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Super Bowl LII Preview and Pick- Philadelphia vs. New England

Super Bowl LII Odds

David vs. Goliath in Super Bowl LII

The top seed in each NFL conference squares off against one another this Sunday in Super Bowl LII. The Philadelphia Eagles face the New England Patriots. Game time on NBC from US Bank Stadium is set for 6:30 p.m.

VietBet currently has New England favored by 4.5 points with the total set at 48.5.

Eagles Get to Super Bowl LII With Backup QB and Defense

The Eagles have grown accustom to playing the role of underdog since losing Carson Wentz at quarterback in Week 14. They closed as 2.5-point home underdogs in a 15-10 victory against Atlanta in the Divisional Round. The Eagles crushed Minnesota 38-7 in the NFC Championship as three-point underdogs at home.

They are 12-6 against the spread on the year. That included a 4-2 record ATS when getting points on the VietBet closing line. The total has gone OVER in four of those six games.

Nick Foles took over for Wentz after the injury. He did look shaky in his final two regular season games, he has done an excellent job at filling a huge void in two postseason starts. Foles ended the game against the Vikings with 352 passing yards and three passing touchdowns.

He also had zero interceptions and just one sack for a six-yard loss. Philadelphia also has the third-ranked rushing offense in the league in what remains a very balance attack.

Patriots Back in Familiar Position in Super Bowl LII

New England was expected to defend last season’s Super Bowl title. They were the clear favorite to once again win the AFC. It stayed true to course with a SU 15-3 run through its first 18 games while going 12-6 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of those 18 games.

The Patriots did have some trouble getting past Jacksonville in the AFC title game. They were eight-point home favorites in a 24-20 win. This was just the second time in their last 12 games they failed to cover VietBet closing spread.

You have come to expect New England’s offense to be one of the best in the NFL. Future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady had demanded excellence at the helm.

He was at his best against the Jaguars. That was even with his top receiver Rob Gronkowski knocked out of that game with a concussion. Brady’s two fourth-quarter touchdown throws erased a 10-point deficit. The comeback sent his team to its fourth Super Bowl appearance in seven seasons.

Gronk has been cleared to play on Sunday. This will make things even tougher for Philly to play the role of spoiler.

I would still lean towards the Eagles plus the points on Sunday. This matchup is too close to call in my book. What I do like is the OVER 48.5 points on the total line with both teams putting up at least 24 points.


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Recent Form

Name Record ATS Offense Defense Diff ATS Home ATS Away OU Record OU Home OU Away
Philadelphia 15-3 12-6 28.33 17.33 11 7-3 5-3 9-9 4-6 5-3
New England 15-3 12-6 28.72 18.33 10.39 6-4 6-2 8-10 6-4 2-6
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
PHI 13.03 17.69 -4.66
NE 13.71 19.69 -5.98
Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
PHI 11.08 9.92 1.16
NE 11.20 10.91 0.29
Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
PHI 4.34 3.79 0.55
NE 4.12 4.57 -0.45
Team Records

Philadelphia Eagles

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 15-3 9-1 6-2 12-6 7-3 5-3 28.33 17.33 11.00
vs Conf 12-2 7-1 5-1 10-4 6-2 4-2 28.14 16.29 11.85
vs Div 3-0 0-0 3-0 2-1 0-0 2-1 33.67 18.33 15.34
Last 3 2-1 2-1 0-0 2-1 2-1 0-0 17.67 7.67 10.00

New England Patriots

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 15-3 8-2 7-1 12-6 6-4 6-2 28.72 18.33 10.39
vs Conf 12-2 7-1 5-1 9-5 5-3 4-2 29.21 18.29 10.92
vs Div 2-1 0-0 2-1 1-2 0-0 1-2 22.33 15.67 6.66
Last 3 3-0 3-0 0-0 2-1 2-1 0-0 28.33 13.33 15.00

Super Bowl LII Supergrid

Title Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 28.33 3 18.33 5
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense 261.25 4 244.10 27
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense 130.00 4 108.40 18
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 28.72 2 17.33 2
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense 269.20 4 243.50 24
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense 120.50 14 88.88 2

Head To Head Summary

Name Record ATS OU Score Rush YPR PA CP PY TY TO +/-
Philadelphia 2-4 4-2 4-2 23.00 87.00 3.70 40.33 52.48 260.83 340.83 3.17
New England 4-2 2-4 4-2 26.83 81.83 3.03 45.17 60.52 300.17 380.67 1.67

Head To Head Detail

Date Away Home Score Line Total OU Result ARY APY ATY ATT HRY HPY HTY HTT Away Team Attempts Home Team Attempts Away Team Completions Home Team Completions
Dec 6, 2015 PHI NE 35-28 128 120 248 2 103 324 427 2
Nov 27, 2011 NE PHI 38-20 104 353 457 0 73 393 466 1
Nov 25, 2007 PHI NE 28-31 55 336 391 3 48 362 410 0
Feb 6, 2005 NE PHI 24-21 112 219 331 1 45 324 369 4
Sep 14, 2003 NE PHI 31-10 62 255 309 0 99 211 268 6
Dec 19, 1999 NE PHI 9-24 62 288 350 7 122 181 303 3
Nov 4, 1990 NE PHI 20-48 0 0
Nov 29, 1987 PHI NE 34-31 0 0
Dec 9, 1984 NE PHI 17-27 0 0
Sep 13, 1981 NE PHI 3-13 0 0

Super Bowl LII Betting Trends

Team Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Eagles

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Jan 21, 2018 MIN 38-7 W 3/39 W/O 110 346 456 70 263 333 -3 H
Jan 13, 2018 ATL 15-10 W 2.5/40.5 W/U 96 238 334 86 195 281 2 H
Dec 31, 2017 DAL 0-6 L 3.5/40 L/U 70 149 219 129 172 301 1 H
Dec 25, 2017 OAK 19-10 W -10/46 L/U 78 138 216 137 137 274 -3 H
Dec 17, 2017 NYG 34-29 W -7.5/40.5 L/O 108 233 341 75 429 504 -1 A

New England Patriots

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Jan 21, 2018 JAC 24-20 W -8/45.5 L/U 46 298 344 101 273 374 1 H
Jan 13, 2018 TEN 35-14 W -13.5/48 W/O 101 337 438 65 202 267 0 H
Dec 31, 2017 NYJ 26-6 W -16.5/42.5 W/U 147 183 330 40 207 247 0 H
Dec 24, 2017 BUF 37-16 W -10.5/47.5 W/O 193 218 411 84 242 326 1 H
Dec 17, 2017 PIT 27-24 W -2.5/52.5 W/U 77 283 360 143 270 413 0 A

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