BetAnySports’ NFL Pick of the Week- Week 17 — Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers – Sunday, Dec. 28
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers – Sunday, Dec. 28
Current BAS’ Line: Packers -7 1/2 and the total is 46 1/2
We have reached the final week of the NFL regular season and while both the 11-4 Detroit Lions and the 11-4 Green Bay Packers have secured a spot in this season’s NFC playoffs, the NFC North title remains up for grabs in this one. BetAnySports has listed Green Bay as an eight-point favorite at home for Sunday’s contest and the betting odds for the total have been set at 47.5.
Detroit has very quietly strung together four SU wins in its last four games to tie four other teams for the best record in the NFC. The reason that it is still a fairly heavy underdog in this week’s games hinges on the fact that none of the Lions’ opponents in those games has more than six wins on the year. Detroit has been a tough bet against the spread at 7-8 and it has failed to cover in five of seven road games this year. The total has stayed UNDER in 11 of its 15 games.
The Lions have already beaten Green Bay this season with a 19-7 victory in Week 3 as one-point home favorites and it will probably take another defensive effort like that to pull-off the season sweep. The defense comes into this game ranked second in the NFL in both yards (295.9) and points (16.8) allowed, but Detroit’s offense is ranked just 23rd in scoring with an average of 20.1 points a game.
Some of the shine has worn off the Packers after rolling over anyone in their way during a recent five-game SU winning streak. In Week 15 on the road against Buffalo as a 4.5-point favorite, Green Bay fell 21-13 and this past Sunday as a heavy 11.5-point road favorite against Tampa Bay, it had to grind-out a 20-3 to win to stay in the NFC North division title race.
There is no doubt that with Aaron Rodgers running the show at quarterback this Packers’ offense is still one of the most potent units in the league with an average of 30.4 points a game. They also have some positive betting trends on their side with a 5-1-1 record ATS at home this season and an 8-3-1 record ATS as favorites this year.
I cannot see Green Bay losing this game SU, but eight points is a lot to give-up against a division opponent that is playing great on defense. This should work to once again keep the scoring down between the two NFC North rival to set up the perfect opportunity to cash-in on BetAnySports’s UNDER 46.5 betting odds in this matchup.
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