Monday Night Football Features Two Old Rivalries With New Blood
Week Four of the NFL season comes to a close with Monday Night Football. The Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos will battle at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. Kickoff is set for 8:15 pm EST and ESPN will have the coverage.
Oddsmakers opened the Chiefs as -4.5-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game’s total opened at 55. The Chiefs are now 3.5-point favorites. The total is down to 53.5.
Three games into his first full season as a starter, second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes already has bumped Peyton Manning from the NFL record books. He chunked his 13th TD pass of the season last week. The pass broke Mannings record of 12 TD’s passing to start a season.
The Chiefs are the league’s highest-scoring team behind Mahomes. Mahomes also has yet to throw an interception. He has already been named AFC Offensive Player of the Week on two occasions.
Kansas City has won five consecutive matchups against Denver.
The Broncos, who won their first two games by a total of four points, will try to bounce back from a 27-14 loss at Baltimore last week. They surrendered 20 unanswered points.
Mahomes has Been Lights Out
The Chiefs are 3-0 to start the young NFL season. Mahomes is a big reason for that. Mahomes threw for 314 yards and three touchdowns in last week’s 38-27 home win over San Francisco. All the TD passes were in the 2nd quarter.
This is the third time in as many weeks Kansas City has scored at least 38 points.
Explosive wide receiver Tyreek Hill finally was held in check and kept out of the end zone. Tight end Travis Kelce picked up the slack with eight catches for 114 yards.
Kareem Hunt, who led the league in rushing as a rookie in 2017, is averaging 3.2 yards per carry. He had a pair of 1-yard TD runs.
The Chiefs have struggled on the other side of the ball. They rank last in yards allowed at 474 yards per game. They are 30th in points surrendered at 30.7 ppg.
Hill has scored four touchdowns (two rushing, one receiving and one kick return) in three games versus Denver.
Keenum and the Broncos Come Into Monday Night Football Primed and Ready
The Broncos have started the 2018 NFL season 2-1. They seem to have a leader in Case Keenum. Keenum signed a two-year deal with Denver after a breakout season in which he led Minnesota to the
NFC Championship Game.
One issue so far is he already has been intercepted five times. That is just two fewer than his total for the entire 2017 campaign.
Emmanuel Sanders is the team’s leading receiver with 19 receptions. Demaryius Thomas has 16. Keenum is getting the ball to his targets.
Denver’s best hope may be leaning on the rookie tandem of running backs Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman. They have accumulated 350 yards for the league’s fourth-ranked rushing attack.
Denver will need to generate pressure against Mahomes. They have a group led by former
Super Bowl MVP Miller, who is tied for the NFL lead with four sacks. Miller has registered eight sacks and 11 tackles for loss in his last eight contests against the Chiefs.
The Broncos lost TE Jake Butt to a torn ACL suffered in Thursday’s practice.
PREDICTION: Chiefs 30, Broncos 23
Name |
Offense |
Defense |
Differential |
KC |
10.13 |
15.45 |
-5.33 |
DEN |
18.82 |
14.59 |
4.24 |
Name |
Offense |
Defense |
Differential |
KC |
14.27 |
11.70 |
2.57 |
DEN |
10.82 |
10.79 |
0.03 |
Name |
Offense |
Defense |
Differential |
KC |
3.88 |
5.22 |
-1.34 |
DEN |
5.17 |
3.28 |
1.89 |
Name |
Record |
Home |
Away |
ATS |
ATS Home |
ATS Away |
Offense |
Defense |
Diff |
Overall |
3-0 |
1-0 |
2-0 |
3-0 |
1-0 |
2-0 |
39.33 |
30.67 |
8.66 |
vs Conf |
2-0 |
0-0 |
2-0 |
2-0 |
0-0 |
2-0 |
40.00 |
32.50 |
7.50 |
vs Div |
2-0 |
1-0 |
1-0 |
2-0 |
1-0 |
1-0 |
38.00 |
27.50 |
10.50 |
Last 3 |
3-0 |
1-0 |
2-0 |
3-0 |
1-0 |
2-0 |
39.33 |
30.67 |
8.66 |
Name |
Record |
Home |
Away |
ATS |
ATS Home |
ATS Away |
Offense |
Defense |
Diff |
Overall |
2-1 |
2-0 |
0-1 |
0-2-1 |
0-1-1 |
0-1 |
20.33 |
23.33 |
-3.00 |
vs Conf |
1-1 |
1-0 |
0-1 |
0-2 |
0-1 |
0-1 |
17.00 |
23.00 |
-6.00 |
vs Div |
2-0 |
2-0 |
0-0 |
0-1-1 |
0-1-1 |
0-0 |
23.50 |
21.50 |
2.00 |
Last 3 |
2-1 |
2-0 |
0-1 |
0-2-1 |
0-1-1 |
0-1 |
20.33 |
23.33 |
-3.00 |
Title |
Stat |
Rank |
Stat |
Rank |
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense |
39.33 |
1 |
23.33 |
16 |
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense |
289.00 |
10 |
261.50 |
22 |
