151st Kentucky Derby Preview – Handicappers Hideaway

151st Kentucky Derby Preview

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The 151st Running of the Kentucky Derby Could be Wide Open to Win

The 151st Kentucky Derby is set for Saturday, May 3, 2025, at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. This iconic race marks the first leg of the Triple Crown and boasts a record $5 million purse. Post time is scheduled for 6:57 p.m. ET, with live coverage on NBC, Peacock, and NBCSports.com.

The horse racing world will have all eyes at Churchill Downs on Saturday. The Southern Belles and their oversized, and over-priced, hats will be on full display. The Mint Juleps will be flowing. It is time to kick off the race for the Triple Crown with the “fastest two-minutes in sports”. The “Run for the Roses” is a key moment to mark the end of spring betting. It takes us full throttle into summer.

Top Contenders & Favorites for the Kentucky Derby

Journalism (+275)

The morning-line favorite, Journalism, enters the Derby with four consecutive victories, showcasing tactical versatility and a strong pedigree. Trained by Michael W. McCarthy and ridden by Umberto Rispoli, Journalism has accumulated 122.5 qualifying points.

Sovereignty (+600)

Trained by William I. Mott and ridden by Junior Alvarado, Sovereignty boasts a lineage that includes Seattle Slew and Empire Maker. With 110 qualifying points, Sovereignty is a strong contender.

Sandman (+1000)

Winner of the Grade I Arkansas Derby, Sandman, trained by Mark E. Casse and ridden by José Ortiz, has earned 129 qualifying points, making him a formidable competitor.

Notable Contenders & Longshots

Rodriguez (+1600)

Trained by Bob Baffert, Rodriguez secured victory in the Grade II Wood Memorial. With 121.25 qualifying points, he is a notable contender.

Citizen Bull (+2000)

Also trained by Bob Baffert, Citizen Bull is a Grade I winner with multiple victories. Despite a long layoff since February, his back class makes him a potential threat.

Burnham Square (+1200)

Trained by Ian R. Wilkes, Burnham Square has shown consistent improvement, including a victory in the G3 Holy Bull Stakes. With 130 qualifying points, he is a strong contender.

Tiztastic (2000)

Trained by Steve Asmussen, Tiztastic is the Louisiana Derby winner. Asmussen, despite being the most successful trainer in North American racing history, seeks his first Kentucky Derby win.

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Full Field & Morning Line Odds via Heritage Sports

PostHorseTrainerJockeyOdds
1Citizen BullBob BaffertMartin Garcia+2000
2NeoequosSaffie Joseph Jr.Flavien Prat+8000
3Final GambitBrad H. CoxLuan Machado+1600
4RodriguezBob BaffertMike E. Smith+1600
5American PromiseD. Wayne LukasNik Juarez+2500
6Admire DaytonaYukihiro KatoChristophe Lemaire+4000
7Luxor CafeNoriyuki HoriJoão Moreira+900
8JournalismMichael W. McCarthyUmberto Rispoli+275
9Burnham SquareIan R. WilkesBrian Hernandez Jr.+1200
10GrandeTodd A. PletcherJohn R. Velazquez+2000
11Flying MohawkWhit BeckmanJoseph Ramos+5000
12East AvenueBrendan P. WalshManuel Franco+2000
13PublisherSteven M. AsmussenIrad Ortiz Jr.+3300
14TiztasticSteven M. AsmussenJoel Rosario+2000
15Render JudgmentKenneth G. McPeekJulien Leparoux+10000
16Coal BattleLonnie BrileyJuan Vargas+2500
17SandmanMark E. CasseJosé Ortiz+1000
18SovereigntyWilliam I. MottJunior Alvarado+600
19Chunk Of GoldEthan WestJareth Loveberry+5000
20Owen AlmightyBrian A. LynchJavier Castellano+5000

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Expert Predictions & Betting Insights for the 151st Kentucky Derby

  • Journalism: With a strong winning streak and tactical versatility, Journalism is the favorite to win.
  • Sovereignty: Boasts a strong pedigree and consistent performance, making him a top contender.
  • Sandman: His recent victory in the Arkansas Derby positions him as a strong competitor.
  • Rodriguez: Under the guidance of Bob Baffert, Rodriguez is a notable contender with a strong track record.
  • Citizen Bull: Despite a long layoff, his previous victories make him a potential threat.
  • Burnham Square: Consistent improvement and a recent stakes victory make him a strong contender.

Attendance & Viewing the Kentucky Derby

  • Tickets: Last-minute general admission infield tickets start at $140 before fees, while reserved seats begin at $393.
  • Broadcast: The event will be broadcast on NBC, with streaming available on NBCSports.com, the NBC Sports app, Peacock, and YouTube TV .

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