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NFL Betting Odds -- Retread QB Hoyer gets start for Patriots vs. Packers

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Green Bay Packers

NFL Betting Will be Different on Patriots vs Packers Game

By Charles Jay

The NFL Betting world has been a little crazy in 2022. The New England Patriots visit the Green Bay Packers this afternoon. The Patriots have found themselves in a quarterback quandary. The second-year man out of Alabama, Mac Jones, suffered a high ankle sprain last week, and has been ruled out of Sunday's game against Green Bay Packers. He may be out even longer than that.

So BetOnline customers may be looking at their situation as somewhat hopeless as they visit the Green Bay Packers in a game that kicks off at 4:25 PM ET at Lambeau Field.

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NFL Betting Odds -- Here are the numbers in Patriots vs Packers

In the NFL betting odds on this game, the Packers are laying quite a few points:

Green Bay Packers -9.5
New England Patriots +9.5

Over 40 points -110
Under 40 points -110

NFL Betting Odds -- It's now up to Hoyer

Brian Hoyer is the veteran backup who the Patriots will hand the ball to on Sunday. At least he begins some experience to the table - this is his 14th year in the NFL.

But the folks in the peanut gallery are not impressed.

For what it's worth, SB Nation conducted a poll on its Patriots page, and 64% of the respondents felt that Bailey Zappe, a fourth-round pick out of pass-happy Western Kentucky, who put up some gaudy numbers there, should be starting, so as to allow Bill Belichick to get a look at him.

But the thing is, Bill Belichick doesn't keep Hoyer around for no reason (although the word is that he may slide into a coaching position on the staff after retirement).

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NFL Betting Odds -- Hoyer's history

Over the course of his career, Hoyer has completed 59% of his passes. He has started games for a few teams, and back in 2014 he actually led the NFL in yards per completion while playing with the Cleveland Browns.

But by and large, Hoyer has been backup-quality. The question that is surrounding the situation now, and certainly among fans, is whether he can step in and let the Pats run the offense the way they had been doing it with Jones behind center.

NFL Betting Odds -- Offense with Hoyer vs. offense with Jones

We don't want to leave you with the impression that Jones is a world-beater. In fact, he tossed three interceptions and got sacked three times in the 37-26 loss to the Ravens last week. But he did perform well enough last year to throw for 3800 yards, get serious rookie of the year consideration and make a trip to the Pro Bowl.

He also demonstrates an ability to get the ball down the field more than some people may have expected. Jones is one of only four NFL starting quarterbacks to average more than ten Intended Air Yards per attempt.

One of the things that is a bit damning about Hoyer is that he has lost twelve of his last 13 starts. And if you remember, he was the starter for the San Francisco 49ers before they inserted Jimmy Garoppolo into the starting lineup, after which they won five straight games. And Hoyer was dismissed and wound up back with the Patriots, who had dealt Jimmy G over.

NFL Betting Odds -- Our verdict

So we are not looking for a victory, but can we get a cover?

If we did, it would only be because the New England ground game could operate at optimum level, and at least one wide receiver could come through with a huge effort.

They could run the ball, no question, and undoubtedly that will be what Belichick endeavors to do. The Packers have allowed 4.9 yards per carry, against three teams who run the ball and run it well. So there might be some susceptibility there, although you know that without the threat of Jones stretching the secondary out, they are going to "cheat up" just a little.

This could be an "under" play. But it can also be one of those situations where the Pats are snuffed out and Hoyer can't keep them honest. Keep in mind that the Packers have covered 18 of their last 25 at Lambeau. We like that trend. So we're on the favorite.

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Posted : 02/10/2022 3:52 pm

 
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