AFC Championship: Patriots Host Upstart Jags

2018 AFC Championship

Brady Injury to Affect AFC Championship Play?

The fans at Gillette Stadium will see the 2018 AFC Championship Game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the New England Patriots when they take their seats on Sunday. The game is being broadcast by CBS and kickoff is set for a few minutes after 3:30 pm EST.

Oddsmakers opened the Patriots as -9.5-point favorites versus the Jaguars, while the game’s total opened at 46. The line now shows the Patriots as 7.5-point favorites. The total has dropped to 45.5.

The line dropped when Tom Brady skipped his Wednesday media to meet with team medical personnel over a right hand injury. He then did not practice on Thursday because of the injury. His hand was sewn up with four stitches.

It was released this morning he hopes to play without a glove on his throwing hand this afternoon.

Brady is headed for his seventh straight AFC title game and 12th overall. He also called the upstart Jaguars “the toughest” team the top-seeded Patriots have faced all season.

The Patriots have gone 3-3 in the six straight title game appearances. They lost twice to the Denver Broncos and once to the Baltimore Ravens. Most people expected a battle with the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Jags flipped the script and come into this game as decided underdogs.

Patriots Ready to Defend AFC Championship

New England was a 35-14 winner in its AFC Divisional Round matchup at home against the Tennessee Titans. They covered the -13.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 49 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Brady captured his 26th postseason victory last week. He also recorded his 13th 300-yard postseason passing game in the postseason. He extended his NFL record for both.  Brady also broke a tie with Joe Montana to become the all-time leader with 10 three-TD playoff games.

The Patriots are seeking the sixth Super Bowl crown of the Brady/Bill Belichick Era.

Jags Depend on Ground Game and Defense in AFC Championship Game

Jacksonville won its last outing, a 45-42 result against the Pittsburgh Steelers AFC Divisional Round matchup. The Jaguars covered in that game as a +7-point underdog, while the 87 combined points took the game OVER the total.

The Jags are trying to become only the third team to lead the league in rushing and win the championship. They would be the first since the 1985 Chicago Bears.

A huge difference has been Tom Coughlin. He returned to the organization he helped build as the first coach of the expansion team in 1995. Coughlin was hired as Jacksonville’s vice president of football operations. He won a pair of Super Bowl titles as head coach of the New York Giants.


Recent Form

NameRecordATSOffenseDefenseDiffATS HomeATS AwayOU RecordOU HomeOU Away
New England14-312-529.0018.2410.766-36-28-96-32-6
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
Yards Per Pass
Yards Per Rush
Team Records

Jacksonville Jaguars

NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
vs Conf11-36-15-29-54-35-226.2913.6412.65
vs Div2-10-02-12-10-02-122.007.3314.67
Last 32-11-01-11-20-11-121.6720.001.67

New England Patriots

NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
vs Conf11-26-15-19-45-24-229.6218.1511.47
vs Div2-10-02-11-20-01-222.3315.676.66
Last 33-03-00-03-03-00-032.6712.0020.67

AFC Championship Game Supergrid

Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense26.22618.245
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense187.3326240.8925
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense146.441109.2219
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense29.00117.393
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense266.004216.4410
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense128.789111.4411

Head To Head Summary

New England9-17-33-6-127.50105.203.8034.9068.19231.90337.100.90

Head To Head Detail

DateAwayHomeScoreLineTotalOU ResultARYAPYATYATTHRYHPYHTYHTTAway Team AttemptsHome Team AttemptsAway Team CompletionsHome Team Completions
Sep 27, 2015JACNE17-515723629311253464710
Dec 23, 2012NEJAC23-161032463492933434363
Dec 27, 2009JACNE7-359817727521972674641
Jan 12, 2008JACNE20-318027035021452584030
Dec 24, 2006NEJAC24-2111724235901441953391
Jan 7, 2006JACNE3-288720529221181893070
Dec 14, 2003JACNE13-27722823542842122961
Jan 3, 1999NEJAC10-253517120631601483080
Dec 7, 1997NEJAC26-205522728201072343412
Jan 12, 1997JACNE6-201011882894731612342

AFC Championship Game Betting Trends

Team Last 5 Games

Jacksonville Jaguars

DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Jan 14, 2018PIT45-42W7/40.5W/O16421437883462545-2A
Jan 7, 2018BUF10-3W-8.5/40L/U15575230130133263-2H
Dec 31, 2017TEN10-15L2.5/40L/U831462291161162323A
Dec 24, 2017SF33-44L-4/43L/O923804721312383692A
Dec 17, 2017HOU45-7W-10.5/39W/O1383264648799186-1H

New England Patriots

DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Jan 13, 2018TEN35-14W-13.5/48W/O101337438652022670H
Dec 31, 2017NYJ26-6W-16.5/42.5W/U147183330402072470H
Dec 24, 2017BUF37-16W-10.5/47.5W/O193218411842423261H
Dec 17, 2017PIT27-24W-2.5/52.5W/U772833601432704130A
Dec 11, 2017MIA20-27L-10.5/48L/U252232481202423622A

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