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NFC Championship Betting Preview & Pick- Minnesota at Philadelphia

2018 NFC Championship

Two Faves Meet in NFC Championship Game

It has been a wild ride to the NFC Championship Game. The NFC playoffs has gone chalk with the No. 2 Minnesota Vikings traveling to Lincoln Financial Field this Sunday night. They will face the No. 1 Philadelphia Eagles.

Game time on FOX is set for 6:40 p.m. and Minnesota comes in as a 3-point road favorite at VietBet with the total set low at 39 points.

Vikings Advance to NFC Championship on Wild Last Play

The Vikings needed a last-second touchdown to get past New Orleans 29-24 in Sunday’s Divisional Round matchup as 5.5-point home favorites with VietBet. The total went OVER the closing 46.5-point line after staying UNDER in five of their previous seven games.

Minnesota is a profitable 11-6 ATS this season including a 5-3 record on the road.

Heading into halftime with a 17-0 lead, it looked like the Vikings would cruise into the next round of the playoffs. They actually found themselves trailing twice in the fourth quarter after blowing that big lead.

A miracle catch by Stefon Diggs resulted in a 61-yard touchdown. It snatched victory from the jaws of defeat. Case Keenum made his first postseason start and ended the day with 318 yards passing. He completed 25 of his 40 passing attempts.

Eagles Needed Last Second Stand on D to Advance to NFC Championship

Philadelphia needed to shutdown Atlanta from inside its own two yard line with time running out to preserve a hard-fought 15-10 victory. The Eagles were an unheralded 2.5-point home underdog in its Divisional Round matchup.

This win raised the Eagles’ record to 11-6 ATS this season. They have a 6-3 mark ATS on their home field. They are 3-2 ATS when closing as underdogs and the total has stayed UNDER the VietBet closing line in six of their last eight contests.

The big question mark for Philadelphia heading into the postseason was Nick Foles at quarterback. He has taken over for an injured Carson Wentz. He answered most of his critics with 246 yards passing while completing an efficient 23 of his 30 passing attempts.

Foles also benefited from an Eagles’ run game that was ranked third in the NFL in yards gained. The Eagles relentless defense held the high-powered Falcons to 281 total yards.

This Sunday’s matchup sets up to be another grinder in Philadelphia with both team’s defense rising to the occasion. I would take the Eagles and the 3-points in a bet on a side. My ‘best bet’ pick in this one is the UNDER on the 39-point total line.

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Recent Form

NameRecordATSOffenseDefenseDiffATS HomeATS AwayOU RecordOU HomeOU Away
Minnesota14-311-624.1816.247.946-35-38-94-54-4
Philadelphia14-311-627.7617.949.826-35-38-93-65-3
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
MIN14.8717.29-2.42
PHI13.1117-3.89
Yards Per Pass
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
MIN10.639.621.01
PHI10.929.950.97
Yards Per Rush
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
MIN3.863.650.21
PHI4.383.790.59
Team Records

Minnesota Vikings

NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall14-38-16-211-66-35-324.1816.247.94
vs Conf11-26-15-18-54-34-223.9216.237.69
vs Div4-10-04-13-20-03-221.6016.405.20
Last 33-02-01-01-20-21-022.6711.3311.34

Philadelphia Eagles

NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall14-38-16-211-66-35-327.7617.949.82
vs Conf11-26-15-19-45-24-227.3817.0010.38
vs Div3-00-03-02-10-02-133.6718.3315.34
Last 32-12-10-01-21-20-011.338.672.66

NFC Championship Game Supergrid

TitleStatRankStatRank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense24.181017.944
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense217.1318209.3312
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense111.63971.332
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense27.76416.241
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense209.4423191.251
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense130.117112.1314

Head To Head Summary

NameRecordATSOUScoreRushYPRPACPPYTYTO +/-
Minnesota3-63-64-520.78107.443.9336.0060.19236.11343.561.89
Philadelphia6-36-34-526.11109.784.7536.0062.96262.56372.331.78

Head To Head Detail

DateAwayHomeScoreLineTotalOU ResultARYAPYATYATTHRYHPYHTYHTTAway Team AttemptsHome Team AttemptsAway Team CompletionsHome Team Completions
Oct 23, 2016MINPHI10-219318928241011382394
Dec 15, 2013PHIMIN30-48793964751853704551
Dec 28, 2010MINPHI24-1416117633711072243313
Jan 4, 2009PHIMIN26-146728335021481533012
Oct 28, 2007PHIMIN23-166232338501051512560
Jan 16, 2005MINPHI14-279728838521092863951
Sep 20, 2004MINPHI16-27783324102912263171
Nov 11, 2001MINPHI17-485624530142722154871
Sep 28, 1997PHIMIN19-2810027237231442213651
Dec 6, 1992MINPHI17-2800

NFC Championship Betting Trends

Team Last 5 Games

Minnesota Vikings

DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Jan 14, 2018NO29-24W-5.5/46.5L/O9530840380278358-1H
Dec 31, 2017CHI23-10W-13.5/38L/U147180327301712010H
Dec 23, 2017GB16-0W-8.5/40.5W/U112124236113126239-2A
Dec 17, 2017CIN34-7W-12.5/42W/U12422234646115161-1H
Dec 10, 2017CAR24-31L-2.5/40.5L/O1002563562161293452A

Philadelphia Eagles

DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Jan 13, 2018ATL15-10W2.5/40.5W/U96238334861952812H
Dec 31, 2017DAL0-6L3.5/40L/U701492191291723011H
Dec 25, 2017OAK19-10W-10/46L/U78138216137137274-3H
Dec 17, 2017NYG34-29W-7.5/40.5L/O10823334175429504-1A
Dec 10, 2017LAR43-35W-1/47W/O139316455109198307-1A

 

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