North title race when the surprising 5-3 Cleveland Browns go on the road at six-point underdogs this Thursday night to face the division leading 5-2-1 Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. BetAnySports has listed the betting odds for the total in this game at 44.
The Browns maintained pace in this race by getting past Tampa Bay last Sunday 22-17, but they could not cover against the spread as 6.5-point home favorites. They are now 4-3-1 ATS overall and the total has now stayed UNDER in their last four games.
Brian Hoyer continues to do a solid job at managing the game as Cleveland’s quarterback, but this team lives and dies with the play of its defense. Through the first half of the season this unit is ranked all the way down the list in average yards allowed (391.8) at 29th in the NFL, but where it counts the most, this unit is ranked eighth in points allowed (21.1).
Cincinnati has been able carve-out a two-game winning streak against Baltimore and Jacksonville in its last two outings. After it covered as a 2.5-point road underdog against the Ravens, bettors had to settle for a PUSH in this past Sunday’s 33-23 victory over the Jaguars as a 10-point favorite at home. The Bengals are 4-3-1 ATS this year and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five games.
The running game received a big boost against Jacksonville after rookie running back Jeremy Hill tallied 154 yards and two touchdowns on 24 carries in place of an injured Giovani Bernard. What continues to be an ongoing issue with this team is a suddenly porous defense that is ranked 30th in the league against the run and 30th in total yards allowed (394.9). This is very uncharacteristic for a unit that was consistently one of the best in the NFL last season.
The Bengals have dominated this series SU over the years with 14 wins in the last 19 meetings, but they are 1-3-1 ATS in the last five games of this series. Despite this trend, I am looking for Cincinnati to make it a very forgettable road visit on Thursday night for the Browns with a solid victory at home that covers the six-point spread on BetAnySport’s current board.