Can Cowboys D Tame the Rams O?
Saturday night’s matchup in the Divisional Round of this year’s NFL Playoffs pits the Dallas Cowboys against the Los Angeles Rams. It is slated for a 8:15 p.m. start on FOX from Memorial Coliseum.
VietBet has opened the Rams as seven-point home favorites with the total set at 49 points. The line has held pretty steady throughout the week.
The Cowboys held off Seattle 24-22 in Saturday’s Wild Card Round matchup. They were a 2.5-point favorites at home. This was their eighth straight-up victory in their last nine games. They fell to 1-2-1 against the spread in their last four contests after failing to cover VietBets’ closing spread. The total went OVER 43.5 points in the game. The score has gone OVER in three of their last five outings. Dallas is 4-4 ATS on the road this season and 6-3 ATS when closing as underdogs.
Dak Prescott completed 22 of his 33 passing attempts against the Seahawks for 226 yards and a score. His one-yard touchdown run late in the fourth quarter sealed the win. Dallas added 164 more yards on the ground with Ezekiel Elliott rushing for 137 yards and a score. His totals were on 26 carries. You can also credit the Cowboys’ defense for this win after holding Seattle to 299 yards of total offense.
Rams High Powered Offense is Rested
The Rams won the NFC West for the second season in a row at 13-3 SU. They went 7-7-2 ATS after failing to cover in six of their last nine games. The total went OVER 50 points in a 48-32 victory at home against San Francisco in their regular season finale. The total had stayed UNDER or ending as a PUSH in their previous four games. Los Angeles is an even 3-3-2 ATS at home. The total going OVER or ending as a PUSH in its last four home games.
The combination of Jared Goff throwing the ball and Todd Gurley running it helped the Rams average 32.9 points per game. That was ranked second in the NFL. Goff threw for 4,688 yards and 32 touchdowns. Gurley piled up 1,251 rushing yards and 17 scores on 256 carries. Los Angeles allowed an average of 24.0 points a game on defense.
Dallas played well enough at home to get the win against Seattle. Beating the Rams on the road is going to be a much tougher task. I still see the Cowboys keeping this game close enough to cover with the seven points.
NFL Divisional Round Betting Odds & Trends
|The Cowboys are 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games|
|Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games|
|The Cowboys are 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road|
|The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas’s last 12 games on the road|
|The Cowboys are 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams|
|Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams|
|The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams|
|Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams|
|The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’s last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams|
|Los Angeles Rams|
|LA Rams is 4-7-2 ATS in its last 13 games|
|LA Rams is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games|
|LA Rams is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home|
|LA Rams is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home|
|The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Rams’s last 7 games at home|
|LA Rams is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas|
|LA Rams is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas|
|LA Rams is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas|
|LA Rams is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas|
|The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams’s last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas|
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