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NFL Wildcard Sunday: Jaguars Big Faves Over Bills

AFC Wildcard Game

NFL Wildcard Sunday Has Two Cinderella’s in AFC Matchup

The Buffalo Bills and the Jacksonville Jaguars will battle on NFL Wildcard Sunday at EverBank Field. This AFC Wildcard matchup will kickoff at 1 pm EST on CBS.

Oddsmakers opened the Jaguars as -6.5-point favorites versus the Bills, while the game’s total opened at 41. The Jags are now 8-point favorites and the total is down to 40.

Their is definitely going to be a potential Cinderella Story coming out of today’s AFC Wildcard matchup. Will the winner become a fan favorite throughout the playoffs?

Does that matter in this Era of bad NFL Football and parity throughout the league where every team virtually has a shot to make the playoffs every year? The Quality of football played in the NFL today is awful and a shadow of what it was just a few years ago.

The Jaguars won their first-ever AFC South title. They are in the playoffs for the first time since 2007. The team will host their first playoff game since 1999. Jacksonville was an NFL-worst 17-63 over the previous five seasons.

The Bills snapped a playoff drought that dated back to 1999. They are the final wild-card team in the AFC. Buffalo qualified with a win over Miami in the regular-season finale.

Do Jaguars Have Extra Motivation on NFL Wildcard Sunday?

 

Jaguars first-year coach Doug Marrone coached the Bills in 2013-14. He opted out of his contract and walked away with a $4 million buyout when Buffalo changed ownership. Will this motivate the Jaguars?

Marrone was hired by former Jaguars coach Gus Bradley to be the offensive line coach. Marrone served as the interim coach for two games after Bradley was fired and was promoted to head coach last January. There are only six players on the roster that played under Marrone.

The two teams also completed a trade prior to the NFL trade deadline. The Bills sent defensive tackle Marcell Dareus to the Jags for a 2018 fifth-round draft pick. The Jaguars had the worst run defense in the NFL when they made the move and ended up finishing 21st.

Bills Don’t Matchup Well in NFL Wildcard Round

The Bills don’t seem to match up well with the Jags if you look at the stats. They rank 30th in sacks allowed and are 29th in total offense.

The Jaguars defense ranks first in the NFL in yards-per-play, pass defense and interceptions. They are ranked second in total defense, sacks and scoring defense.

They could be in line for another dominant outing. If Bills star running back LeSean McCoy can’t play after injuring his ankle Sunday it could spell doom for the Bills. McCoy carried the ball 287 times for 1,138 yards with six touchdowns this season. He has a team-high 59 catches for 448 yards and two scores.

Tyrod Taylor is the team’s second-leading rusher with 427 yards and four touchdowns. Mike Tolbert would likely fill in for McCoy and has 247 yards rushing this season. He is a pdeliberate runner compared to the quickness of McCoy. Marcus Murphy made his season debut on Sunda. He rushed for 41 yards. He has eight career carries in the NFL.

McCoy did not practice Wednesday. McCoy’s absence would put a lot of pressure on Taylor and the Bills’ 31st ranked passing offense.

Buffalo ranks 30th in stopping the run this season. That should give the Jags offense hope after two consecutive losses to end the regular season. The Jaguars lead the NFL in rushing offense and are fifth in scoring.

Point differential is what separates the teams. The Jaguars are plus-149. That’s second best in the AFC behind New England. Buffalo is minus-57. There are nine teams that didn’t qualify for the playoffs with a better number.

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Recent Form

Name Record ATS Offense Defense Diff ATS Home ATS Away OU Record OU Home OU Away
Buffalo 9-7 8-6-2 18.88 22.44 -3.56 5-2-1 3-4-1 8-8 5-3 3-5
Jacksonville 10-6 9-7 26.06 16.75 9.31 5-3 4-4 8-8 5-3 3-5
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
BUF 16.03 15.83 0.2
JAC 14.04 17.08 -3.04
Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
BUF 9.78 9.97 -0.19
JAC 11.37 9.40 1.97
Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
BUF 4.14 4.28 -0.14
JAC 4.30 4.34 -0.04
Team Records

