2018 NLDS Game 1: Rockies vs Brewers Preview and Pick

2018 NLDS Playoffs

NLDS Kicks Off with Brewers hosting the Rockies

The 2018 NLDS kicks off the REAL start of the MLB Playoffs Thursday afternoon. The much-travelled Colorado Rockies land in Milwaukee to play the Brewers.

TV: 5:07 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (6-6, 4.38 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (3-0, 3.61 ERS)

ODDS: Milwaukee is a -160-moneyline favorite. The total is 8.5 Under -115.

Colorado will play in their fourth city in five days when they open the best-of-five National League Division Series against Milwaukee on Thursday. The Rockies reached the NLDS by outlasting the Chicago Cubs. It was a 13 inning classic wild-card game.

The red-hot Brewers are the NL Central champions. Milwaukee went 5-2 against the Rockies in the regular season.

Rockies Going With Hot Pitcher in 2018 NLDS

Senzatela finished strong by going 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA during his final three starts. The 23-year-old made 13 starts and 10 relief appearances this season. He limited opposing hitters to a .220 average on the road compared to .316 at home.

Sentazela’s lone appearance against the Brewers came in his major league debut April 6, 2017. He gave up two hits in five scoreless innings while receiving a no-decision.

Colorado finished the regular season at home Sunday. They lost at the Los Angeles Dodgers in a division tiebreaker Monday. Then posted the epic 2-1 victory in Chicago on Tuesday. The team finally arrived in Milwaukee via bus at 4 a.m. on Wednesday morning.

Brewers Will Use “Johnny Wholestaff” in Game 1

Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell indicated at Wednesday’s press conference that he will go with an “opener” and make Game 1 a bullpen game. Counsell declined to say who will start the game or would be used.

The Skipper said the focus is on how “to share the 27 outs,” before indicating he will use a traditional approach in Game 2.

“We’re going to use guys that haven’t kind of been our starters this last couple weeks,” said Counsell of the Game 1 plan, “so we’re going to use a bunch of different guys and still deciding on exactly the order of that scenario.”

He has settled on Brandon Woodruff to start. Woodruff was a late Semptember callup and has pitched well. He has started and pitched in relief. He has been up and down from the minors all season. Woodruff appeared in 19 games.  He won three of his 4 starts.

Christian Yelich batted .370 with 10 homers and 34 RBIs since the first of September. He finished the regular season with a NL-best .326 average along with 36 homers and 110 RBIs. He barely missed the Triple Crown.

Milwaukee won the NL Central in a tiebreaker Monday in Chicago. They have won eight straight games and 23 of its last 30 games. The Brewers overcame a five-game September deficit

PREDICTION: Brewers 7, Rockies 6

Recent Form

Teamrecordmoneyvs LHPvs RHPFaveDogO/UDiff
Colorado92-72$1,833.0034-2758-4556-3836-3467-87-100.22
Milwaukee96-67$1,902.0024-1972-4866-3730-3078-81-40.59
Pitchers Last 3 Starts
Antonio Senzatela (6-6) ERA: 4.38
event dateOpponentResultscoreOU Resultipmoney
Sep 27, 2018PHIW5-3U4.2$54.00
Sp 22, 2018ARIW5-1U7$155.00
Sep 16, 2018SFW3-2U5$81.00
Bullpen
Colorado’s relievers have pitched 11 innings in the last 3 games.
Milwaukee’s relievers have pitched 13.1 innings in the last 3 games.
Pitcher Recent Starts Vs Opponent

Colorado Rockies – Antonio Senzatela

DatescoreWinneriphitsRunsEarned RunswalksstrikeoutsDecision
Apr 6, 20172-1COL520036No Decision
DatescoreWinneriphitsRunsEarned RunswalksstrikeoutsDecision
No Recent Starts vs. Opponent.

Supergrid

TitleStatRankStatRank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense4.7774.048
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense4.06213.987
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense4.63124.5520
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense4.74104.1211

Head To Head Detail

DateAwayaway scoreHomehome scorelineO/UAway PitcherHome PitcherAway HitsHome HitsAway WalksHome WalksAway StrikeoutsHome Strikeouts
Aug 5, 2018COL5MIL4-1089PJon Gray (R)Wade Miley (L)79721311
Ast 4, 2018COL4MIL8-1448.5OTyler Anderson (L)Freddy Peralta (R)71034107
Aug 3, 2018COL3MIL5-1278.5UGerman Marquez (R)Junior Guerra (R)6424710
My 13, 2018MIL7COL3-15310.5UFreddy Peralta (R)Jon Gray (R)136231515
May 12, 2018MIL0COL4-12011UBrent Suter (L)Kyle Freeland (L)5942105
My 11, 2018MIL11COL10-11111.5OBrandon Woodruff (R)Chad Bettis (R)17166478
May 10, 2018MIL5COL2-14011.5UJhoulys Chacin (R)German Marquez (R)12554611
Agst 20, 2017MIL8COL4-12012.5UChase Anderson (R)Kyle Freeland (L)1286798
Agst 19, 2017MIL6COL3-13212.5UBrandon Woodruff (R)Chad Bettis (R)10113488
Aug 18, 2017MIL4COL8-17313UMatt Garza (R)German Marquez (R)9925115

2018 NLDS Betting Odds and Trends

Team Vs Division Or Conference

Colorado Rockies

recordHomeAwayFaveDogO/Uvs LHPvs RHP
Overall92-7247-3445-3856-3241-3767-87-1034-2758-45
Last 108-26-12-17-02-15-4-11-07-2
vs Div41-3622-1619-2028-1617-1829-43-518-1823-18
vs AL13-78-25-58-45-36-12-26-27-5
vs NL79-6539-3240-3348-2836-3461-75-828-2551-40

Milwaukee Brewers

recordHomeAwayFaveDogO/Uvs LHPvs RHP
Overall96-6751-3045-3766-3237-3578-81-424-1972-48
Last 109-13-06-17-13-07-33-06-1
vs Div40-3720-1820-1928-1915-1833-42-29-631-31
vs AL13-78-25-511-34-48-11-11-212-5
vs NL83-6043-2840-3255-2933-3170-70-323-1760-43
Team Last 5 Games

Colorado Rockies

DateOpponentscoreResultlineTotalstarteripopposing starterLocation
Oct 2, 2018CHC2-1W1307.5Kyle Freeland6.2J LesterA
Oct 1, 2018LA2-5L1557German Marquez4.2Walker BuehlerA
Sep 30, 2018WSH12-0W-19011Tyler Anderson7.2Erick FeddeH
Sp 29, 2018WSH2-12L-1059.5Jon Gray2S StrasburgH
Sep 28, 2018WSH5-2W-20010.5Kyle Freeland6Joe RossH

Milwaukee Brewers

DateOpponentscoreResultlineTotalstarteripopposing starterLocation
Oct 1, 2018CHC3-1W1108J Chacin5.2J QuintanaA
Sep 30, 2018DET11-0W-2759G Gonzalez5Spencer TurnbullH
Sp 29, 2018DET6-5W-2508.5W Miley3D NorrisH
Sep 28, 2018DET6-5W-2558Zach Davies4J ZimmermannH
Sp 26, 2018STL2-1W-1108.5J Chacin5John GantA

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