Thursday Night Football: Colts vs Patriots Preview and Pick

New England Patriots Football

Patriots Get Some Firepower Back for Colts

The Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots will meet on Thursday Night Football. Gillette Stadium in Foxborough will host this primetime affair. FOX and NFL Network will have the coverage. Kickoff is set for around 8:20 pm EST.

Oddsmakers opened the Patriots as -10.5-point favorites versus the Colts, while the game’s total opened at 53.5. The line is holding steady, but the total is down to 50.

Patriots quarterback Tom Brady will see a familiar face re-enter the huddle tonight. Julian Edelman returns from a four-game suspension. Edelman, was banned for violating the NFL’s performance-enhancing substances policy.

He rolled up a career-best 1,106 receiving yards in 2016 before a preseason knee injury caused him to miss the 2017 campaign. His leadership should make a big difference in the locker room and on the field.

Brady Getting back on Track

Brady struggled to find chemistry with his wide receivers in the first three contests. Former Colt Phillip Dorsett and Cordarrelle Patterson each reeled in a touchdown reception in a 38-7 romp over Miami on Sunday.

Brady ranks outside the top 20 in completion percentage (64.4 percent; 21st among QBs), passing yards per game (230; 24th) and yards per attempt (6.8; tied for 27th). Brady and his slow start has been crucial in the Pats 2-2 start.

Edelman is guaranteed to be in the huddle, but Rob Gronkowski isn’t a slam dunk to be by his side. The mammoth tight end is dealing with an ankle injury.

The 29-year-old Gronkowski was absent from Tuesday’s walk-through. He leads the Patriots with 233 receiving yards in four games. His 17 catches are second on the team to versatile running back James White.

Sony Michel answered a pair of lackluster performances with a stellar one on Sunday. He rushed 25 times for 112 yards and a touchdown. Michel became the second Patriots running back to eclipse 100 yards rushing in a game since 2016. He joined Dion Lewis, who did it twice in 2017.

Colts Look to Take Advantage of Patriots Defense

Colts quarterback Andrew Luck rebounded from a pair of subpar performances. He completed 40 of 62 passes for 464 yards and four touchdowns in Sunday’s 37-34 overtime setback to Houston. That is a big reason for the Colts’ 1-3 start to the season.

Luck owns an 0-5 career mark versus New England. He has completed just 48 percent of his pass attempts and thrown nine interceptions in three games at Foxborough, Mass.

Luck likely is to be without star wideout T.Y. Hilton (chest, hamstring) on Thursday. He will look to distribute the ball to a wide receiver corps of Ryan Grant, Chester Rogers and Zach Pascal.

The former top overall pick has found a convenient outlet in running back Nyhiem Hines (team-leading 22 catches). He led the club with nine receptions for 63 yards and two touchdowns last week.

Eric Ebron has made the most of fellow tight end Jack Doyle’s absence due to injury. He reeled in a team-leading three touchdown receptions in his last four games.

Indianapolis has gotten next-to-nil from its 29th-ranked ground game. Jordan Wilkins leading the club with just 136 rushing yards.

Recent Form

NameRecordATSOffenseDefenseDiffATS HomeATS AwayOU RecordOU HomeOU Away
Indianapolis1-32-223.5025.00-1.50-22-02-22-00-2
New England2-22-223.7521.002.752-00-21-30-21-1
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
IND14.3415.09-0.75
NE14.216.57-2.37
Yards Per Pass
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
IND8.489.93-1.45
NE10.1310.30-0.17
Yards Per Rush
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
IND3.603.90-0.3
NE4.114.46-0.35
Team Records

Indianapolis Colts

NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall1-30-21-12-20-22-023.5025.00-1.50
vs Conf0-20-20-00-20-20-028.5035.50-7.00
vs Div0-10-10-00-10-10-034.0037.00-3.00
Last 31-20-11-12-10-12-023.6722.001.67

New England Patriots

NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall2-22-00-22-22-00-223.7521.002.75
vs Conf2-12-00-12-12-00-128.3319.339.00
vs Div1-01-00-01-01-00-038.007.0031.00
Last 31-21-00-21-21-00-222.6721.331.34

Supergrid

TitleStatRankStatRank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense23.501621.0013
Awy Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense159.0027137.004
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense86.0026111.5019
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense23.751325.0019
Hme Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense270.5016248.0011
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense148.506108.5021

Head To Head Summary

NameRecordATSOUScoreRushYPRPACPPYTYTO +/-
Indianapolis2-84-67-322.5083.703.7440.2060.95288.10371.802.10
New England8-26-47-335.80148.504.5433.4067.66256.40404.901.00

Head To Head Detail

DateAwayHomeScoreLineTotalOU ResultARYAPYATYATTHRYHPYHTYHTTAway Team AttemptsHome Team AttemptsAway Team CompletionsHome Team Completions
Oct 18, 2015NEIND34-2711630141711202894090
Jan 18, 2015INDNE7-458312620931772203971
Nov 16, 2014NEIND42-202442575012193033221
Jan 11, 2014INDNE22-436931738642341854190
Nov 18, 2012INDNE24-5911932944841153314460
Dec 4, 2011INDNE24-31993384372732893620
Nov 21, 2010INDNE28-317139646731681783460
Nv 15, 2009NEIND34-351133644772913164072
Nov 2, 2008NEIND15-181402023422472543010
Nv 4, 2007NEIND24-2010523734221192133322

NFL Betting Odds and Trends

Team Last 5 Games

Indianapolis Colts

DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Sep 30, 2018HOU34-37L1/48.5L/O414374781193474661H
Sp 23, 2018PHI16-20L6.5/45.5W/U68141209152227379-2A
Sp 16, 2018WAS21-9W6/48W/U104177281652693341A
Sep 9, 2018CIN23-34L1/47.5L/O753053801012293300H
Dec 31, 2017HOU22-13W-5.5/41W/U14610425085124209-1H

New England Patriots

DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Sep 30, 2018MIA38-7W-6.5/50.5W/U175274449561161720H
Sp 23, 2018DET10-26L-7/55L/U891202091592554140A
Sep 16, 2018JAC20-31L-2/44.5L/O82220302104377481-1A
Sp 9, 2018HOU27-20W-6.5/49.5W/U1222673891671583251H
Feb 4, 2018PHI33-41L-4.5/49L/O1135006131643745380H

Next up:
Indianapolis at New York Sunday, October 14
New England home to Kansas City Sunday, October 14

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