Monday Night Football: Chiefs vs Broncos Preview and Pick

Monday Night Football

Monday Night Football Features Two Old Rivalries With New Blood

Week Four of the NFL season comes to a close with Monday Night Football. The Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos will battle at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. Kickoff is set for 8:15 pm EST and ESPN will have the coverage.

Oddsmakers opened the Chiefs as -4.5-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game’s total opened at 55. The Chiefs are now 3.5-point favorites. The total is down to 53.5.

Three games into his first full season as a starter, second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes already has bumped Peyton Manning from the NFL record books. He chunked his 13th TD pass of the season last week. The pass broke Mannings record of 12 TD’s passing to start a season.

The Chiefs are the league’s highest-scoring team behind Mahomes. Mahomes also has yet to throw an interception. He has already been named AFC Offensive Player of the Week on two occasions.

Kansas City has won five consecutive matchups against Denver. The Broncos, who won their first two games by a total of four points, will try to bounce back from a 27-14 loss at Baltimore last week. They surrendered 20 unanswered points.

Mahomes has Been Lights Out

The Chiefs are 3-0 to start the young NFL season. Mahomes is a big reason for that. Mahomes threw for 314 yards and three touchdowns in last week’s 38-27 home win over San Francisco. All the TD passes were in the 2nd quarter.

This is the third time in as many weeks Kansas City has scored at least 38 points.

Explosive wide receiver Tyreek Hill finally was held in check and kept out of the end zone. Tight end Travis Kelce picked up the slack with eight catches for 114 yards.

Kareem Hunt, who led the league in rushing as a rookie in 2017, is averaging 3.2 yards per carry. He had a pair of 1-yard TD runs.

The Chiefs have struggled on the other side of the ball. They rank last in yards allowed at 474 yards per game. They are 30th in points surrendered at 30.7 ppg.

Hill has scored four touchdowns (two rushing, one receiving and one kick return) in three games versus Denver.

Keenum and the Broncos Come Into Monday Night Football Primed and Ready

The Broncos have started the 2018 NFL season 2-1. They seem to have a leader in Case Keenum. Keenum signed a two-year deal with Denver after a breakout season in which he led Minnesota to the NFC Championship Game.

One issue so far is he already has been intercepted five times. That is just two fewer than his total for the entire 2017 campaign.

Emmanuel Sanders is the team’s leading receiver with 19 receptions. Demaryius Thomas has 16. Keenum is getting the ball to his targets.

Denver’s best hope may be leaning on the rookie tandem of running backs Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman. They have accumulated 350 yards for the league’s fourth-ranked rushing attack.

Denver will need to generate pressure against Mahomes. They have a group led by former Super Bowl MVP Miller, who is tied for the NFL lead with four sacks. Miller has registered eight sacks and 11 tackles for loss in his last eight contests against the Chiefs.

The Broncos lost TE Jake Butt to a torn ACL suffered in Thursday’s practice.

PREDICTION: Chiefs 30, Broncos 23

Recent Form

NameRecordATSOffenseDefenseDiffATS HomeATS AwayOU RecordOU HomeOU Away
Kansas City3-03-039.3330.678.661-02-03-01-02-0
Denver2-10-2-120.3323.33-30-1-10-11-21-10-1
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
KC10.1315.45-5.33
DEN18.8214.594.24
Yards Per Pass
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
KC14.2711.702.57
DEN10.8210.790.03
Yards Per Rush
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
KC3.885.22-1.34
DEN5.173.281.89
Team Records

Kansas City Chiefs

NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall3-01-02-03-01-02-039.3330.678.66
vs Conf2-00-02-02-00-02-040.0032.507.50
vs Div2-01-01-02-01-01-038.0027.5010.50
Last 33-01-02-03-01-02-039.3330.678.66

Denver Broncos

NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall2-12-00-10-2-10-1-10-120.3323.33-3.00
vs Conf1-11-00-10-20-10-117.0023.00-6.00
vs Div2-02-00-00-1-10-1-10-023.5021.502.00
Last 32-12-00-10-2-10-1-10-120.3323.33-3.00

Monday Night Football Supergrid

TitleStatRankStatRank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense39.33123.3316
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense289.0010261.5022
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense116.501678.005
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense20.332030.6728
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense270.5015430.0031
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense157.00378.0010

Head To Head Summary

NameRecordATSOUScoreRushYPRPACPPYTYTO +/-
Kansas City5-56-46-3-125.00123.704.5335.7058.54211.90335.601.50
Denver5-54-66-3-123.90114.204.0636.8055.98246.30360.502.20

Head To Head Detail

DateAwayHomeScoreLineTotalOU ResultARYAPYATYATTHRYHPYHTYHTTAway Team AttemptsHome Team AttemptsAway Team CompletionsHome Team Completions
Dec 31, 2017KCDEN27-2411026937921102263363
Oct 30, 2017DENKC19-291771873645791972762
Dec 25, 2016DENKC10-336318324632382464841
Nov 27, 2016KCDEN30-278319027301243404641
Nov 15, 2015KCDEN29-131061973030691522215
Sep 17, 2015DENKC31-246123829911441703145
Nov 30, 2014DENKC29-162141743881411101513
Sep 14, 2014KCDEN17-241332473800882373250
Dec 1, 2013DENKC35-2813240353521592934521
Nov 17, 2013KCDEN17-2714420034411043234271

Monday Night Football Betting Odds and Trends

Team Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs

DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Sep 23, 2018SF38-27W-6/53.5W/O773073841782284060H
Sp 16, 2018PIT42-37W4/52.5W/O127322449334424751A
Sp 9, 2018LAC38-28W3/48.5W/O106256362123418541-2A
Jan 6, 2018TEN21-22L-8.5/44.5L/U69256325202195397-2H
Dec 31, 2017DEN27-24W3/37.5W/O110269379110226336-1A

Denver Broncos

DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Sep 23, 2018BAL14-27L5.5/46L/U120173293772653421A
Sp 16, 2018OAK20-19W-6/45L/U168217385922813731H
Sep 9, 2018SEA27-24W-3/42.5P/O146324470642423060H
Dec 31, 2017KC24-27L-3/37.5L/O1102263361102693791H
Dec 24, 2017WAS11-27L3/39L/U159171330872993861A

Next up:
Kansas City home to Jacksonville Sunday, October 7
Denver at New York Sunday, October 7

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