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NFL Preseason Week 1 Free Pick- Houston at Carolina

Carolina Panthers NFL Preseason Football

NFL Preseason Brings QB Questions for Texans

The Houston Texans kickoff the first full week of action in the NFL preseason with a road game against the Carolina Panthers. The Wednesday night game is the featured matchup on the NFL Network. BetAnySports opened the Panthers as three-point favorites. The total was opened at 36. After a couple of weeks of betting, the line now has the Panthers as 1-point favorites. The total is now up to 38.

The big question for Houston heading into this preseason opener is which quarterback on its current roster will line up under center. Early September is when the games start counting for real, and it is not far away. The Texans drafted former Clemson standout Deshaun Watson with the 12th overall pick in the 2017 draft. He may have to wait a bit to take his place as the team’s quarterback of the future. Tom Savage is still holding the top spot on the depth chart. Houston also has quarterback Brandon Weeden on its roster.

The Texans have been able to win the AFC South Division the last two years. They won it with a record of 9-7 both seasons. Their projected win total this season has been set at 8.5. Moneyline odds set at -110 for both the UNDER and the OVER. Houston is a slight +200 favorite to win this division again in 2017. They are followed by Indianapolis with +220 betting odds. Last year the Texans went 2-8 against the spread when closing as an underdog.

Panthers Look to Improve During NFL Preseason

Carolina slipped all the way to 6-10 last season after making a run all the way to the Super Bowl back in 2015 after going 15-1 straight-up in the regular season. The Panthers were 6-8-2 ATS overall in 2016 and they went 3-4-1 ATS on their home field. Their projected win total for this season stands at nine games with the betting odds slightly favoring the OVER at -115. Carolina’s betting odds to win the NFC South are set at +225 as the second favorite behind Atlanta (+155).

There is no quarterback controversy in Carolina with a healthy Cam Newton back under center, but it remains to be seen how much action he will see on Wednesday night. Panthers’ fans will be more interested in watching first round pick Christian McCaffrey run the ball in an effort to take some of the pressure off Newton as the center piece of this offense.

I would lay the one-point with BetAnySports in this game and take Carolina. While the actual results do not count in the standings, I get the feeling that the Panthers would like get things started on a winning note after a very disappointing 2016 campaign.

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Recent Form

Name Record ATS Offense Defense Diff ATS Home ATS Away OU Record OU Home OU Away
Houston 10-8 7-10-1 17.89 20.89 -3 5-3-1 2-7 8-10 4-5 4-5
Carolina 6-10 6-8-2 23.06 25.12 -2.06 3-4-1 3-4-1 8-8 3-5 5-3
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
HOU 17.43 14.37 3.06
CAR 14.9 14.32 0.59
 
Name Offense Defense Differential
HOU 9.18 10.26 -1.08
CAR 12.04 10.49 1.55
Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
HOU 3.99 3.95 0.04
CAR 4.00 3.90 0.1
Team Records
Houston Texans
Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 10-8 8-1 2-7 7-10-1 5-3-1 2-7 17.89 20.89 -3.00
vs Conf 8-6 6-1 2-5 5-8-1 3-3-1 2-5 18.07 21.21 -3.14
vs Div 5-1 3-0 2-1 3-2-1 1-1-1 2-1 22.83 20.83 2.00
Last 3 1-2 1-0 0-2 1-2 1-0 0-2 20.00 24.00 -4.00

Carolina Panthers

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 6-10 4-4 2-6 6-8-2 3-4-1 3-4-1 23.06 25.13 -2.07
vs Conf 5-7 3-3 2-4 4-6-2 2-3-1 2-3-1 22.67 25.83 -3.16
vs Div 1-5 1-2 0-3 1-4-1 0-2-1 1-2 23.33 29.33 -6.00
Last 3 1-2 0-1 1-1 2-1 0-1 2-0 19.33 21.67 -2.34
Supergrid
Title Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 17.89 28 25.13 26
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense 169.11 32 226.63 11
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense 119.00 7 83.50 7
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 23.06 15 20.89 12
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense 223.00 24 214.22 4
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense 119.00 9 108.44 12
Head To Head Summary
Name Record ATS OU Score Rush YPR PA CP PY TY TO +/-
Houston 2-2 2-2 1-3 19.50 112.00 3.93 33.75 58.52 205.75 317.75 1.25
Carolina 2-2 2-2 1-3 20.75 144.50 4.82 31.25 57.60 202.00 346.50 1.25

Head To Head Detail

Date Away Home Score Line Total OU Result ARY APY ATY ATT HRY HPY HTY HTT Away Team Attempts Home Team Attempts Away Team Completions Home Team Completions
Sep 20, 2015 HOU CAR 17-24 61 239 300 1 172 178 350 1
Dec 18, 2011 CAR HOU 28-13 166 150 316 0 150 208 358 3
Sep 16, 2007 HOU CAR 34-21 119 227 346 1 66 287 353 3
Nov 2, 2003 CAR HOU 10-14 174 193 367 1 118 149 267 0
Betting Odds Trends
Team Last 5 Games
Houston Texans
Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Jan 14, 2017 NE 16-34 L 16.5/44 L/O 104 181 285 98 279 377 0 A
Jan 7, 2017 OAK 27-14 W -4/37.5 W/O 123 168 291 64 139 203 -3 H
Jan 1, 2017 TEN 17-24 L 3/41.5 L/U 46 243 289 105 133 238 0 A
Dec 24, 2016 CIN 12-10 W -3/41 L/U 95 155 250 50 244 294 -1 H
Dec 18, 2016 JAC 21-20 W -3.5/39 L/O 79 308 387 67 83 150 1 H

Carolina Panthers

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Jan 1, 2017 TB 16-17 L 3/44.5 W/U 128 207 335 112 188 300 1 A
Dec 24, 2016 ATL 16-33 L 3/48.5 L/O 119 183 302 152 256 408 2 H
Dec 19, 2016 WAS 26-15 W 7/50.5 W/U 148 290 438 29 306 335 -3 A
Dec 11, 2016 LAC 28-16 W -1/48.5 W/U 126 146 272 58 220 278 -4 H
Dec 4, 2016 SEA 7-40 L 9/44 L/O 89 182 271 240 294 534 1 A

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