2018 NLDS Game 1: Rockies vs Brewers Preview and Pick

2018 NLDS Playoffs

NLDS Kicks Off with Brewers hosting the Rockies

The 2018 NLDS kicks off the REAL start of the MLB Playoffs Thursday afternoon. The much-travelled Colorado Rockies land in Milwaukee to play the Brewers.

TV: 5:07 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (6-6, 4.38 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (3-0, 3.61 ERS)

ODDS: Milwaukee is a -160-moneyline favorite. The total is 8.5 Under -115.

Colorado will play in their fourth city in five days when they open the best-of-five National League Division Series against Milwaukee on Thursday. The Rockies reached the NLDS by outlasting the Chicago Cubs. It was a 13 inning classic wild-card game.

The red-hot Brewers are the NL Central champions. Milwaukee went 5-2 against the Rockies in the regular season.

Rockies Going With Hot Pitcher in 2018 NLDS

Senzatela finished strong by going 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA during his final three starts. The 23-year-old made 13 starts and 10 relief appearances this season. He limited opposing hitters to a .220 average on the road compared to .316 at home.

Sentazela’s lone appearance against the Brewers came in his major league debut April 6, 2017. He gave up two hits in five scoreless innings while receiving a no-decision.

Colorado finished the regular season at home Sunday. They lost at the Los Angeles Dodgers in a division tiebreaker Monday. Then posted the epic 2-1 victory in Chicago on Tuesday. The team finally arrived in Milwaukee via bus at 4 a.m. on Wednesday morning.

Brewers Will Use “Johnny Wholestaff” in Game 1

Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell indicated at Wednesday’s press conference that he will go with an “opener” and make Game 1 a bullpen game. Counsell declined to say who will start the game or would be used.

The Skipper said the focus is on how “to share the 27 outs,” before indicating he will use a traditional approach in Game 2.

“We’re going to use guys that haven’t kind of been our starters this last couple weeks,” said Counsell of the Game 1 plan, “so we’re going to use a bunch of different guys and still deciding on exactly the order of that scenario.”

He has settled on Brandon Woodruff to start. Woodruff was a late Semptember callup and has pitched well. He has started and pitched in relief. He has been up and down from the minors all season. Woodruff appeared in 19 games.  He won three of his 4 starts.

Christian Yelich batted .370 with 10 homers and 34 RBIs since the first of September. He finished the regular season with a NL-best .326 average along with 36 homers and 110 RBIs. He barely missed the Triple Crown.

Milwaukee won the NL Central in a tiebreaker Monday in Chicago. They have won eight straight games and 23 of its last 30 games. The Brewers overcame a five-game September deficit

PREDICTION: Brewers 7, Rockies 6

Recent Form

Team record money vs LHP vs RHP Fave Dog O/U Diff
Colorado 92-72 $1,833.00 34-27 58-45 56-38 36-34 67-87-10 0.22
Milwaukee 96-67 $1,902.00 24-19 72-48 66-37 30-30 78-81-4 0.59
Pitchers Last 3 Starts
Antonio Senzatela (6-6) ERA: 4.38
event date Opponent Result score OU Result ip money
Sep 27, 2018 PHI W 5-3 U 4.2 $54.00
Sp 22, 2018 ARI W 5-1 U 7 $155.00
Sep 16, 2018 SF W 3-2 U 5 $81.00
Bullpen
Colorado’s relievers have pitched 11 innings in the last 3 games.
Milwaukee’s relievers have pitched 13.1 innings in the last 3 games.
Pitcher Recent Starts Vs Opponent

Colorado Rockies – Antonio Senzatela

Date score Winner ip hits Runs Earned Runs walks strikeouts Decision
Apr 6, 2017 2-1 COL 5 2 0 0 3 6 No Decision
Date score Winner ip hits Runs Earned Runs walks strikeouts Decision
No Recent Starts vs. Opponent.

