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Washington Redskins vs. New Orleans Saints Monday Night Football Prediction

New Orleans Saints Football

Saints Brees on Verge of Rewriting Record Books

We might witness history to close Week 5 when the Washington Redskins visit the New Orleans Saints. This showdown of NFC division leaders on Monday Night Football could see some records fall.

Saints quarterback Drew Brees needs 201 passing yards to become the all-time NFL leader. The record currently held by Peyton Manning with 71,940 yards. Brees is currently third on the all-time list and he needs just 99 yards to pass Brett Favre en route to Manning.

Monday, October 8 at 8:15 PM ET

Mercedes-Benz Superdome

Odds: Saints are 6.5-point favorites. The total is at 51.5.

Washington Redskins

The Washington Redskins took first place in the NFC East while enjoying their bye week. Now they’re looking for back-to-back victories following a 31-17 Week 3 win over the Green Bay Packers on September 23.

The Redskins put a ton of pressure on Aaron Rodgers for most of the game. They sacked him four times, led by two from defensive end Jonathan Allen. 

Alex Smith was effective as he completed 12 of 20 passes for 220 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. He adding 20 yards on the ground on seven carries. Veteran running back Adrian Peterson played well with 120 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries.

Tight ends Vernon Davis and Jordan Reed combined to make six catches for 135 yards.

The Redskins are averaging 245.3 passing yards (18th in the NFL) and 137.7 rushing yards (5th). Washington ranks 23rd with 21.3 points per game and 2nd with 14.7 points against.

Alex Smith has passed for 767 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Adrian Peterson has 236 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 56 carries. Jordan Reed has 14 receptions for 168 yards and one touchdown.

Mason Foster has 27 tackles and Matt Ioannidis has three sacks.

New Orleans Saints

The New Orleans Saints got back on track from a 48-40 Week 1 loss against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with three straight wins. Last Sunday’s 33-18 road victory over the New York Giants helped build confidence.

Drew Brees was the second quarterback in the history of the league to throw for over 5000 yards in a season after Dan Marino. He’s one of only five signal-callers to reach that milestone. Brees is the only one to do so in multiple seasons with five.

The 39-year-old signal-caller has shown no signs of slowing down. Although his numbers against the Giants were not that impressive by his standards.

Brees completed 18 of 32 passes for a season-low 217 yards and no touchdowns. That ended a 10-game streak with at least one score. He was still effective enough with Alvin Kamara’s rushing help to lead the Saints on three second half touchdown drives.

Kamara had career-highs of 134 rushing yards and three touchdowns.

The Saints are averaging 313.8 passing yards (7th in the NFL) and 104.5 rushing yards (18th). New Orleans ranks 3rd with 34.3 points per game and 29th with 30.3 points against.

Drew Brees has passed for 1,295 yards, eight touchdowns and no interceptions. Alvin Kamara has 275 rushing yards and five touchdowns on 56 carries. Michael Thomas has 42 receptions for 445 yards and three touchdowns.

Demario Davis has 37 tackles and Cameron Jordan has four sacks.

 

Odds and News

 

NFL Trends:

 The Washington Redskins are:

 4-0 ATS in their last four games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game

 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games against a team with a winning home record

 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record

6-0 ATS in their last six meetings

4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in New Orleans

The New Orleans Saints are:

1-4 ATS in their last five home games

1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win

2-9 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 5

1-5 ATS in their last six Monday games

The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between these two teams and the Redskins have a strong defensive line led by Jonathan Allen that can generate enough pressure on Drew Brees. Alex Smith always takes care of the football and he keeps defenses alert while exploiting mismatches in the middle of the field. I like Brees to break the all-time record for passing yards and the Saints to win but the Redskins will cover the spread. 

NFL Pick: Redskins +6.5 (-110)

Check odds here: https://goo.gl/dVwAAb

Odds as seen on ESPN Chalk: https://goo.gl/ji6GJZ

 

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