2025 PGA Tour John Deere Classic is up for Grabs
The 2025 John Deere Classic is held from July 3-6 at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois. It marks a festive stop on the PGA Tour. The event coincides with the Fourth of July weekend. This longstanding event, a staple since 1971, is known for its low-scoring nature. It has been a proving ground for both emerging talents and seasoned veterans chasing FedExCup points.
With a purse of $8.4 million and a field of 156 players, including six former champions, the tournament promises high stakes and birdie-filled leaderboards. Here’s a comprehensive preview, including updated odds, course details, top favorites, longshot picks, weather forecasts, and viewing options.
Course Description: TPC Deere Run
TPC Deere Run, designed by D.A. Weibring and opened in 2000, is a par-71 layout stretching 7,289 yards. It is known for its forgiving fairways. It also has scorable greens. It ranks as the 50th easiest course on the PGA Tour out of 51, per recent analyses. The bentgrass greens are relatively large, encouraging aggressive approach shots, with 75 bunkers and three water hazards adding strategic challenges.
The course rewards precision off the tee and sharp iron play, as evidenced by its high greens-in-regulation percentage (70.43% average). Historically, it has produced low scores, with Paul Goydos and Hayden Springer carding 59s in 2010 and 2024, respectively. Last year, Davis Thompson set a tournament record at 28-under 256, highlighting the course’s birdie-friendly setup.
Key holes include the par-5 17th, which is often reachable in two. The par-4 18th is a dramatic finisher. It has decided many tournaments in sudden-death playoffs.
Updated Odds to Win
Based on the latest betting odds from MyBookie, here are the top contenders and their odds to win the 2025 John Deere Classic:
- Ben Griffin: +1525
- Jason Day: +2400
- Si Woo Kim: +3100
- Denny McCarthy: +2400
- J.T. Poston: +3000
- Davis Thompson: +3100
- Chris Gotterup: +3500
- Aldrich Potgieter: +3500
- Jake Knapp: +3400
- Sungjae Im: +3500
- Michael Thorbjornsen: +2700
- Rickie Fowler: +5200
These odds reflect implied probabilities, with Griffin at 5.88% and Day at 4.35%, per Sportsbook Review. Full Field Odds to Win are at the end of the article.
Favorites to Win and Why
Ben Griffin (+1525)
Ben Griffin is the betting favorite. He is buoyed by a stellar 2025 season. This season includes two PGA Tour victories: the Zurich Classic and Charles Schwab Challenge. His recent form is impeccable, with six consecutive top-15 finishes, including top-10s at the PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Griffin’s all-around game matches TPC Deere Run’s requirements. He ranks highly in strokes gained: approach. He has also been consistent on bentgrass greens. He finished T5 at last year’s event. His ability to go low in birdie-fests makes him a strong pick to contend. Griffin’s newfound confidence is impressive. His lack of weaknesses puts him in a position to potentially join the elite three-win club this season. He could join alongside Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy.
Jason Day (+2400)
Jason Day, a 13-time PGA Tour winner and former world No. 1, is a popular choice despite not winning since 2023. His recent T4 at the Travelers Championship shows he’s regaining form, with three top-10s in 2025. Day excels in approach play and ranks in the top 25 in strokes gained: approach. He is also an exceptional putter on bentgrass. Both skills are critical for Deere Run’s low-scoring setup. His T23 here last year, after a decade-long absence, suggests familiarity with the course. However, his struggles off the tee (91st in strokes gained: off the tee) could be a concern. His experience in high-pressure situations makes him a threat if he’s in contention on Sunday.
Denny McCarthy (+2400)
Denny McCarthy’s consistency at TPC Deere Run makes him a standout. With three straight top-7 finishes at this event, he’s proven his game aligns with the course’s demands. McCarthy’s elite putting ranks 19th in strokes gained: putting. His solid approach play makes him a birdie machine. He is ideal for a shootout. His 2025 season includes eight top-25s in 16 starts, and a T12 at the Travelers shows he’s trending upward. A first PGA Tour win feels imminent, and this could be the week he breaks through on a familiar track.
Longshots to Watch
Chris Gotterup (+3500)
Chris Gotterup, at 35-1, is a compelling longshot. His recent form includes six top-26 finishes in eight starts. This performance is driven by elite ball-striking. He ranks 7th in greens in regulation and 7th in driving distance. Gotterup’s ability to overpower courses like Deere Run, combined with his 18th-ranked scoring average (69.76), makes him a dangerous contender. SportsLine’s model highlights his value, noting his fit for a low-scoring event. A top-10 bet at +320 could also yield a strong return.
Jake Knapp (+3400)
Jake Knapp, also at 34-1, is another high-upside pick. His T4 at the Rocket Classic showcased his birdie-making prowess (8th in birdie average). Knapp’s ability to go low, evidenced by a 59 at the 2024 Cognizant Classic, aligns with Deere Run’s scoring opportunities. Despite recent inconsistency, his 19th ranking in strokes gained: putting is impressive. His 18th in scoring average also suggests he could surge if his irons are dialed in.
Hayden Springer (+15000)
Hayden Springer, at 150-1, is a bold longshot with course history. His 59 in last year’s opening round led to a T7 finish, proving his comfort at Deere Run. Springer’s ability to make birdies in bunches and his T34 at last week’s Rocket Classic indicate improving form. Eric Cohen’s $1.1 million parlay includes Springer for a top-20 (+550), making him a high-reward option for bettors seeking a big payout.
Weather Forecast
The Quad Cities forecast for July 3-6, 2025, predicts classic Midwest summer conditions. Thursday and Friday (July 3-4) should feature warm, sunny weather with highs in the low 90s and moderate westerly breezes. However, a system approaching over the weekend could introduce rain. Potential storms may occur. Stronger winds are possible on Saturday and Sunday.
Daytime highs will remain above 90. Players may need to adapt to wet conditions and gusts. These factors could slightly elevate scores compared to last year’s record-setting pace.
How to Watch the 2025 John Deere Classic
The 2025 John Deere Classic can be viewed through multiple platforms:
- TV: CBS will broadcast weekend coverage (Saturday and Sunday, typically 3-6 p.m. ET), with Golf Channel covering earlier rounds (Thursday and Friday, approximately 1-4 p.m. ET).
- Streaming: ESPN+ offers featured groups and holes, while Paramount+ streams CBS coverage. PGA Tour Live on ESPN+ provides additional live feeds.
- In-Person: Tickets are available via StubHub or the official John Deere Classic website (johndeereclassic.com). Youth 15 and under get free grounds admission with a paid adult. Military personnel receive free admission Wednesday through Sunday.
Conclusion
The 2025 John Deere Classic promises a birdie barrage at TPC Deere Run. Ben Griffin is leading the favorites. This is thanks to his torrid form and course fit. Jason Day’s experience makes him a strong contender. Denny McCarthy’s track record also strengthens his position. Meanwhile, longshots like Chris Gotterup, Jake Knapp, and Hayden Springer offer massive payout potential.
With warm weather giving way to possible weekend storms, players who adapt to changing conditions will have an edge. Fans can catch the action on CBS, Golf Channel, or ESPN+. They can also attend in person. This ensures a front-row seat to this Fourth of July golf spectacle.
Full Field Odds to Win the 2025 PGA Tour John Deere Classic from MyBookie
Sources: SportsLine, PGA TOUR, The Athletic, Golf Monthly, Sportsbook Review, MyBookie
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