Miami Hurricanes Host UNC on Short Week
The North Carolina Tar Heels and the Miami-FL Hurricanes meet Thursday Night College Football on ESPN. They battle at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami with the kickoff set for this ACC clash set for 8 pm EST.
Oddsmakers have set Miami as a 17.5-point favorite. The total is now at 56.
It’s a short week for North Carolina and Miami. Both teams are coming off victories. The Hurricanes moved up to No. 16 after their 31-17 triumph over Florida International. The Tar Heels earned their first victory of the season. They outlasted Pitt 38-35 in the school’s ACC and home opener.
Miami has a QB Controversy
The question of the week in Miami is who will open at quarterback. Redshirt freshman N’Kosi Perry replaced embattled senior Malik Rosier Saturday for the third series in a planned move. Rosier was last year’s starter who got off to a rocky beginning this season.
He never got back in and Perry went on to hit 17 of 25 passes for 224 yards and three touchdowns. It was his first extended action to spark a Hurricanes offense that has been inconsistent with Rosier at the helm.
The Miami Hurricanes are 3-1 on the season. Tonight is their first
ACC contest. Rosier has had his moments as the Hurricanes’ starter since the start of the 2017 season. He is completing just 52.1 percent of his passes this year and 54 percent last year.
Perry is showing far greater accuracy at 66.7 percent.This is a big reason why a switch to the younger, more dynamic Perry appears imminent.
Freshman tight end Brevin Jordan is becoming a more integral part of the attack. He is tied for second on the team in receptions with 12. He also has three touchdowns and 11 of his catches coming with Perry at quarterback.
The
Tar Heels’ ground game will be challenged by a Miami run defense giving up just 78.8 yards per game. That is fourth best in the nation. Gerald Willis III tied for tops in the country in tackles for loss (10) and Jonathan Garvin ranked sixth (8.5).
The Tar Heels Have a QB Controversy of Their Own
The Tar Heels may have a quarterback quandary of their own. Sophomore Chazz Surratt is one of seven players returning from a three-game suspension.
Head coach Larry Fedora indicated that junior Nathan Elliott will get the nod after his impressive 313-yard, two-touchdown outing against Pittsburgh.
UNC is 1-2 overall to start the season. They are 1-0 in ACC action. Surratt led the
Tar Heels with 1,342 yards passing and 13 touchdowns (eight passing, five rushing) in nine games last season (seven starts).
His return will give Fedora a solid option should Elliott struggle as he did the first two weeks. The offensive line has surrendered just one sack in three games. The unit owned the line of scrimmage against Pittsburgh.
It also played a major role in the success of Elliott and a ground attack that pounded out a season-high 173 yards, led by Antonio Williams’ 114 yards and two touchdowns.
Last season,
North Carolina out-gained Miami 428-415 in a 24-19 loss. Surratt was injured in the first quarter and Elliott came in and threw three interceptions against the Canes’ opportunistic defense.
PREDICTION: Miami 34, North Carolina 20
Name |
Offense |
Defense |
Differential |
UNC |
15.97 |
11.91 |
4.06 |
MI-FL |
10.33 |
12.09 |
-1.77 |
Name |
Offense |
Defense |
Differential |
UNC |
11.03 |
10.80 |
0.23 |
MI-FL |
14.31 |
13.49 |
0.82 |
Name |
Offense |
Defense |
Differential |
UNC |
4.83 |
4.54 |
0.29 |
MI-FL |
4.84 |
2.14 |
2.7 |
Name |
Record |
Home |
Away |
ATS |
ATS Home |
ATS Away |
Offense |
Defense |
Diff |
Overall |
1-2 |
1-0 |
0-2 |
1-1-1 |
1-0 |
0-1-1 |
24.67 |
33.33 |
-8.66 |
vs Conf |
1-0 |
1-0 |
0-0 |
1-0 |
1-0 |
0-0 |
38.00 |
35.00 |
3.00 |
Last 3 |
1-2 |
1-0 |
0-2 |
1-1-1 |
1-0 |
0-1-1 |
24.67 |
33.33 |
-8.66 |
Name |
Record |
Home |
Away |
ATS |
ATS Home |
ATS Away |
Offense |
Defense |
Diff |
Overall |
3-1 |
2-0 |
1-1 |
2-2 |
1-1 |
1-1 |
43.50 |
18.50 |
25.00 |
vs Conf |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Last 3 |
3-0 |
2-0 |
1-0 |
2-1 |
1-1 |
1-0 |
52.33 |
13.67 |
38.66 |
Title |
Stat |
Rank |
Stat |
Rank |
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense |
24.67 |
100 |
18.50 |
33 |
Awy Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense |
185.50 |
75 |
109.00 |
12 |
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense |
162.50 |
52 |
23.50 |
1 |
