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Super Bowl LII Preview and Pick- Philadelphia vs. New England

Super Bowl LII Odds

David vs. Goliath in Super Bowl LII

The top seed in each NFL conference squares off against one another this Sunday in Super Bowl LII. The Philadelphia Eagles face the New England Patriots. Game time on NBC from US Bank Stadium is set for 6:30 p.m.

VietBet currently has New England favored by 4.5 points with the total set at 48.5.

Eagles Get to Super Bowl LII With Backup QB and Defense

The Eagles have grown accustom to playing the role of underdog since losing Carson Wentz at quarterback in Week 14. They closed as 2.5-point home underdogs in a 15-10 victory against Atlanta in the Divisional Round. The Eagles crushed Minnesota 38-7 in the NFC Championship as three-point underdogs at home.

They are 12-6 against the spread on the year. That included a 4-2 record ATS when getting points on the VietBet closing line. The total has gone OVER in four of those six games.

Nick Foles took over for Wentz after the injury. He did look shaky in his final two regular season games, he has done an excellent job at filling a huge void in two postseason starts. Foles ended the game against the Vikings with 352 passing yards and three passing touchdowns.

He also had zero interceptions and just one sack for a six-yard loss. Philadelphia also has the third-ranked rushing offense in the league in what remains a very balance attack.

Patriots Back in Familiar Position in Super Bowl LII

New England was expected to defend last season’s Super Bowl title. They were the clear favorite to once again win the AFC. It stayed true to course with a SU 15-3 run through its first 18 games while going 12-6 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of those 18 games.

The Patriots did have some trouble getting past Jacksonville in the AFC title game. They were eight-point home favorites in a 24-20 win. This was just the second time in their last 12 games they failed to cover VietBet closing spread.

You have come to expect New England’s offense to be one of the best in the NFL. Future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady had demanded excellence at the helm.

He was at his best against the Jaguars. That was even with his top receiver Rob Gronkowski knocked out of that game with a concussion. Brady’s two fourth-quarter touchdown throws erased a 10-point deficit. The comeback sent his team to its fourth Super Bowl appearance in seven seasons.

Gronk has been cleared to play on Sunday. This will make things even tougher for Philly to play the role of spoiler.

I would still lean towards the Eagles plus the points on Sunday. This matchup is too close to call in my book. What I do like is the OVER 48.5 points on the total line with both teams putting up at least 24 points.


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Recent Form

NameRecordATSOffenseDefenseDiffATS HomeATS AwayOU RecordOU HomeOU Away
Philadelphia15-312-628.3317.33117-35-39-94-65-3
New England15-312-628.7218.3310.396-46-28-106-42-6
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
PHI13.0317.69-4.66
NE13.7119.69-5.98
Yards Per Pass
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
PHI11.089.921.16
NE11.2010.910.29
Yards Per Rush
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
PHI4.343.790.55
NE4.124.57-0.45
Team Records

Philadelphia Eagles

NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall15-39-16-212-67-35-328.3317.3311.00
vs Conf12-27-15-110-46-24-228.1416.2911.85
vs Div3-00-03-02-10-02-133.6718.3315.34
Last 32-12-10-02-12-10-017.677.6710.00

New England Patriots

NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall15-38-27-112-66-46-228.7218.3310.39
vs Conf12-27-15-19-55-34-229.2118.2910.92
vs Div2-10-02-11-20-01-222.3315.676.66
Last 33-03-00-02-12-10-028.3313.3315.00

Super Bowl LII Supergrid

TitleStatRankStatRank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense28.33318.335
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense261.254244.1027
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense130.004108.4018
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense28.72217.332
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense269.204243.5024
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense120.501488.882

Head To Head Summary

NameRecordATSOUScoreRushYPRPACPPYTYTO +/-
Philadelphia2-44-24-223.0087.003.7040.3352.48260.83340.833.17
New England4-22-44-226.8381.833.0345.1760.52300.17380.671.67

Head To Head Detail

DateAwayHomeScoreLineTotalOU ResultARYAPYATYATTHRYHPYHTYHTTAway Team AttemptsHome Team AttemptsAway Team CompletionsHome Team Completions
Dec 6, 2015PHINE35-2812812024821033244272
Nov 27, 2011NEPHI38-201043534570733934661
Nov 25, 2007PHINE28-31553363913483624100
Feb 6, 2005NEPHI24-211122193311453243694
Sep 14, 2003NEPHI31-10622553090992112686
Dec 19, 1999NEPHI9-246228835071221813033
Nov 4, 1990NEPHI20-4800
Nov 29, 1987PHINE34-3100
Dec 9, 1984NEPHI17-2700
Sep 13, 1981NEPHI3-1300

Super Bowl LII Betting Trends

Team Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Eagles

DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Jan 21, 2018MIN38-7W3/39W/O11034645670263333-3H
Jan 13, 2018ATL15-10W2.5/40.5W/U96238334861952812H
Dec 31, 2017DAL0-6L3.5/40L/U701492191291723011H
Dec 25, 2017OAK19-10W-10/46L/U78138216137137274-3H
Dec 17, 2017NYG34-29W-7.5/40.5L/O10823334175429504-1A

New England Patriots

DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Jan 21, 2018JAC24-20W-8/45.5L/U462983441012733741H
Jan 13, 2018TEN35-14W-13.5/48W/O101337438652022670H
Dec 31, 2017NYJ26-6W-16.5/42.5W/U147183330402072470H
Dec 24, 2017BUF37-16W-10.5/47.5W/O193218411842423261H
Dec 17, 2017PIT27-24W-2.5/52.5W/U772833601432704130A

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