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NFC Championship Betting Preview & Pick- Minnesota at Philadelphia

2018 NFC Championship

Two Faves Meet in NFC Championship Game

It has been a wild ride to the NFC Championship Game. The NFC playoffs has gone chalk with the No. 2 Minnesota Vikings traveling to Lincoln Financial Field this Sunday night. They will face the No. 1 Philadelphia Eagles.

Game time on FOX is set for 6:40 p.m. and Minnesota comes in as a 3-point road favorite at VietBet with the total set low at 39 points.

Vikings Advance to NFC Championship on Wild Last Play

The Vikings needed a last-second touchdown to get past New Orleans 29-24 in Sunday’s Divisional Round matchup as 5.5-point home favorites with VietBet. The total went OVER the closing 46.5-point line after staying UNDER in five of their previous seven games.

Minnesota is a profitable 11-6 ATS this season including a 5-3 record on the road.

Heading into halftime with a 17-0 lead, it looked like the Vikings would cruise into the next round of the playoffs. They actually found themselves trailing twice in the fourth quarter after blowing that big lead.

A miracle catch by Stefon Diggs resulted in a 61-yard touchdown. It snatched victory from the jaws of defeat. Case Keenum made his first postseason start and ended the day with 318 yards passing. He completed 25 of his 40 passing attempts.

Eagles Needed Last Second Stand on D to Advance to NFC Championship

Philadelphia needed to shutdown Atlanta from inside its own two yard line with time running out to preserve a hard-fought 15-10 victory. The Eagles were an unheralded 2.5-point home underdog in its Divisional Round matchup.

This win raised the Eagles’ record to 11-6 ATS this season. They have a 6-3 mark ATS on their home field. They are 3-2 ATS when closing as underdogs and the total has stayed UNDER the VietBet closing line in six of their last eight contests.

The big question mark for Philadelphia heading into the postseason was Nick Foles at quarterback. He has taken over for an injured Carson Wentz. He answered most of his critics with 246 yards passing while completing an efficient 23 of his 30 passing attempts.

Foles also benefited from an Eagles’ run game that was ranked third in the NFL in yards gained. The Eagles relentless defense held the high-powered Falcons to 281 total yards.

This Sunday’s matchup sets up to be another grinder in Philadelphia with both team’s defense rising to the occasion. I would take the Eagles and the 3-points in a bet on a side. My ‘best bet’ pick in this one is the UNDER on the 39-point total line.

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Recent Form

Name Record ATS Offense Defense Diff ATS Home ATS Away OU Record OU Home OU Away
Minnesota 14-3 11-6 24.18 16.24 7.94 6-3 5-3 8-9 4-5 4-4
Philadelphia 14-3 11-6 27.76 17.94 9.82 6-3 5-3 8-9 3-6 5-3
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
MIN 14.87 17.29 -2.42
PHI 13.11 17 -3.89
Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
MIN 10.63 9.62 1.01
PHI 10.92 9.95 0.97
Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
MIN 3.86 3.65 0.21
PHI 4.38 3.79 0.59
Team Records

Minnesota Vikings

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 14-3 8-1 6-2 11-6 6-3 5-3 24.18 16.24 7.94
vs Conf 11-2 6-1 5-1 8-5 4-3 4-2 23.92 16.23 7.69
vs Div 4-1 0-0 4-1 3-2 0-0 3-2 21.60 16.40 5.20
Last 3 3-0 2-0 1-0 1-2 0-2 1-0 22.67 11.33 11.34

Philadelphia Eagles

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 14-3 8-1 6-2 11-6 6-3 5-3 27.76 17.94 9.82
vs Conf 11-2 6-1 5-1 9-4 5-2 4-2 27.38 17.00 10.38
vs Div 3-0 0-0 3-0 2-1 0-0 2-1 33.67 18.33 15.34
Last 3 2-1 2-1 0-0 1-2 1-2 0-0 11.33 8.67 2.66

NFC Championship Game Supergrid

Title Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 24.18 10 17.94 4
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense 217.13 18 209.33 12
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense 111.63 9 71.33 2
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 27.76 4 16.24 1
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense 209.44 23 191.25 1
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense 130.11 7 112.13 14

Head To Head Summary

Name Record ATS OU Score Rush YPR PA CP PY TY TO +/-
Minnesota 3-6 3-6 4-5 20.78 107.44 3.93 36.00 60.19 236.11 343.56 1.89
Philadelphia 6-3 6-3 4-5 26.11 109.78 4.75 36.00 62.96 262.56 372.33 1.78

Head To Head Detail

Date Away Home Score Line Total OU Result ARY APY ATY ATT HRY HPY HTY HTT Away Team Attempts Home Team Attempts Away Team Completions Home Team Completions
Oct 23, 2016 MIN PHI 10-21 93 189 282 4 101 138 239 4
Dec 15, 2013 PHI MIN 30-48 79 396 475 1 85 370 455 1
Dec 28, 2010 MIN PHI 24-14 161 176 337 1 107 224 331 3
Jan 4, 2009 PHI MIN 26-14 67 283 350 2 148 153 301 2
Oct 28, 2007 PHI MIN 23-16 62 323 385 0 105 151 256 0
Jan 16, 2005 MIN PHI 14-27 97 288 385 2 109 286 395 1
Sep 20, 2004 MIN PHI 16-27 78 332 410 2 91 226 317 1
Nov 11, 2001 MIN PHI 17-48 56 245 301 4 272 215 487 1
Sep 28, 1997 PHI MIN 19-28 100 272 372 3 144 221 365 1
Dec 6, 1992 MIN PHI 17-28 0 0

NFC Championship Betting Trends

Team Last 5 Games

Minnesota Vikings

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Jan 14, 2018 NO 29-24 W -5.5/46.5 L/O 95 308 403 80 278 358 -1 H
Dec 31, 2017 CHI 23-10 W -13.5/38 L/U 147 180 327 30 171 201 0 H
Dec 23, 2017 GB 16-0 W -8.5/40.5 W/U 112 124 236 113 126 239 -2 A
Dec 17, 2017 CIN 34-7 W -12.5/42 W/U 124 222 346 46 115 161 -1 H
Dec 10, 2017 CAR 24-31 L -2.5/40.5 L/O 100 256 356 216 129 345 2 A

Philadelphia Eagles

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Jan 13, 2018 ATL 15-10 W 2.5/40.5 W/U 96 238 334 86 195 281 2 H
Dec 31, 2017 DAL 0-6 L 3.5/40 L/U 70 149 219 129 172 301 1 H
Dec 25, 2017 OAK 19-10 W -10/46 L/U 78 138 216 137 137 274 -3 H
Dec 17, 2017 NYG 34-29 W -7.5/40.5 L/O 108 233 341 75 429 504 -1 A
Dec 10, 2017 LAR 43-35 W -1/47 W/O 139 316 455 109 198 307 -1 A

 

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