Miami Hurricanes host UNC Tar Heels on Thursday Night Football

Miami Hurricanes

Miami Hurricanes Host UNC on Short Week

The North Carolina Tar Heels and the Miami-FL Hurricanes meet Thursday Night College Football on ESPN. They battle at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami with the kickoff set for this ACC clash set for 8 pm EST.

Oddsmakers have set Miami as a 17.5-point favorite. The total is now at 56.

It’s a short week for North Carolina and Miami. Both teams are coming off victories. The Hurricanes moved up to No. 16 after their 31-17 triumph over Florida International. The Tar Heels earned their first victory of the season. They outlasted Pitt 38-35 in the school’s ACC and home opener.

Miami has a QB Controversy

The question of the week in Miami is who will open at quarterback. Redshirt freshman N’Kosi Perry replaced embattled senior Malik Rosier Saturday for the third series in a planned move. Rosier was last year’s starter who got off to a rocky beginning this season.

He never got back in and Perry went on to hit 17 of 25 passes for 224 yards and three touchdowns. It was his first extended action to spark a Hurricanes offense that has been inconsistent with Rosier at the helm.

The Miami Hurricanes are 3-1 on the season. Tonight is their first ACC contest. Rosier has had his moments as the Hurricanes’ starter since the start of the 2017 season. He is completing just 52.1 percent of his passes this year and 54 percent last year.

Perry is showing far greater accuracy at 66.7 percent.This is a big reason why a switch to the younger, more dynamic Perry appears imminent.

Freshman tight end Brevin Jordan is becoming a more integral part of the attack. He is tied for second on the team in receptions with 12. He also has  three touchdowns and 11 of his catches coming with Perry at quarterback.

The Tar Heels’ ground game will be challenged by a Miami run defense giving up just 78.8 yards per game. That is fourth best in the nation. Gerald Willis III tied for tops in the country in tackles for loss (10) and Jonathan Garvin ranked sixth (8.5).

The Tar Heels Have a QB Controversy of Their Own

The Tar Heels may have a quarterback quandary of their own. Sophomore Chazz Surratt is one of seven players returning from a three-game suspension.

Head coach Larry Fedora indicated that junior Nathan Elliott will get the nod after his impressive 313-yard, two-touchdown outing against Pittsburgh.

UNC is 1-2 overall to start the season. They are 1-0 in ACC action. Surratt led the Tar Heels with 1,342 yards passing and 13 touchdowns (eight passing, five rushing) in nine games last season (seven starts).

His return will give Fedora a solid option should Elliott struggle as he did the first two weeks. The offensive line has surrendered just one sack in three games. The unit owned the line of scrimmage against Pittsburgh.

It also played a major role in the success of Elliott and a ground attack that pounded out a season-high 173 yards, led by Antonio Williams’ 114 yards and two touchdowns.

Last season, North Carolina out-gained Miami 428-415 in a 24-19 loss. Surratt was injured in the first quarter and Elliott came in and threw three interceptions against the Canes’ opportunistic defense.

PREDICTION: Miami 34, North Carolina 20

Recent Form

Name Record ATS Offense Defense Diff ATS Home ATS Away OU Record OU Home OU Away
North Carolina 1-2 1-1-1 24.67 33.33 -8.66 1-0 0-1-1 2-1 1-0 1-1
Miami-FL 3-1 2-2 43.50 18.50 25 1-1 1-1 3-1 1-1 2-0
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
UNC 15.97 11.91 4.06
MI-FL 10.33 12.09 -1.77
Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
UNC 11.03 10.80 0.23
MI-FL 14.31 13.49 0.82
Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
UNC 4.83 4.54 0.29
MI-FL 4.84 2.14 2.7
Team Records

North Carolina Tar Heels

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 1-2 1-0 0-2 1-1-1 1-0 0-1-1 24.67 33.33 -8.66
vs Conf 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 38.00 35.00 3.00
Last 3 1-2 1-0 0-2 1-1-1 1-0 0-1-1 24.67 33.33 -8.66

Miami Hurricanes

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 3-1 2-0 1-1 2-2 1-1 1-1 43.50 18.50 25.00
vs Conf 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Last 3 3-0 2-0 1-0 2-1 1-1 1-0 52.33 13.67 38.66

Supergrid

Title Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 24.67 100 18.50 33
Awy Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense 185.50 75 109.00 12
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense 162.50 52 23.50 1
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 43.50 20 33.33 101
Hme Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense 247.50 65 204.50 44
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense 243.50 39 190.00 69

Head To Head Summary

Name Record ATS OU Score Rush YPR PA CP PY TY TO +/-
North Carolina 5-5 6-4 4-6 25.40 146.50 3.83 34.90 63.32 250.10 396.60 1.40
Miami-FL 5-5 4-6 4-6 25.70 152.60 4.15 35.50 56.34 263.90 416.50 2.10

Head To Head Detail

Date Away Home Score Line Total OU Result ARY APY ATY ATT HRY HPY HTY HTT Away Team Attempts Home Team Attempts Away Team Completions Home Team Completions
Oct 28, 2017 MI-FL UNC 24-19 59 356 415 2 176 252 428 4
Oct 15, 2016 UNC MI-FL 20-13 162 299 461 0 139 224 363 1
Nov 14, 2015 MI-FL UNC 21-59 99 326 425 3 298 189 487 0
Nov 1, 2014 UNC MI-FL 20-47 11 247 258 2 295 199 494 1
Oct 17, 2013 MI-FL UNC 27-23 234 322 556 4 105 395 500 2
Ot 13, 2012 UNC MI-FL 18-14 272 214 486 1 180 235 415 2
Oct 15, 2011 MI-FL UNC 30-24 44 267 311 1 141 288 429 2
Ot 23, 2010 UNC MI-FL 10-33 149 140 289 3 225 217 442 1
Nov 14, 2009 MI-FL UNC 24-33 116 319 435 4 116 213 329 0
Sep 27, 2008 UNC MI-FL 28-24 35 264 299 0 135 174 309 2

NCAA Football Betting Odds & Trends

Team Last 5 Games

North Carolina Tar Heels

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Septem 22, 2018 PITT 38-35 W 3/48 W/O 173 313 486 228 174 402 0 H
Sep 8, 2018 E.CAR 19-41 L -15.5/59.5 L/O 161 234 395 220 290 510 0 A
Septem 1, 2018 CAL 17-24 L 7/58 P/U 164 137 301 160 119 279 4 A
Nov 25, 2017 NCSU 21-33 L 14.5/56 W/U 83 277 360 292 204 496 1 A
Nov 18, 2017 W.CAR 65-10 W -21/ 313 298 611 151 153 304 -2 H

Miami Hurricanes

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Septem 22, 2018 FIU 31-17 W -26.5/58 L/U 248 240 488 17 170 187 1 H
Sep 15, 2018 TOLEDO 49-24 W -12/58.5 W/O 268 205 473 112 222 334 -1 A
Septem 8, 2018 SAVAST 77-0 W -61/69 W/O 239 255 494 30 48 78 -2 H
Sep 2, 2018 LSU 17-33 L -3/47.5 L/O 83 259 342 156 140 296 2 A
Dec 30, 2017 WISCSN 24-34 L 6.5/45.5 L/O 174 203 377 142 258 400 2 H

Next up:
North Carolina home to Virginia Tech Saturday, October 13
Miami-FL home to Florida State Saturday, October 6

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