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NBA Tuesday Free Pick- Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers

LA Lakers

Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers

The Denver Nuggets and the Los Angeles Lakers close out Tuesday night’s NBA betting lineup in a 10:30 p.m. tip at the Staples Center. NBA TV will carry the game nationally. VietBet has opened the Nuggets as slight two-point road favorites with the total set at 231.

The Nuggets drew first blood in this home-and-home series. Last Friday’s 1251-116 victory against Los Angeles as seven-point home favorites set the stage. They followed that win up with a 130-104 romp over Sacramento on Sunday as 11.5-point favorites at home.

Denver is now 37-30 straight-up on the year. Its record on the road this season is just 11-20. It has failed to cover in six of its last nine games. The total going OVER the VietBet closing line in 12 of its last 14 games.

All five Denver starters scored in double figures in the first game against the Lakers led by Jamal Murray’s 22 points. The Nuggets shot 50.6 percent from the field and it connected on 15 of its 31 shots from three-point range.

Gary Harris scored a game-high 21 points in Sunday’s win. Nikola Jokic posted his seventh triple-double (20 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists) of the season. Denver is ranked eighth in the league in scoring with 109.2 points per game.

Lakers Get Better as Season Moves Along

Los Angeles beat Cleveland 127-113 as a slight two-point home underdog on Sunday to improve to 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in its last nine games. It moved to an impressive 11-1 SU in its last 12 home games while going 10-2 ATS.

The total went OVER the VietBet closing 229.5-point line against the Cavaliers. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in 10 of the Lakers’ last 12 games.

Brandon Ingram is the team’s leading scorer with 16.2 PPG. He has been ruled out for Tuesday night with a strained groin. Julius Randle filled the void on Sunday with a career-high 36 points while pulling down 14 rebounds.

Center Brook Lopez led the way last Friday against Denver with 29 points. The Lakers are scoring 108.7 PPG, but they have topped that average in 10 of their last 12 outings.

Denver has struggled on the road and the Lakers have been almost unbeatable at home lately. The lean in this matchup would be towards Los Angeles at home.  I am going with the OVER on the total line as my ‘best bet’ pick.

 

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Recent Form

Name Record ATS Offense Defense Diff ATS Home ATS Away OU Record OU Home OU Away
Denver 37-30 31-33-3 109.19 107.85 1.34 19-16-1 12-17-2 34-33 18-18 16-15
LA Lakers 30-36 36-30 108.71 110.21 -1.5 18-14 18-16 36-29-1 17-15 19-14-1
Power Stats
Assists Turnovers
Name Assists Turnovers Ratio
DEN 24.94 14.66 1.7
LAL 23.97 15.39 1.56
Rebounding
Name Offense Defense Total
DEN 11.04 33.15 44.19
LAL 11.00 35.41 46.41
ShootingPercentage
Name Offense Defense Differential
DEN 47.10 48.03 -0.93
LAL 46.23 45.71 0.52
Team Records

Denver Nuggets

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 37-30 26-10 11-20 31-33-3 19-16-1 12-17-2 109.19 107.85 1.34
Last 10 6-4 3-3 3-1 4-6 2-4 2-2 119.40 115.30 4.10
vs Div 6-6 5-1 1-5 7-4-1 4-1-1 3-3 101.58 102.00 -0.42
vs EAST 13-9 7-5 6-4 9-12-1 4-8 5-4-1 112.55 109.00 3.55
vs WEST 24-21 19-5 5-16 22-21-2 15-8-1 7-13-1 107.56 107.29 0.27

Los Angeles Lakers

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 30-36 17-15 13-21 36-30 18-14 18-16 108.71 110.21 -1.50
Last 10 7-3 3-1 4-2 7-3 2-2 5-1 117.20 111.10 6.10
vs Div 5-8 2-5 3-3 8-5 4-3 4-2 109.77 111.54 -1.77
vs EAST 16-10 10-3 6-7 16-10 9-4 7-6 109.12 106.81 2.31
vs WEST 14-26 7-12 7-14 20-20 9-10 11-10 108.45 112.43 -3.98

