Miami Hurricanes host UNC Tar Heels on Thursday Night Football

Miami Hurricanes

Miami Hurricanes Host UNC on Short Week

The North Carolina Tar Heels and the Miami-FL Hurricanes meet Thursday Night College Football on ESPN. They battle at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami with the kickoff set for this ACC clash set for 8 pm EST.

Oddsmakers have set Miami as a 17.5-point favorite. The total is now at 56.

It’s a short week for North Carolina and Miami. Both teams are coming off victories. The Hurricanes moved up to No. 16 after their 31-17 triumph over Florida International. The Tar Heels earned their first victory of the season. They outlasted Pitt 38-35 in the school’s ACC and home opener.

Miami has a QB Controversy

The question of the week in Miami is who will open at quarterback. Redshirt freshman N’Kosi Perry replaced embattled senior Malik Rosier Saturday for the third series in a planned move. Rosier was last year’s starter who got off to a rocky beginning this season.

He never got back in and Perry went on to hit 17 of 25 passes for 224 yards and three touchdowns. It was his first extended action to spark a Hurricanes offense that has been inconsistent with Rosier at the helm.

The Miami Hurricanes are 3-1 on the season. Tonight is their first ACC contest. Rosier has had his moments as the Hurricanes’ starter since the start of the 2017 season. He is completing just 52.1 percent of his passes this year and 54 percent last year.

Perry is showing far greater accuracy at 66.7 percent.This is a big reason why a switch to the younger, more dynamic Perry appears imminent.

Freshman tight end Brevin Jordan is becoming a more integral part of the attack. He is tied for second on the team in receptions with 12. He also has  three touchdowns and 11 of his catches coming with Perry at quarterback.

The Tar Heels’ ground game will be challenged by a Miami run defense giving up just 78.8 yards per game. That is fourth best in the nation. Gerald Willis III tied for tops in the country in tackles for loss (10) and Jonathan Garvin ranked sixth (8.5).

The Tar Heels Have a QB Controversy of Their Own

The Tar Heels may have a quarterback quandary of their own. Sophomore Chazz Surratt is one of seven players returning from a three-game suspension.

Head coach Larry Fedora indicated that junior Nathan Elliott will get the nod after his impressive 313-yard, two-touchdown outing against Pittsburgh.

UNC is 1-2 overall to start the season. They are 1-0 in ACC action. Surratt led the Tar Heels with 1,342 yards passing and 13 touchdowns (eight passing, five rushing) in nine games last season (seven starts).

His return will give Fedora a solid option should Elliott struggle as he did the first two weeks. The offensive line has surrendered just one sack in three games. The unit owned the line of scrimmage against Pittsburgh.

It also played a major role in the success of Elliott and a ground attack that pounded out a season-high 173 yards, led by Antonio Williams’ 114 yards and two touchdowns.

Last season, North Carolina out-gained Miami 428-415 in a 24-19 loss. Surratt was injured in the first quarter and Elliott came in and threw three interceptions against the Canes’ opportunistic defense.

PREDICTION: Miami 34, North Carolina 20

Recent Form

NameRecordATSOffenseDefenseDiffATS HomeATS AwayOU RecordOU HomeOU Away
North Carolina1-21-1-124.6733.33-8.661-00-1-12-11-01-1
Miami-FL3-12-243.5018.50251-11-13-11-12-0
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
UNC15.9711.914.06
MI-FL10.3312.09-1.77
Yards Per Pass
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
UNC11.0310.800.23
MI-FL14.3113.490.82
Yards Per Rush
NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
UNC4.834.540.29
MI-FL4.842.142.7
Team Records

North Carolina Tar Heels

NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall1-21-00-21-1-11-00-1-124.6733.33-8.66
vs Conf1-01-00-01-01-00-038.0035.003.00
Last 31-21-00-21-1-11-00-1-124.6733.33-8.66

Miami Hurricanes

NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall3-12-01-12-21-11-143.5018.5025.00
vs Conf0-00-00-00-00-00-00.000.000.00
Last 33-02-01-02-11-11-052.3313.6738.66

Supergrid

TitleStatRankStatRank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense24.6710018.5033
Awy Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense185.5075109.0012
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense162.505223.501
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense43.502033.33101
Hme Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense247.5065204.5044
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense243.5039190.0069

Head To Head Summary

NameRecordATSOUScoreRushYPRPACPPYTYTO +/-
North Carolina5-56-44-625.40146.503.8334.9063.32250.10396.601.40
Miami-FL5-54-64-625.70152.604.1535.5056.34263.90416.502.10

Head To Head Detail

DateAwayHomeScoreLineTotalOU ResultARYAPYATYATTHRYHPYHTYHTTAway Team AttemptsHome Team AttemptsAway Team CompletionsHome Team Completions
Oct 28, 2017MI-FLUNC24-195935641521762524284
Oct 15, 2016UNCMI-FL20-1316229946101392243631
Nov 14, 2015MI-FLUNC21-599932642532981894870
Nov 1, 2014UNCMI-FL20-471124725822951994941
Oct 17, 2013MI-FLUNC27-2323432255641053955002
Ot 13, 2012UNCMI-FL18-1427221448611802354152
Oct 15, 2011MI-FLUNC30-244426731111412884292
Ot 23, 2010UNCMI-FL10-3314914028932252174421
Nov 14, 2009MI-FLUNC24-3311631943541162133290
Sep 27, 2008UNCMI-FL28-243526429901351743092

NCAA Football Betting Odds & Trends

Team Last 5 Games

North Carolina Tar Heels

DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Septem 22, 2018PITT38-35W3/48W/O1733134862281744020H
Sep 8, 2018E.CAR19-41L-15.5/59.5L/O1612343952202905100A
Septem 1, 2018CAL17-24L7/58P/U1641373011601192794A
Nov 25, 2017NCSU21-33L14.5/56W/U832773602922044961A
Nov 18, 2017W.CAR65-10W-21/313298611151153304-2H

Miami Hurricanes

DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Septem 22, 2018FIU31-17W-26.5/58L/U248240488171701871H
Sep 15, 2018TOLEDO49-24W-12/58.5W/O268205473112222334-1A
Septem 8, 2018SAVAST77-0W-61/69W/O239255494304878-2H
Sep 2, 2018LSU17-33L-3/47.5L/O832593421561402962A
Dec 30, 2017WISCSN24-34L6.5/45.5L/O1742033771422584002H

Next up:
North Carolina home to Virginia Tech Saturday, October 13
Miami-FL home to Florida State Saturday, October 6

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