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NBA Finals Betting -- Warriors need to get up off floor for Game 2

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2022 Nba Finals

Warriors Need New Mentality After Drubbing in NBA Finals Game One

By Charles Jay

Will Game Two of the NBA Finals play out like the opener? One of the toughest things in sports is to be able to come back from a defeat that was devastating, to say the least. Most BetOnline customers have seen this happen before. And they have to wonder how the Golden State Warriors are going to react to what can only be described as a meltdown in Game 1 of the NBA Finals, as they were ahead of the Boston Celtics by as many as 15 points late in the third quarter and wound up losing the game by twelve (120-108).

Game 2 is slated to begin at 8 PM ET at the Chase Center, as the Warriors try to get out of San Francisco with a split before taking their act to Beantown.

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NBA Finals Betting -- Here are the numbers.....

At BetOnline, the Warriors are favored at home, which is not a surprise:

Golden State Warriors -4
Boston Celtics +4

Over 215.5 Points -110
Under 215.5 Points -110

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NBA Finals Betting -- Why did the Warriors lose?

The simplest explanation is that they fell apart in the fourth quarter. That much is true. They were cruising along, taking a 12-point lead into the final period. But that is when they got cold and the Celtics got hot. shooting 68% with nine triples while they were stumbling around all over the place. Things went so badly that Boston was able to outscore them 40-16 in the final twelve minutes despite Jayson Tatum going scoreless during that time.

And it was simply unacceptable that the W's could let the Celtics take as many good shots from behind the three-point line as they did. In fact, they scored 52.5% of their points from downtown. There is no way they should have allowed the Boston bench to account for eight triples, or for Al Horford to make five of them all by himself, usually with uncontested attempts.

NBA Finals Betting -- What did Golden State do well?

For two of the four quarters, they have a nice edge. While Boston made 21 triples, the Warriors made 19. And 42.2% from beyond the arc was more than respectable.

The Warriors had 26 second-chance points, eleven more than the Celtics. And "holding" Tatum to three field goals in 17 attempts, we suppose, represented a good job, although he had 13 assists, as he was dishing to shooters all night who made long-range bombs.

NBA Finals Betting -- What should we expect? Or NOT expect?

There were 40 triples in 86 attempts in Game 1, and I'm relatively certain that neither side believes it defended the arc very well. Steph Curry was the guy who was really on fire early, but after the first quarter on Thursday, he had only one three-pointer and 13 points. The Celtics will try to shut him down, and make G-State look elsewhere for points. They would love for Draymond Green to take more shots; he missed all four of his three-pointers.

Boston allowed Golden State only eleven fast break points in Game 1, and when they are in halfcourt defense they have proven to be very difficult. Let's put it this way - coming into Thursday's game, they had allow3ed just 86.8 points per 100 halfcourt possessions, and that is one of the league's best figures in the last 25 years.

The Celtics had success with Tatum drawing in the defense and then kicking it out. If there is one thing the Warriors will pledge to do here, it's contest those long-range jumpers. So that is a problem that they can address. So while they may surrender more points in the paint, it will serve to keep the score lower.

We're sure G-State has the capability to come backand win one on their home floor, but we are also mindful of Boston's 68% covering rate on the road. We'll look in the direction of "Under" here.

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This topic was modified 2 months ago by Dirty
 
Posted : 05/06/2022 11:25 pm

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