Supergrid

Title Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 109.19 8 110.21 28
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense 105.90 11 106.44 20
Away Team Road Rebounds vs Home Team Home Rebounds Allowed 43.19 14 44.94 25
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 108.71 9 107.85 21
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense 107.97 12 110.16 25
Home Team Home Rebounds vs Away Team Road Rebounds Allowed 48.13 2 42.39 6

Head To Head Summary

Team record ATS O/U AVG AVG ½ FG% REB 3PT steals
Denver 7-3 7-3 9-1 118.10 55.60 46.31 43.00 98/279 8.00
LA Lakers 3-7 3-7 9-1 111.70 59.90 48.28 44.30 121/278 6.70

Head To Head Detail

Date Away away score Home home score line ATS Total O/U FG% Edge Reb Edge 3PT Edge Away Half Score Home Half Score Away FG% Home FG% Away Rebounds Home Rebounds Away Three Pointers Home Three Pointers Away Steals Home Steals
Mar 9, 2018 LAL 116 DEN 125 -7 DEN 230.5 O DEN LAL DEN 62 65 48.9 50.6 44 36 14/35 15/31 8 10
Dec 2, 2017 LAL 100 DEN 115 -3.5 DEN 222 U DEN LAL DEN 59 55 44.2 46 52 39 9/30 12/31 5 8
Nov 19, 2017 DEN 109 LAL 127 5.5 LAL 222.5 O LAL DEN DEN 48 70 42.9 53 47 46 13/31 12/32 8 11
Mar 13, 2017 LAL 101 DEN 129 -12.5 DEN 227 O DEN LAL DEN 43 67 43.3 53.6 46 42 6/20 17/38 10 9
Jan 31, 2017 DEN 116 LAL 120 -1 LAL 226.5 O LAL DEN DEN 59 54 41.4 52.8 51 44 15/27 12/26 12 7
Jan 17, 2017 DEN 127 LAL 121 0 230 O DEN DEN Push 66 54 56.8 43.5 45 43 11/26 11/30 5 11
Mar 25, 2016 DEN 116 LAL 105 4 DEN 213.5 O DEN DEN Push 58 46 47.9 43.5 48 43 10/26 10/23 5 6
Mar 2, 2016 LAL 107 DEN 117 -8.5 DEN 212.5 O DEN DEN DEN 60 57 44.3 48.7 31 42 11/31 12/23 7 3
Dec 22, 2015 LAL 111 DEN 107 -5 LAL 204.5 O LAL DEN DEN 51 64 47.6 45.6 40 44 7/26 9/25 6 2
Nov 3, 2015 DEN 120 LAL 109 -2.5 DEN 203.5 O DEN DEN DEN 60 57 50.6 41.4 49 41 7/20 6/26 5 9

NBA Betting Trends

Team Last 5 Games

Denver Nuggets

Date Opponent score Result line Total ATS Result field goal percentage free throw percentage three pointers Location
Mar 11, 2018 SAC 130-104 W -11.5 213.5 W/O 56.18 71.43 15 H
Mar 9, 2018 LAL 125-116 W -7 230.5 W/O 50.60 86.67 15 H
Mar 7, 2018 CLE 108-113 L -3.5 229.5 L/U 48.84 77.78 10 H
Mar 6, 2018 DAL 107-118 L -6.5 216.5 L/O 41.30 76.92 11 A
Mar 3, 2018 CLE 126-117 W 4.5 228.5 W/O 54.65 86.67 19 A

Los Angeles Lakers

Date Opponent score Result line Total ATS Result field goal percentage free throw percentage three pointers Location
Mar 11, 2018 CLE 127-113 W 2 229.5 W/O 50.00 90.00 13 H
Mar 9, 2018 DEN 116-125 L 7 230.5 L/O 48.91 75.00 14 A
Mar 7, 2018 ORL 108-107 W -6.5 226.5 L/U 48.86 91.67 11 H
Mar 5, 2018 POR 103-108 L 2 226 L/U 39.53 77.42 11 H
Mar 3, 2018 SAN 116-112 W 5.5 218.5 W/O 43.48 77.78 15 A

 

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