AFC Championship: Patriots Host Upstart Jags

2018 AFC Championship

Brady Injury to Affect AFC Championship Play?

The fans at Gillette Stadium will see the 2018 AFC Championship Game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the New England Patriots when they take their seats on Sunday. The game is being broadcast by CBS and kickoff is set for a few minutes after 3:30 pm EST.

Oddsmakers opened the Patriots as -9.5-point favorites versus the Jaguars, while the game’s total opened at 46. The line now shows the Patriots as 7.5-point favorites. The total has dropped to 45.5.

The line dropped when Tom Brady skipped his Wednesday media to meet with team medical personnel over a right hand injury. He then did not practice on Thursday because of the injury. His hand was sewn up with four stitches.

It was released this morning he hopes to play without a glove on his throwing hand this afternoon.

Brady is headed for his seventh straight AFC title game and 12th overall. He also called the upstart Jaguars “the toughest” team the top-seeded Patriots have faced all season.

The Patriots have gone 3-3 in the six straight title game appearances. They lost twice to the Denver Broncos and once to the Baltimore Ravens. Most people expected a battle with the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Jags flipped the script and come into this game as decided underdogs.

Patriots Ready to Defend AFC Championship

New England was a 35-14 winner in its AFC Divisional Round matchup at home against the Tennessee Titans. They covered the -13.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 49 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Brady captured his 26th postseason victory last week. He also recorded his 13th 300-yard postseason passing game in the postseason. He extended his NFL record for both.  Brady also broke a tie with Joe Montana to become the all-time leader with 10 three-TD playoff games.

The Patriots are seeking the sixth Super Bowl crown of the Brady/Bill Belichick Era.

Jags Depend on Ground Game and Defense in AFC Championship Game

Jacksonville won its last outing, a 45-42 result against the Pittsburgh Steelers AFC Divisional Round matchup. The Jaguars covered in that game as a +7-point underdog, while the 87 combined points took the game OVER the total.

The Jags are trying to become only the third team to lead the league in rushing and win the championship. They would be the first since the 1985 Chicago Bears.

A huge difference has been Tom Coughlin. He returned to the organization he helped build as the first coach of the expansion team in 1995. Coughlin was hired as Jacksonville’s vice president of football operations. He won a pair of Super Bowl titles as head coach of the New York Giants.

%ALT_TXT%%

Recent Form

Name Record ATS Offense Defense Diff ATS Home ATS Away OU Record OU Home OU Away
Jacksonville 12-6 10-8 26.22 17.39 8.83 5-4 5-4 9-9 5-4 4-5
New England 14-3 12-5 29.00 18.24 10.76 6-3 6-2 8-9 6-3 2-6
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
JAC 13.69 17.21 -3.51
NE 13.68 19.75 -6.07
Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
JAC 11.35 9.63 1.72
NE 11.21 10.85 0.36
Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
JAC 4.34 4.33 0.01
NE 4.19 4.68 -0.49
Team Records

Jacksonville Jaguars

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 12-6 7-2 5-4 10-8 5-4 5-4 26.22 17.39 8.83
vs Conf 11-3 6-1 5-2 9-5 4-3 5-2 26.29 13.64 12.65
vs Div 2-1 0-0 2-1 2-1 0-0 2-1 22.00 7.33 14.67
Last 3 2-1 1-0 1-1 1-2 0-1 1-1 21.67 20.00 1.67

New England Patriots

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 14-3 7-2 7-1 12-5 6-3 6-2 29.00 18.24 10.76
vs Conf 11-2 6-1 5-1 9-4 5-2 4-2 29.62 18.15 11.47
vs Div 2-1 0-0 2-1 1-2 0-0 1-2 22.33 15.67 6.66
Last 3 3-0 3-0 0-0 3-0 3-0 0-0 32.67 12.00 20.67

AFC Championship Game Supergrid

Title Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 26.22 6 18.24 5
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense 187.33 26 240.89 25
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense 146.44 1 109.22 19
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 29.00 1 17.39 3
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense 266.00 4 216.44 10
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense 128.78 9 111.44 11

Head To Head Summary

Name Record ATS OU Score Rush YPR PA CP PY TY TO +/-
Jacksonville 1-9 3-7 3-6-1 14.80 99.90 4.06 35.80 57.26 227.80 327.70 1.90
New England 9-1 7-3 3-6-1 27.50 105.20 3.80 34.90 68.19 231.90 337.10 0.90

Head To Head Detail

Date Away Home Score Line Total OU Result ARY APY ATY ATT HRY HPY HTY HTT Away Team Attempts Home Team Attempts Away Team Completions Home Team Completions
Sep 27, 2015 JAC NE 17-51 57 236 293 1 125 346 471 0
Dec 23, 2012 NE JAC 23-16 103 246 349 2 93 343 436 3
Dec 27, 2009 JAC NE 7-35 98 177 275 2 197 267 464 1
Jan 12, 2008 JAC NE 20-31 80 270 350 2 145 258 403 0
Dec 24, 2006 NE JAC 24-21 117 242 359 0 144 195 339 1
Jan 7, 2006 JAC NE 3-28 87 205 292 2 118 189 307 0
Dec 14, 2003 JAC NE 13-27 72 282 354 2 84 212 296 1
Jan 3, 1999 NE JAC 10-25 35 171 206 3 160 148 308 0
Dec 7, 1997 NE JAC 26-20 55 227 282 0 107 234 341 2
Jan 12, 1997 JAC NE 6-20 101 188 289 4 73 161 234 2

AFC Championship Game Betting Trends

Team Last 5 Games

Jacksonville Jaguars

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Jan 14, 2018 PIT 45-42 W 7/40.5 W/O 164 214 378 83 462 545 -2 A
Jan 7, 2018 BUF 10-3 W -8.5/40 L/U 155 75 230 130 133 263 -2 H
Dec 31, 2017 TEN 10-15 L 2.5/40 L/U 83 146 229 116 116 232 3 A
Dec 24, 2017 SF 33-44 L -4/43 L/O 92 380 472 131 238 369 2 A
Dec 17, 2017 HOU 45-7 W -10.5/39 W/O 138 326 464 87 99 186 -1 H

New England Patriots

Date Opponent score Result line ATS Result offensive rush yards offensive passing yards offensive total yards defensive rush yards defensive passing yards defensive total yards turnovers Location
Jan 13, 2018 TEN 35-14 W -13.5/48 W/O 101 337 438 65 202 267 0 H
Dec 31, 2017 NYJ 26-6 W -16.5/42.5 W/U 147 183 330 40 207 247 0 H
Dec 24, 2017 BUF 37-16 W -10.5/47.5 W/O 193 218 411 84 242 326 1 H
Dec 17, 2017 PIT 27-24 W -2.5/52.5 W/U 77 283 360 143 270 413 0 A
Dec 11, 2017 MIA 20-27 L -10.5/48 L/U 25 223 248 120 242 362 2 A

Weather in
FoxboroUnited States

Weather is Very cloudy  46°F

Very cloudy
Humidity is 86%
Wind is West 7 mph
Visibility is 10.004077 mi
Pressure is N/A inHg

Forecast for Foxboro

Get your NFL odds at Bovada today.

%ALT_TXT%%

Leave a Reply