The Baltimore Orioles earned a split of the first two games of the American League Division Series, but the advantage is still owned by the New York Yankees heading into Game 3.
Game 3, 2012 American League Division Series:
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees – Wednesday, October 10
Line: Yankees -172 and Total is 8.5 (-110)
Why Baltimore Will Win
No college football betting expert would deny the contention that the ability to win close games is important in any sport. The Baltimore Orioles simply find a way to win close games. It’s just that simple. A 3-2 win on Monday night in Game 2 of this series reinforced the supreme confidence the O’s have in their bullpen – which controlled the final three innings – and in their crunch-time prowess. When you go over your next sportsbook review, you will see that Baltimore’s winning percentage in games that have either been decided by one run or have gone extra innings is close to .800. A few weeks ago, the Orioles’ record in these kinds of contests (one-run games or extra-inning games, with no duplications in terms of counting the numbers) was 36-9. The Game 2 win by one run only enhanced that record. If the Orioles can steer this game into the bullpen with a lead in the final three innings, they have to be seen as the team that is more likely to win.
Baltimore also has a pretty good starting pitcher on the bump for this game. Miguel Gonzalez owns a superb 3.25 earned-run average, slightly better than what New York starter Hiroki Kuroda can offer (3.32 ERA). Gonzalez’s live arm, combined with the fact that he should be fresh for this game (the regular season ended a full week ago, on Oct. 3, and Gonzalez has not yet pitched in the postseason), will bolster Baltimore’s chances to an appreciable degree.
Why New York Will Win
When people pursue a sport betting play, they trust experience in big moments. This is what New York starter Hiroki Kuroda should be able to bring to the table for the Yankees on Wednesday. Kuroda pitched in the National League Championship Series in 2009 as a member of the Los Angeles Dodgers, winning Game 3 as a starter. He is a veteran in his late thirties. He should be ready to own this moment, much as he delivered the goods for the Yankees in game 162 of the regular season, nailing down the American League East Division championship that has given New York home-field advantage against the Orioles.
Online football betting gurus know that the person throwing the ball – the quarterback – is extremely valuable to his team. Well, in a baseball context, the person throwing the ball is the pitcher, and the Yankees have the better starter in this game on Wednesday.
Who Will Win?
Kuroda has been here before. Gonzalez has not. The Yankees should get the better end of this pitching matchup and win Game 3 to take control of this series.
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MLB Betting Pick: New York Yankees