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense |
116.50 |
16 |
78.00 |
5 |
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense |
20.33 |
20 |
30.67 |
28 |
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense |
270.50 |
15 |
430.00 |
31 |
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense |
157.00 |
3 |
78.00 |
10 |
Name |
Record |
ATS |
OU |
Score |
Rush |
YPR |
PA |
CP |
PY |
TY |
TO +/- |
Kansas City |
5-5 |
6-4 |
6-3-1 |
25.00 |
123.70 |
4.53 |
35.70 |
58.54 |
211.90 |
335.60 |
1.50 |
Denver |
5-5 |
4-6 |
6-3-1 |
23.90 |
114.20 |
4.06 |
36.80 |
55.98 |
246.30 |
360.50 |
2.20 |
Date |
Away |
Home |
Score |
Line |
Total |
OU Result |
ARY |
APY |
ATY |
ATT |
HRY |
HPY |
HTY |
HTT |
Away Team Attempts |
Home Team Attempts |
Away Team Completions |
Home Team Completions |
Dec 31, 2017 |
KC |
DEN |
27-24 |
110 |
269 |
379 |
2 |
110 |
226 |
336 |
3 |
Oct 30, 2017 |
DEN |
KC |
19-29 |
177 |
187 |
364 |
5 |
79 |
197 |
276 |
2 |
Dec 25, 2016 |
DEN |
KC |
10-33 |
63 |
183 |
246 |
3 |
238 |
246 |
484 |
1 |
Nov 27, 2016 |
KC |
DEN |
30-27 |
83 |
190 |
273 |
0 |
124 |
340 |
464 |
1 |
Nov 15, 2015 |
KC |
DEN |
29-13 |
106 |
197 |
303 |
0 |
69 |
152 |
221 |
5 |
Sep 17, 2015 |
DEN |
KC |
31-24 |
61 |
238 |
299 |
1 |
144 |
170 |
314 |
5 |
Nov 30, 2014 |
DEN |
KC |
29-16 |
214 |
174 |
388 |
1 |
41 |
110 |
151 |
3 |
Sep 14, 2014 |
KC |
DEN |
17-24 |
133 |
247 |
380 |
0 |
88 |
237 |
325 |
0 |
Dec 1, 2013 |
DEN |
KC |
35-28 |
132 |
403 |
535 |
2 |
159 |
293 |
452 |
1 |
Nov 17, 2013 |
KC |
DEN |
17-27 |
144 |
200 |
344 |
1 |
104 |
323 |
427 |
1 |
KCis 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games |
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games |
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games |
Kansas City is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on the road |
Kansas City is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games on the road |
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games on the road |
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver |
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver |
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 6 games when playing Denver |
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver |
Kansas City is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Denver |
The Broncos 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games |
Denver is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games |
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver’s last 7 games |
The Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home |
Denver is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home |
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City |
The Broncos are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City |
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver’s last 6 games when playing Kansas City |
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City |
Denver is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Kansas City |
Date |
Opponent |
score |
Result |
line |
ATS Result |
offensive rush yards |
offensive passing yards |
offensive total yards |
defensive rush yards |
defensive passing yards |
defensive total yards |
turnovers |
Location |
Sep 23, 2018 |
SF |
38-27 |
W |
-6/53.5 |
W/O |
77 |
307 |
384 |
178 |
228 |
406 |
0 |
H |
Sp 16, 2018 |
PIT |
42-37 |
W |
4/52.5 |
W/O |
127 |
322 |
449 |
33 |
442 |
475 |
1 |
A |
Sp 9, 2018 |
LAC |
38-28 |
W |
3/48.5 |
W/O |
106 |
256 |
362 |
123 |
418 |
541 |
-2 |
A |
Jan 6, 2018 |
TEN |
21-22 |
L |
-8.5/44.5 |
L/U |
69 |
256 |
325 |
202 |
195 |
397 |
-2 |
H |
Dec 31, 2017 |
DEN |
27-24 |
W |
3/37.5 |
W/O |
110 |
269 |
379 |
110 |
226 |
336 |
-1 |
A |
Date |
Opponent |
score |
Result |
line |
ATS Result |
offensive rush yards |
offensive passing yards |
offensive total yards |
defensive rush yards |
defensive passing yards |
defensive total yards |
turnovers |
Location |
Sep 23, 2018 |
BAL |
14-27 |
L |
5.5/46 |
L/U |
120 |
173 |
293 |
77 |
265 |
342 |
1 |
A |
Sp 16, 2018 |
OAK |
20-19 |
W |
-6/45 |
L/U |
168 |
217 |
385 |
92 |
281 |
373 |
1 |
H |
Sep 9, 2018 |
SEA |
27-24 |
W |
-3/42.5 |
P/O |
146 |
324 |
470 |
64 |
242 |
306 |
0 |
H |
Dec 31, 2017 |
KC |
24-27 |
L |
-3/37.5 |
L/O |
110 |
226 |
336 |
110 |
269 |
379 |
1 |
H |
Dec 24, 2017 |
WAS |
11-27 |
L |
3/39 |
L/U |
159 |
171 |
330 |
87 |
299 |
386 |
1 |
A |
Next up:
Kansas City home to Jacksonville Sunday, October 7
Denver at New York Sunday, October 7
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