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense |
43.50 |
20 |
33.33 |
101 |
Hme Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense |
247.50 |
65 |
204.50 |
44 |
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense |
243.50 |
39 |
190.00 |
69 |
Name |
Record |
ATS |
OU |
Score |
Rush |
YPR |
PA |
CP |
PY |
TY |
TO +/- |
North Carolina |
5-5 |
6-4 |
4-6 |
25.40 |
146.50 |
3.83 |
34.90 |
63.32 |
250.10 |
396.60 |
1.40 |
Miami-FL |
5-5 |
4-6 |
4-6 |
25.70 |
152.60 |
4.15 |
35.50 |
56.34 |
263.90 |
416.50 |
2.10 |
Date |
Away |
Home |
Score |
Line |
Total |
OU Result |
ARY |
APY |
ATY |
ATT |
HRY |
HPY |
HTY |
HTT |
Away Team Attempts |
Home Team Attempts |
Away Team Completions |
Home Team Completions |
Oct 28, 2017 |
MI-FL |
UNC |
24-19 |
59 |
356 |
415 |
2 |
176 |
252 |
428 |
4 |
Oct 15, 2016 |
UNC |
MI-FL |
20-13 |
162 |
299 |
461 |
0 |
139 |
224 |
363 |
1 |
Nov 14, 2015 |
MI-FL |
UNC |
21-59 |
99 |
326 |
425 |
3 |
298 |
189 |
487 |
0 |
Nov 1, 2014 |
UNC |
MI-FL |
20-47 |
11 |
247 |
258 |
2 |
295 |
199 |
494 |
1 |
Oct 17, 2013 |
MI-FL |
UNC |
27-23 |
234 |
322 |
556 |
4 |
105 |
395 |
500 |
2 |
Ot 13, 2012 |
UNC |
MI-FL |
18-14 |
272 |
214 |
486 |
1 |
180 |
235 |
415 |
2 |
Oct 15, 2011 |
MI-FL |
UNC |
30-24 |
44 |
267 |
311 |
1 |
141 |
288 |
429 |
2 |
Ot 23, 2010 |
UNC |
MI-FL |
10-33 |
149 |
140 |
289 |
3 |
225 |
217 |
442 |
1 |
Nov 14, 2009 |
MI-FL |
UNC |
24-33 |
116 |
319 |
435 |
4 |
116 |
213 |
329 |
0 |
Sep 27, 2008 |
UNC |
MI-FL |
28-24 |
35 |
264 |
299 |
0 |
135 |
174 |
309 |
2 |
North Carolina is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games |
North Carolina is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games |
North Carolina is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road |
North Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road |
North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami-FL |
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina’s last 6 games when playing Miami-FL |
North Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami-FL |
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami-FL |
Hurricanes are 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games |
Miami-FL is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games |
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami-FL’s last 5 games |
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami-FL’s last 15 games |
Miami-FL is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home |
Miami-FL is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina |
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-FL’s last 6 games when playing North Carolina |
Miami-FL is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against North Carolina |
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-FL’s last 6 games when playing at home against North Carolina |
Date |
Opponent |
score |
Result |
line |
ATS Result |
offensive rush yards |
offensive passing yards |
offensive total yards |
defensive rush yards |
defensive passing yards |
defensive total yards |
turnovers |
Location |
Septem 22, 2018 |
PITT |
38-35 |
W |
3/48 |
W/O |
173 |
313 |
486 |
228 |
174 |
402 |
0 |
H |
Sep 8, 2018 |
E.CAR |
19-41 |
L |
-15.5/59.5 |
L/O |
161 |
234 |
395 |
220 |
290 |
510 |
0 |
A |
Septem 1, 2018 |
CAL |
17-24 |
L |
7/58 |
P/U |
164 |
137 |
301 |
160 |
119 |
279 |
4 |
A |
Nov 25, 2017 |
NCSU |
21-33 |
L |
14.5/56 |
W/U |
83 |
277 |
360 |
292 |
204 |
496 |
1 |
A |
Nov 18, 2017 |
W.CAR |
65-10 |
W |
-21/ |
|
313 |
298 |
611 |
151 |
153 |
304 |
-2 |
H |
Date |
Opponent |
score |
Result |
line |
ATS Result |
offensive rush yards |
offensive passing yards |
offensive total yards |
defensive rush yards |
defensive passing yards |
defensive total yards |
turnovers |
Location |
Septem 22, 2018 |
FIU |
31-17 |
W |
-26.5/58 |
L/U |
248 |
240 |
488 |
17 |
170 |
187 |
1 |
H |
Sep 15, 2018 |
TOLEDO |
49-24 |
W |
-12/58.5 |
W/O |
268 |
205 |
473 |
112 |
222 |
334 |
-1 |
A |
Septem 8, 2018 |
SAVAST |
77-0 |
W |
-61/69 |
W/O |
239 |
255 |
494 |
30 |
48 |
78 |
-2 |
H |
Sep 2, 2018 |
LSU |
17-33 |
L |
-3/47.5 |
L/O |
83 |
259 |
342 |
156 |
140 |
296 |
2 |
A |
Dec 30, 2017 |
WISCSN |
24-34 |
L |
6.5/45.5 |
L/O |
174 |
203 |
377 |
142 |
258 |
400 |
2 |
H |
Next up:
North Carolina home to Virginia Tech Saturday, October 13
Miami-FL home to Florida State Saturday, October 6
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