Arkansas State Red Wolves Host the Appalachian State Mountaineers

Arkansas State Red Wolves Athletics

Arkansas State Needs Win in Key Sun Belt Conference Game

The Appalachian State Mountaineers and the Arkansas State Red Wolves meet on National Television on Tuesday. Centennial Bank Stadium will host the Sun Belt Conference matchup.  ESPN2 will have the telecast at 8:00 pm EST.

Oddsmakers have the Mountaineers as a 10-point favorite. Bettors have brought the total is down to 59 after opening at 60.5.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers are riding high right now. They are starting to gather some support in the national polls and want to look good on national television.

This past week they received 38 points in the Coaches’ poll (29th highest total) and eleven voting points in the Associated Press poll.

Statistically speaking, they’re very impressive. Even when stepping up in competition they have punched with some authority.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves have not done as well as expected. Especially with the caliber of quarterback they have on hand.

Appalachian State Looks to Stay Perfect in Sun Belt Play

The Mountaineers gave Penn State a heart attack in the season opener, losing 45-38 in overtime. Appalachian State has prospered by going 3-1 straight up and 4-0 against the spread. They have swept through its last three opponents with ease.

The Mountaineers have held each of them to single-digit point totals. That’s the first time that has happened in 20 years. As far as average margin between yards gained and yards allowed, App State is tops in the nation.

They have the second-best scoring margin.

Quarterback Zac Thomas is a 6-1 sophomore and has been pretty close to perfect. He is ranked ninth in the nation in passing efficiency with 10.54 yards per attempt. That is fourth best.

The Mountaineers have averaged 6.5 yards per carry, which is also among the top five in the country.

Special teams have indeed been special and has delivered a score on a blocked punt recovery, kickoff and punt return. They are the only program in the country to have achieved that trifecta.

The team is Currently averaging 51.8 points per game.

They are among the top dozen teams in FBS football in both rushing defense and pass efficiency defense.  What is scary is that they are a young team.

Among the nation’s 130 FBS teams, only Illinois and Coastal Carolina have a higher percentage of underclassmen on their roster.

Their last game was ten days ago, a 52-7 win over South Alabama.

Arkansas State Has to Play Better

Arkansas State’s last outing was rather  disappointing. They lost 28-21 to Georgia Southern. The defense allowed the Eagles to ramble for 409 yards, despite only one pass completion.

The defense could not stiffen up with the game on the line. They allowed a 47-yard touchdown run with just 19 seconds to go.

Quarterback Justice Hansen is as skilled as it gets in the Sun Belt Conference, has thrown for at least one touchdown in 21 of his last 22 games.

Arkansas State is 3-2 SU and 1-4 ATS. BUT these games taking place on Tuesday, Wednesday or Thursday is a different story. The Red Wolves have won 15 of their last 18 in that situation.

ASU’s punter is definitely a weapon. Cody Grace has had only 11% of his punts returned since his collegiate career began. Only ONE of them has been a touch-back.

So he is the reason the Red Wolves are #1 in the nation in the category of Punt Return Defense.

No other team in the country has won five conference titles in the last seven years. This Tuesday night game has some significance, as Appalachian State looks very much like the class of the Sun Belt at the moment.

PREDICTION: Appalachian State 35, Arkansas State 21

Recent Form

Name Record ATS Offense Defense Diff ATS Home ATS Away OU Record OU Home OU Away
Appalachian State 3-1 4-0 51.75 17.00 34.75 2-0 2-0 4-0 2-0 2-0
Arkansas State 3-2 1-4 26.40 29.20 -2.8 0-2 1-2 2-3 1-1 1-2
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
APP-ST 10.12 16.25 -6.13
ARK.ST 17.95 13.46 4.5
Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
APP-ST 14.31 9.99 4.32
ARK.ST 11.66 11.75 -0.09
Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
APP-ST 6.49 2.81 3.68
ARK.ST 4.65 5.70 -1.05
Team Records

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 3-1 2-0 1-1 4-0 2-0 2-0 51.75 17.00 34.75
vs Conf 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 52.00 7.00 45.00
Last 3 3-0 2-0 1-0 3-0 2-0 1-0 56.33 7.67 48.66

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 3-2 2-0 1-2 1-4 0-2 1-2 26.40 29.20 -2.80
vs Conf 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-1 21.00 28.00 -7.00
Last 3 2-1 1-0 1-1 1-2 0-1 1-1 25.67 22.67 3.00

Supergrid

Title Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 51.75 5 29.20 87
Awy Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense 293.50 25 93.00 4
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense 149.00 65 216.00 117
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 26.40 89 17.00 19
Hme Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense 348.00 13 169.00 21
Hme Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense 192.50 64 149.50 54

Head To Head Summary

Name Record ATS OU Score Rush YPR PA CP PY TY TO +/-
Appalachian State 1-1 1-1 2-0 32.00 201.00 4.32 29.00 63.79 306.00 507.00 2.50
Arkansas State 1-1 1-1 2-0 36.00 238.00 5.80 27.00 51.85 177.50 415.50 0.50

Head To Head Detail

Date Away Home Score Line Total OU Result ARY APY ATY ATT HRY HPY HTY HTT Away Team Attempts Home Team Attempts Away Team Completions Home Team Completions
Nov 5, 2015 ARK.ST APP-ST 40-27 309 208 517 0 108 357 465 3
Nov 15, 2014 APP-ST ARK.ST 37-32 294 255 549 2 167 147 314 1

NCAA Football Betting Odds & Trends

Team Last 5 Games

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Spt 29, 2018 S.ALA 52-7 W -25/56.5 W/O 348 169 517 83 225 308 1 H
Sep 22, 2018 GWEBB 72-7 W -44/56 W/O 432 260 692 34 126 160 -2 H
Spt 8, 2018 CHARLT 45-9 W -14/48.5 W/O 139 295 434 95 108 203 0 A
Spt 1, 2018 PENNST 38-45 L 24/54 W/O 159 292 451 204 230 434 1 A
Dec 23, 2017 TOLEDO 34-0 W 6/61 W/U 327 131 458 22 124 146 -4 A

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Spt 29, 2018 GASOU 21-28 L -3/53.5 L/U 117 376 493 348 61 409 1 A
Sep 22, 2018 UNLV 27-20 W -7.5/66 L/U 197 199 396 310 23 333 -3 H
Spt 15, 2018 TULSA 29-20 W 2/71.5 W/U 214 191 405 167 172 339 -2 A
Sep 8, 2018 ALAB 7-57 L 36.5/63 L/O 173 218 391 278 321 599 0 A
Spt 1, 2018 SE.MIS 48-21 W -31.5/ 188 497 685 122 163 285 3 H

Next up:
Appalachian State home to Louisiana-Lafayette Saturday, October 20
Arkansas State home to Georgia State Thursday, October 18

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