Tom Brady is the frontrunner to win the award
Jazz Sports has betting odds on the Super Bowl LIII MVP and Patriots quarterback Tom Brady is the front-runner to win the award yet again.
Brady has won the Super Bowl MVP award four times and it’s obvious that sportsbooks expect him or Jared Goff to win, which isn’t surprising since quarterbacks have been named Super Bowl MVP 29 times and only two non-QBs have won it since the 2010 season and both were defensive players, Malcolm Smith of the Seahawks in 2014 and Von Miller of the Broncos in 2016.
Recent history suggests that a quarterback will win the award, most likely from the winning team. Chuck Howley was the only player to win Super Bowl MVP from a losing team (he was also the first defensive player to win the honor), when the Cowboys fell 16-13 against the Baltimore Colts in Super Bowl V in a game with little to no offense. Howley’s two interceptions gave the Cowboys a chance to win and there were no significant numbers from any other players.
Tom Brady always shines on the biggest stage and although the Patriots lost the Super Bowl last year, he broke his own record after passing for 505 yards. Brady has 2,576 passing yards and 18 touchdowns in eight career Super Bowls and it’s hard to deny his talent.
Unlike the Patriots, the Rams lack experience in big games but that doesn’t mean they can’t win their first Super Bowl with the team in Los Angeles.
Jared Goff and Todd Gurley are second and third favorites on the odds board. Goff had a strong season and he played well in the NFC Championship Game in New Orleans, so his surrounding won’t faze him. At +800, Todd Gurley is an intriguing alternative, he was having a monster season but he ran for just 10 yards on four carries against the Saints, although he did score a touchdown but many people wonder if his knee issues are bothering him.
A value NFL pick to consider is Patriots rookie running back Sony Michel at +800. Michel has back-to-back 100-yard rushing games and he has five touchdowns in those games.
Aaron Donald is the favorite among defensive players at +1000. Players on that side of the ball usually don’t put up big stats but Donald is known for making big plays and the Rams need him at his best to have a chance in this game, so it wouldn’t surprise me if he’s the first defensive lineman to win the award since Richard Dent in Super Bowl XX.
Super Bowl LIII MVP Odds at Jazz Sports
Tom Brady -125
Jared Goff +200
Todd Gurley +800
Sony Michel +800
Aaron Donald +1000
C.J. Anderson +1500
Julian Edelman +1800
James White +2000
Rob Gronkowski +2000
Brandin Cooks +2500
Robert Woods +2500
Ndamukong Suh +4500
Josh Reynolds +5000
Aqib Talib +5000
Dante Fowler +5000
Rex Burkhead +5000
Marcus Peters +5000
Cory Littleton +5000
Trey Flowers +5000
Chris Hogan +5000
John Johnson +5000
Kyle Van Noy +5000
Cordarelle Patterson +5000
Michael Brockers +5000
Field (any other player) +500
Check odds here: Jazz Sports
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