Buffalo Bills

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 9-7 6-2 3-5 8-6-2 5-2-1 3-4-1 18.88 22.44 -3.56
vs Conf 7-5 5-1 2-4 7-5 5-1 2-4 19.67 21.58 -1.91
vs Div 1-2 0-0 1-2 1-2 0-0 1-2 19.67 29.00 -9.33
Last 3 2-1 1-0 1-1 2-1 1-0 1-1 20.67 23.00 -2.33

Jacksonville Jaguars

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 10-6 6-2 4-4 9-7 5-3 4-4 26.06 16.75 9.31
vs Conf 9-3 5-1 4-2 8-4 4-2 4-2 26.08 12.17 13.91
vs Div 2-1 0-0 2-1 2-1 0-0 2-1 22.00 7.33 14.67
Last 3 1-2 1-0 0-2 1-2 1-0 0-2 29.33 22.00 7.33

NFL Wildcard Supergrid

Title Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 18.88 22 16.75 2
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense 183.25 28 154.00 1
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense 102.25 19 117.50 26
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 26.06 5 22.44 18
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense 265.13 5 228.13 17
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense 138.50 6 121.50 23

Head To Head Summary

Name Record ATS OU Score Rush YPR PA CP PY TY TO +/-
Buffalo 5-5 5-5 7-3 23.20 119.70 4.06 28.10 65.84 190.60 310.30 1.80
Jacksonville 5-5 5-5 7-3 23.60 134.20 4.43 30.60 57.84 174.20 308.40 1.80

Head To Head Detail

Date Away Home Score Line Total OU Result ARY APY ATY ATT HRY HPY HTY HTT Away Team Attempts Home Team Attempts Away Team Completions Home Team Completions
Nov 27, 2016 JAC BUF 21-28 183 118 301 0 153 151 304 0
Oct 25, 2015 BUF JAC 31-34 115 260 375 4 120 175 295 1
Dec 15, 2013 BUF JAC 27-20 198 168 366 2 159 195 354 4
Dec 2, 2012 JAC BUF 18-34 50 186 236 2 232 112 344 2
Oct 10, 2010 JAC BUF 36-26 216 165 381 3 110 196 306 0
Nov 22, 2009 BUF JAC 15-18 53 290 343 3 102 208 310 2
Sep 14, 2008 BUF JAC 20-16 75 210 285 1 98 145 243 2
Nov 25, 2007 BUF JAC 14-36 94 203 297 3 124 292 416 1
Nov 26, 2006 JAC BUF 24-27 207 116 323 1 72 169 241 1
Sep 12, 2004 JAC BUF 13-10 83 142 225 2 95 147 242 2

NFL Wilcard Betting Trends

Team Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Dec 31, 2017 MIA 22-16 W -2/41 W/U 126 186 312 93 263 356 -1 A
Dec 24, 2017 NE 16-37 L 10.5/47.5 L/O 84 242 326 193 218 411 -1 A
Dec 17, 2017 MIA 24-16 W -3.5/39.5 W/O 116 212 328 100 249 349 -3 H
Dec 10, 2017 IND 13-7 W -3/37 W/U 227 92 319 163 64 227 2 H
Dec 3, 2017 NE 3-23 L 7.5/49 L/U 183 85 268 191 244 435 0 H

Jacksonville Jaguars

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Dec 31, 2017 TEN 10-15 L 2.5/40 L/U 83 146 229 116 116 232 3 A
Dec 24, 2017 SF 33-44 L -4/43 L/O 92 380 472 131 238 369 2 A
Dec 17, 2017 HOU 45-7 W -10.5/39 W/O 138 326 464 87 99 186 -1 H
Dec 10, 2017 SEA 30-24 W -2.5/41 W/O 157 268 425 141 260 401 -2 H
Dec 3, 2017 IND 30-10 W -10/41 W/U 96 330 426 141 149 290 -2 H

Weather in
JacksonvilleUnited States

Weather is Mostly Sunny  42°F

Mostly Sunny
Humidity is 55%
Wind is NE 17 mph
Visibility is 9 miles mi
Pressure is 30.29 inHg

Forecast for Jacksonville

 

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