Monday Night Football: Chiefs vs Broncos Preview and Pick

Monday Night Football

Monday Night Football Features Two Old Rivalries With New Blood

Week Four of the NFL season comes to a close with Monday Night Football. The Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos will battle at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. Kickoff is set for 8:15 pm EST and ESPN will have the coverage.

Oddsmakers opened the Chiefs as -4.5-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game’s total opened at 55. The Chiefs are now 3.5-point favorites. The total is down to 53.5.

Three games into his first full season as a starter, second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes already has bumped Peyton Manning from the NFL record books. He chunked his 13th TD pass of the season last week. The pass broke Mannings record of 12 TD’s passing to start a season.

The Chiefs are the league’s highest-scoring team behind Mahomes. Mahomes also has yet to throw an interception. He has already been named AFC Offensive Player of the Week on two occasions.

Kansas City has won five consecutive matchups against Denver. The Broncos, who won their first two games by a total of four points, will try to bounce back from a 27-14 loss at Baltimore last week. They surrendered 20 unanswered points.

Mahomes has Been Lights Out

The Chiefs are 3-0 to start the young NFL season. Mahomes is a big reason for that. Mahomes threw for 314 yards and three touchdowns in last week’s 38-27 home win over San Francisco. All the TD passes were in the 2nd quarter.

This is the third time in as many weeks Kansas City has scored at least 38 points.

Explosive wide receiver Tyreek Hill finally was held in check and kept out of the end zone. Tight end Travis Kelce picked up the slack with eight catches for 114 yards.

Kareem Hunt, who led the league in rushing as a rookie in 2017, is averaging 3.2 yards per carry. He had a pair of 1-yard TD runs.

The Chiefs have struggled on the other side of the ball. They rank last in yards allowed at 474 yards per game. They are 30th in points surrendered at 30.7 ppg.

Hill has scored four touchdowns (two rushing, one receiving and one kick return) in three games versus Denver.

Keenum and the Broncos Come Into Monday Night Football Primed and Ready

The Broncos have started the 2018 NFL season 2-1. They seem to have a leader in Case Keenum. Keenum signed a two-year deal with Denver after a breakout season in which he led Minnesota to the NFC Championship Game.

One issue so far is he already has been intercepted five times. That is just two fewer than his total for the entire 2017 campaign.

Emmanuel Sanders is the team’s leading receiver with 19 receptions. Demaryius Thomas has 16. Keenum is getting the ball to his targets.

Denver’s best hope may be leaning on the rookie tandem of running backs Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman. They have accumulated 350 yards for the league’s fourth-ranked rushing attack.

Denver will need to generate pressure against Mahomes. They have a group led by former Super Bowl MVP Miller, who is tied for the NFL lead with four sacks. Miller has registered eight sacks and 11 tackles for loss in his last eight contests against the Chiefs.

The Broncos lost TE Jake Butt to a torn ACL suffered in Thursday’s practice.

PREDICTION: Chiefs 30, Broncos 23

Recent Form

Name Record ATS Offense Defense Diff ATS Home ATS Away OU Record OU Home OU Away
Kansas City 3-0 3-0 39.33 30.67 8.66 1-0 2-0 3-0 1-0 2-0
Denver 2-1 0-2-1 20.33 23.33 -3 0-1-1 0-1 1-2 1-1 0-1
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
KC 10.13 15.45 -5.33
DEN 18.82 14.59 4.24
Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
KC 14.27 11.70 2.57
DEN 10.82 10.79 0.03
Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
KC 3.88 5.22 -1.34
DEN 5.17 3.28 1.89
Team Records

Kansas City Chiefs

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 3-0 1-0 2-0 3-0 1-0 2-0 39.33 30.67 8.66
vs Conf 2-0 0-0 2-0 2-0 0-0 2-0 40.00 32.50 7.50
vs Div 2-0 1-0 1-0 2-0 1-0 1-0 38.00 27.50 10.50
Last 3 3-0 1-0 2-0 3-0 1-0 2-0 39.33 30.67 8.66

Denver Broncos

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 2-1 2-0 0-1 0-2-1 0-1-1 0-1 20.33 23.33 -3.00
vs Conf 1-1 1-0 0-1 0-2 0-1 0-1 17.00 23.00 -6.00
vs Div 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-1-1 0-1-1 0-0 23.50 21.50 2.00
Last 3 2-1 2-0 0-1 0-2-1 0-1-1 0-1 20.33 23.33 -3.00

Monday Night Football Supergrid

Title Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 39.33 1 23.33 16
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense 289.00 10 261.50 22
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense 116.50 16 78.00 5
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 20.33 20 30.67 28
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense 270.50 15 430.00 31
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense 157.00 3 78.00 10

Head To Head Summary

Name Record ATS OU Score Rush YPR PA CP PY TY TO +/-
Kansas City 5-5 6-4 6-3-1 25.00 123.70 4.53 35.70 58.54 211.90 335.60 1.50
Denver 5-5 4-6 6-3-1 23.90 114.20 4.06 36.80 55.98 246.30 360.50 2.20

Head To Head Detail

Date Away Home Score Line Total OU Result ARY APY ATY ATT HRY HPY HTY HTT Away Team Attempts Home Team Attempts Away Team Completions Home Team Completions
Dec 31, 2017 KC DEN 27-24 110 269 379 2 110 226 336 3
Oct 30, 2017 DEN KC 19-29 177 187 364 5 79 197 276 2
Dec 25, 2016 DEN KC 10-33 63 183 246 3 238 246 484 1
Nov 27, 2016 KC DEN 30-27 83 190 273 0 124 340 464 1
Nov 15, 2015 KC DEN 29-13 106 197 303 0 69 152 221 5
Sep 17, 2015 DEN KC 31-24 61 238 299 1 144 170 314 5
Nov 30, 2014 DEN KC 29-16 214 174 388 1 41 110 151 3
Sep 14, 2014 KC DEN 17-24 133 247 380 0 88 237 325 0
Dec 1, 2013 DEN KC 35-28 132 403 535 2 159 293 452 1
Nov 17, 2013 KC DEN 17-27 144 200 344 1 104 323 427 1

Monday Night Football Betting Odds and Trends

Team Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Sep 23, 2018 SF 38-27 W -6/53.5 W/O 77 307 384 178 228 406 0 H
Sp 16, 2018 PIT 42-37 W 4/52.5 W/O 127 322 449 33 442 475 1 A
Sp 9, 2018 LAC 38-28 W 3/48.5 W/O 106 256 362 123 418 541 -2 A
Jan 6, 2018 TEN 21-22 L -8.5/44.5 L/U 69 256 325 202 195 397 -2 H
Dec 31, 2017 DEN 27-24 W 3/37.5 W/O 110 269 379 110 226 336 -1 A

Denver Broncos

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Sep 23, 2018 BAL 14-27 L 5.5/46 L/U 120 173 293 77 265 342 1 A
Sp 16, 2018 OAK 20-19 W -6/45 L/U 168 217 385 92 281 373 1 H
Sep 9, 2018 SEA 27-24 W -3/42.5 P/O 146 324 470 64 242 306 0 H
Dec 31, 2017 KC 24-27 L -3/37.5 L/O 110 226 336 110 269 379 1 H
Dec 24, 2017 WAS 11-27 L 3/39 L/U 159 171 330 87 299 386 1 A

Next up:
Kansas City home to Jacksonville Sunday, October 7
Denver at New York Sunday, October 7

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