Supergrid

Title Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 4.77 7 4.04 8
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense 4.06 21 3.98 7
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 4.63 12 4.55 20
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense 4.74 10 4.12 11

Head To Head Detail

Date Away away score Home home score line O/U Away Pitcher Home Pitcher Away Hits Home Hits Away Walks Home Walks Away Strikeouts Home Strikeouts
Aug 5, 2018 COL 5 MIL 4 -108 9 P Jon Gray (R) Wade Miley (L) 7 9 7 2 13 11
Ast 4, 2018 COL 4 MIL 8 -144 8.5 O Tyler Anderson (L) Freddy Peralta (R) 7 10 3 4 10 7
Aug 3, 2018 COL 3 MIL 5 -127 8.5 U German Marquez (R) Junior Guerra (R) 6 4 2 4 7 10
My 13, 2018 MIL 7 COL 3 -153 10.5 U Freddy Peralta (R) Jon Gray (R) 13 6 2 3 15 15
May 12, 2018 MIL 0 COL 4 -120 11 U Brent Suter (L) Kyle Freeland (L) 5 9 4 2 10 5
My 11, 2018 MIL 11 COL 10 -111 11.5 O Brandon Woodruff (R) Chad Bettis (R) 17 16 6 4 7 8
May 10, 2018 MIL 5 COL 2 -140 11.5 U Jhoulys Chacin (R) German Marquez (R) 12 5 5 4 6 11
Agst 20, 2017 MIL 8 COL 4 -120 12.5 U Chase Anderson (R) Kyle Freeland (L) 12 8 6 7 9 8
Agst 19, 2017 MIL 6 COL 3 -132 12.5 U Brandon Woodruff (R) Chad Bettis (R) 10 11 3 4 8 8
Aug 18, 2017 MIL 4 COL 8 -173 13 U Matt Garza (R) German Marquez (R) 9 9 2 5 11 5

2018 NLDS Betting Odds and Trends

Team Vs Division Or Conference

Colorado Rockies

record Home Away Fave Dog O/U vs LHP vs RHP
Overall 92-72 47-34 45-38 56-32 41-37 67-87-10 34-27 58-45
Last 10 8-2 6-1 2-1 7-0 2-1 5-4-1 1-0 7-2
vs Div 41-36 22-16 19-20 28-16 17-18 29-43-5 18-18 23-18
vs AL 13-7 8-2 5-5 8-4 5-3 6-12-2 6-2 7-5
vs NL 79-65 39-32 40-33 48-28 36-34 61-75-8 28-25 51-40

Milwaukee Brewers

record Home Away Fave Dog O/U vs LHP vs RHP
Overall 96-67 51-30 45-37 66-32 37-35 78-81-4 24-19 72-48
Last 10 9-1 3-0 6-1 7-1 3-0 7-3 3-0 6-1
vs Div 40-37 20-18 20-19 28-19 15-18 33-42-2 9-6 31-31
vs AL 13-7 8-2 5-5 11-3 4-4 8-11-1 1-2 12-5
vs NL 83-60 43-28 40-32 55-29 33-31 70-70-3 23-17 60-43
Team Last 5 Games

Colorado Rockies

Date Opponent score Result line Total starter ip opposing starter Location
Oct 2, 2018 CHC 2-1 W 130 7.5 Kyle Freeland 6.2 J Lester A
Oct 1, 2018 LA 2-5 L 155 7 German Marquez 4.2 Walker Buehler A
Sep 30, 2018 WSH 12-0 W -190 11 Tyler Anderson 7.2 Erick Fedde H
Sp 29, 2018 WSH 2-12 L -105 9.5 Jon Gray 2 S Strasburg H
Sep 28, 2018 WSH 5-2 W -200 10.5 Kyle Freeland 6 Joe Ross H

Milwaukee Brewers

Date Opponent score Result line Total starter ip opposing starter Location
Oct 1, 2018 CHC 3-1 W 110 8 J Chacin 5.2 J Quintana A
Sep 30, 2018 DET 11-0 W -275 9 G Gonzalez 5 Spencer Turnbull H
Sp 29, 2018 DET 6-5 W -250 8.5 W Miley 3 D Norris H
Sep 28, 2018 DET 6-5 W -255 8 Zach Davies 4 J Zimmermann H
Sp 26, 2018 STL 2-1 W -110 8.5 J Chacin 5 John Gant A

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