Thursday Night Football: Colts vs Patriots Preview and Pick

New England Patriots Football

Patriots Get Some Firepower Back for Colts

The Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots will meet on Thursday Night Football. Gillette Stadium in Foxborough will host this primetime affair. FOX and NFL Network will have the coverage. Kickoff is set for around 8:20 pm EST.

Oddsmakers opened the Patriots as -10.5-point favorites versus the Colts, while the game’s total opened at 53.5. The line is holding steady, but the total is down to 50.

Patriots quarterback Tom Brady will see a familiar face re-enter the huddle tonight. Julian Edelman returns from a four-game suspension. Edelman, was banned for violating the NFL’s performance-enhancing substances policy.

He rolled up a career-best 1,106 receiving yards in 2016 before a preseason knee injury caused him to miss the 2017 campaign. His leadership should make a big difference in the locker room and on the field.

Brady Getting back on Track

Brady struggled to find chemistry with his wide receivers in the first three contests. Former Colt Phillip Dorsett and Cordarrelle Patterson each reeled in a touchdown reception in a 38-7 romp over Miami on Sunday.

Brady ranks outside the top 20 in completion percentage (64.4 percent; 21st among QBs), passing yards per game (230; 24th) and yards per attempt (6.8; tied for 27th). Brady and his slow start has been crucial in the Pats 2-2 start.

Edelman is guaranteed to be in the huddle, but Rob Gronkowski isn’t a slam dunk to be by his side. The mammoth tight end is dealing with an ankle injury.

The 29-year-old Gronkowski was absent from Tuesday’s walk-through. He leads the Patriots with 233 receiving yards in four games. His 17 catches are second on the team to versatile running back James White.

Sony Michel answered a pair of lackluster performances with a stellar one on Sunday. He rushed 25 times for 112 yards and a touchdown. Michel became the second Patriots running back to eclipse 100 yards rushing in a game since 2016. He joined Dion Lewis, who did it twice in 2017.

Colts Look to Take Advantage of Patriots Defense

Colts quarterback Andrew Luck rebounded from a pair of subpar performances. He completed 40 of 62 passes for 464 yards and four touchdowns in Sunday’s 37-34 overtime setback to Houston. That is a big reason for the Colts’ 1-3 start to the season.

Luck owns an 0-5 career mark versus New England. He has completed just 48 percent of his pass attempts and thrown nine interceptions in three games at Foxborough, Mass.

Luck likely is to be without star wideout T.Y. Hilton (chest, hamstring) on Thursday. He will look to distribute the ball to a wide receiver corps of Ryan Grant, Chester Rogers and Zach Pascal.

The former top overall pick has found a convenient outlet in running back Nyhiem Hines (team-leading 22 catches). He led the club with nine receptions for 63 yards and two touchdowns last week.

Eric Ebron has made the most of fellow tight end Jack Doyle’s absence due to injury. He reeled in a team-leading three touchdown receptions in his last four games.

Indianapolis has gotten next-to-nil from its 29th-ranked ground game. Jordan Wilkins leading the club with just 136 rushing yards.

Recent Form

Name Record ATS Offense Defense Diff ATS Home ATS Away OU Record OU Home OU Away
Indianapolis 1-3 2-2 23.50 25.00 -1.5 0-2 2-0 2-2 2-0 0-2
New England 2-2 2-2 23.75 21.00 2.75 2-0 0-2 1-3 0-2 1-1
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
IND 14.34 15.09 -0.75
NE 14.2 16.57 -2.37
Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
IND 8.48 9.93 -1.45
NE 10.13 10.30 -0.17
Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
IND 3.60 3.90 -0.3
NE 4.11 4.46 -0.35
Team Records

Indianapolis Colts

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 1-3 0-2 1-1 2-2 0-2 2-0 23.50 25.00 -1.50
vs Conf 0-2 0-2 0-0 0-2 0-2 0-0 28.50 35.50 -7.00
vs Div 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-0 34.00 37.00 -3.00
Last 3 1-2 0-1 1-1 2-1 0-1 2-0 23.67 22.00 1.67

New England Patriots

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 2-2 2-0 0-2 2-2 2-0 0-2 23.75 21.00 2.75
vs Conf 2-1 2-0 0-1 2-1 2-0 0-1 28.33 19.33 9.00
vs Div 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 38.00 7.00 31.00
Last 3 1-2 1-0 0-2 1-2 1-0 0-2 22.67 21.33 1.34

Supergrid

Title Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 23.50 16 21.00 13
Awy Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense 159.00 27 137.00 4
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense 86.00 26 111.50 19
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 23.75 13 25.00 19
Hme Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense 270.50 16 248.00 11
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense 148.50 6 108.50 21

Head To Head Summary

Name Record ATS OU Score Rush YPR PA CP PY TY TO +/-
Indianapolis 2-8 4-6 7-3 22.50 83.70 3.74 40.20 60.95 288.10 371.80 2.10
New England 8-2 6-4 7-3 35.80 148.50 4.54 33.40 67.66 256.40 404.90 1.00

Head To Head Detail

Date Away Home Score Line Total OU Result ARY APY ATY ATT HRY HPY HTY HTT Away Team Attempts Home Team Attempts Away Team Completions Home Team Completions
Oct 18, 2015 NE IND 34-27 116 301 417 1 120 289 409 0
Jan 18, 2015 IND NE 7-45 83 126 209 3 177 220 397 1
Nov 16, 2014 NE IND 42-20 244 257 501 2 19 303 322 1
Jan 11, 2014 IND NE 22-43 69 317 386 4 234 185 419 0
Nov 18, 2012 IND NE 24-59 119 329 448 4 115 331 446 0
Dec 4, 2011 IND NE 24-31 99 338 437 2 73 289 362 0
Nov 21, 2010 IND NE 28-31 71 396 467 3 168 178 346 0
Nv 15, 2009 NE IND 34-35 113 364 477 2 91 316 407 2
Nov 2, 2008 NE IND 15-18 140 202 342 2 47 254 301 0
Nv 4, 2007 NE IND 24-20 105 237 342 2 119 213 332 2

NFL Betting Odds and Trends

Team Last 5 Games

Indianapolis Colts

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Sep 30, 2018 HOU 34-37 L 1/48.5 L/O 41 437 478 119 347 466 1 H
Sp 23, 2018 PHI 16-20 L 6.5/45.5 W/U 68 141 209 152 227 379 -2 A
Sp 16, 2018 WAS 21-9 W 6/48 W/U 104 177 281 65 269 334 1 A
Sep 9, 2018 CIN 23-34 L 1/47.5 L/O 75 305 380 101 229 330 0 H
Dec 31, 2017 HOU 22-13 W -5.5/41 W/U 146 104 250 85 124 209 -1 H

New England Patriots

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Sep 30, 2018 MIA 38-7 W -6.5/50.5 W/U 175 274 449 56 116 172 0 H
Sp 23, 2018 DET 10-26 L -7/55 L/U 89 120 209 159 255 414 0 A
Sep 16, 2018 JAC 20-31 L -2/44.5 L/O 82 220 302 104 377 481 -1 A
Sp 9, 2018 HOU 27-20 W -6.5/49.5 W/U 122 267 389 167 158 325 1 H
Feb 4, 2018 PHI 33-41 L -4.5/49 L/O 113 500 613 164 374 538 0 H

Next up:
Indianapolis at New York Sunday, October 14
New England home to Kansas City Sunday, October 14

Get up to a 150% Free Play at BetPhoenix Online Sportsbook!!!