After missing out on winning the American League East, the New York Yankees will host the Minnesota Twins in the Wild Card game on Tuesday.
Both teams defied projections by “experts”. The teams claimed the two wild-card spots in the American League. The winner advances to the AL Division Series against the Cleveland Indians.
Oddsmakers have the Yankees as a -250-moneyline favorite. The total is sitting at 7.5.
Minnesota’s Ervin Santana (16-8, 3.28 ERA) threw five scoreless innings in his last outing, but took a no-decision in a 5-2 loss in Cleveland. Santana lost his lone start against the Yankees in 2017, allowing two runs on seven hits over 5.2 innings, with three strikeouts and a walk. The Twins fell 2-1 in New York on September 18. Santana was 10-3 in 17 road starts with a 2.71 ERA in 2017.
New York’s Luis Severino (14-6, 2.98 ERA) won his last start, a 6-1 victory at home against Tampa Bay. Over six innings, he allowed a run on four hits, struck out nine and walked one. Severino lasted just three innings in his only start against the Twins this season, scattering three runs on five hits with three strikeouts and a walk. This season, Severino was 8-5 in 16 home starts with a 3.71 ERA.
The Yankees won four of six meetings against the Twins this season, losing two of three in Minnesota, but they swept three games at home. Five of the six went under the posted total.
Recent Form
Team
record
money
vs LHP
vs RHP
Fave
Dog
O/U
Diff
Minnesota
85-77
$887.00
26-23
59-54
47-32
38-45
73-79-10
0.17
NY Yankees
91-71
$235.00
24-23
67-48
70-55
21-15
83-76-3
1.23
Pitchers Last 3 Starts
E Santana (16-8) ERA: 3.28
event date
Opponent
Result
score
OU Result
ip
money
Sep 28, 2017
CLE
L
2-5
U
5
-$100.00
Sep 23, 2017
DET
W
10-4
O
7
$66.00
Sep 18, 2017
NYY
L
1-2
U
5.2
-$100.00
Luis Severino (14-6) ERA: 2.98
event date
Opponent
Result
score
OU Result
ip
money
Sep 27, 2017
TB
W
6-1
U
6
$44.00
Sep 20, 2017
MIN
W
11-3
O
3
$32.00
Sep 15, 2017
BAL
W
8-2
O
8
$31.00
Bullpen
Minnesota’s relievers have pitched 12.2 innings in the last 3 games.
NY Yankees’s relievers have pitched 9 innings in the last 3 games.
Pitcher Recent Starts Vs Opponent
Minnesota Twins – E Santana
Date
score
Winner
ip
hits
Runs
Earned Runs
walks
strikeouts
Decision
Sep 18, 2017
2-1
NYY
5.2
7
2
2
1
3
Loss
Jun 25, 2016
2-1
NYY
5
6
1
1
2
2
No Decision
Jun 19, 2016
7-4
MIN
7.1
6
3
2
0
4
Win
Aug 19, 2015
4-3
NYY
7.2
7
4
4
2
6
Loss
Jul 11, 2013
8-4
NYY
5
10
8
8
3
4
Loss
New York Yankees – Luis Severino
Date
score
Winner
ip
hits
Runs
Earned Runs
walks
strikeouts
Decision
Sep 20, 2017
11-3
NYY
3
5
3
3
1
3
No Decision
Supergrid
Title
Stat
Rank
Stat
Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense
5.03
7
4.07
4
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense
4.88
8
3.89
3
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense
5.30
2
4.86
19
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense
5.57
3
4.57
10
Head To Head Detail
Date
Away
away score
Home
home score
line
O/U
Away Pitcher
Home Pitcher
Away Hits
Home Hits
Away Walks
Home Walks
Away Strikeouts
Home Strikeouts
Sep 20, 2017
MIN
3
NYY
11
-311
8.5
O
Bartolo Colon (R)
Luis Severino (R)
6
15
3
3
10
8
Sep 19, 2017
MIN
2
NYY
5
-158
8.5
U
Jose Berrios (R)
CC Sabathia (L)
8
11
2
6
9
7
Sep 18, 2017
MIN
1
NYY
2
-157
8.5
U
Ervin Santana (R)
Jaime Garcia (L)
4
8
2
1
13
4
Jul 19, 2017
NYY
1
MIN
6
100
9
U
Jordan Montgomery (L)
Jose Berrios (R)
7
7
2
2
8
7
Jul 18, 2017
NYY
6
MIN
3
112
10.5
U
Luis Cessa (R)
Bartolo Colon (R)
13
7
1
6
6
8
Jul 17, 2017
NYY
2
MIN
4
-108
10
U
Bryan Mitchell (R)
Adalberto Mejia (L)
8
10
2
3
8
7
Jun 26, 2016
MIN
7
NYY
1
-184
9.5
U
Tyler Duffey (R)
Nathan Eovaldi (R)
8
2
4
0
6
8
Jun 25, 2016
MIN
1
NYY
2
-195
9
U
Ervin Santana (R)
Michael Pineda (R)
3
10
1
2
12
5
Jun 24, 2016
MIN
3
NYY
5
-194
7.5
O
Tommy Milone (L)
Masahiro Tanaka (R)
7
8
2
3
12
6
Jun 19, 2016
NYY
4
MIN
7
144
9
O
Nathan Eovaldi (R)
Ervin Santana (R)
7
11
0
2
6
4
AL Wild-Card Betting Trends
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games
NY Yankees is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games at home
NY Yankees is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games at home
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees’s last 8 games when playing Minnesota
NY Yankees is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Dirty has been an employee or owner of some of the top online sports gambling forums since 1998. He worked at EOG.com from it's inception until 2008 when he left and opened GamblingIQ and then in 2012 opened Handicappers Hidaway. He has written hundreds af articles over the years and always has his "Dirty Dozen" College Football poll up starting the first week of October.
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